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  • Many Excellent Stocks Are Oversold – The AIA Advocate Newsletter

    In This Issue: The Economy, The Economy, The Economy The Poor Numbers Don’t Fit What We See There Is No Shortage Of Cash Confidence Is Everything All Eyes Are On The Fed Inflation Is Baaaaaack Many Excellent Stocks Are Oversold The Bottom Line This...
  • A Second Nip From A Double Dip – The AIA Advocate Newsletter Week of 8/26/2010

    In This Issue:

    A Second Nip From A Double Dip
    Bonds Are Soaring, But Could Be A Bubble
    Blue Chip Discounts May Not Last Long
    Two Bond Substitutes Look Especially Good
    True Cash Returns Are Higher Than They Appear
    The Bottom Line

    Since our last newsletter in July, the economy signaled that it may not be doing as well as it was earlier in the year. The employment rate is failing to improve, consumer confidence is slipping, retailers are singing the blues, many manufacturers are reporting fewer orders, and July home sales plunged a disturbing 27%.

    As a result, many analysts are beginning to think the economy may be heading for another leg down – the dreaded “double dip.” If so, many stock prices have been pushed too high. Accordingly, investors have been pressing Wall Street’s down button of late. Since July 29, the Dow and the Nasdaq declined 3.9% and 4.9% respectively.

  • Association for Investor Awareness - Week of 04/29/2010

    Special Report
    Protect Your Stocks
    From A Correction

    In This Issue:

    A Stock Market Downturn Is Overdue
    Stop-Loss Orders Can Save A Portfolio
    Safeguard Your Blue Chips With LEAPS
    Some Funds Go Up During Downturns
    We Don't Recommend Short Sales
    An All-Weather Fund For Cautious Investors
    The Bottom Line This Week

    Since the bull market started last March 9, the stock market has been on a tear. For the 13 month period, the Dow rose 68.7% and the Nasdaq shot ahead 94.8%. After the unpleasant losses investors endured from late 2007 to early 2009, the rebound was especially sweet.

    Although we think the bull market has further to go, we also think the near-term downside risks are becoming significant. Consequently, we are devoting this issue of the AIA Advocate to strategies that you can use to protect your portfolio while remaining invested for whatever additional profits are on the way.

  • Association for Investor Awareness - Week of 10/23/2008

    In This Issue:

    It's Too Early For A Sustained Rebound
    But, There Are Finally Some Signs Of Relief
    What Everybody Knows Is Often Wrong
    Another Contrary Economic Outlook
    Cheaper Energy: The World's Biggest "Tax" Cut
    This High Yield Investment Looks Good
    The Bottom Line This Week

    Mother Market took pity on investors last week when she tossed a few points our way. Actually, it was more than just a few. The total for Monday and Thursday came to a whopping 1338. Since she took back "only" 937 points, the Dow and the Nasdaq ended the period up a welcome 4.8% and 3.8% respectively.

    When the closing bell finally rang on Friday and the week's gains were locked safely away, some of us let out a happy little "hurray." However, our killjoy number cruncher pointed out that with so many wild swings happening every week it was inevitable that the market would occasionally end on a high point. In other words, the bounce could have just been a random event. Rats!

    On Monday of this week the market jumped another 413 points, but it gave back 746 points on the following two days. Oh well, the mini-rally was fun while it lasted.

  • Association for Investor Awareness - Week of 10/16/2008

    The Biggest Danger Now Is A Series Of Bear Traps
    The Financial Crisis Has Further To Run
    Some Bear Market Investments Have Promise
    How Long The Bear Might Stick Around
    A Contrary Economic Outlook
    Another Shameless Plug For Blue Chip Stocks
    The Bottom Line This Week

    Stock volatility has become so extreme, we had to redraw the charts. Although there have been up and down days as large as those we have seen recently, never before have they come in such quick succession.

    Last week, as everyone from New Guinea to New York must know by now, the Dow and the Nasdaq fell 18.2% and 15.3% respectively. That would have been tough enough by itself, but what made the week even more hectic is it contained a 679 point jump that many investors believed was the start of a reversal. 

    The market leaped forward again this Monday with a breath taking 936 point surge when U.S and European leaders decided on a coordinated financial rescue plan. Stocks took a breather on Tuesday. Then it plunged 733 points the next day on poor consumer spending data. We must expect more whiplash days as the credit crisis continues to unfold. 

  • Week of 10/09/2008

    Bargains Are Starting To Appear
    A Bottom Fishing Check List
    The Bear Isn't Finished Yet
    Big Drops Lead To Big Rebounds
    Financial Stocks Attract More Attention
    There Is One More Shoe To Fall
    The Biggest Question: Will The Bailout Work?
    The Bottom Line This Week

    Wall Street's thrill ride continued over the past week as investors made king-sized moves after every drop in the economic outlook. By the time the closing bell rang on Friday, the Dow and the Nasdaq were down 7.3% and 10.8% respectively. A good time was definitely not enjoyed by all.

    Once again, investors saved their biggest gyrations for the following Monday when the market plunged some 800 points. Fortunately, the market regained 430 points before the end of the day. Stocks resumed their slide on Tuesday and Wednesday when they fell a total of 689 points.

  • Week of 07/31/2008

    In This Issue:

    Many Americans Are In A Funk
    If Everything Is So Bad, Where's The Recession?
    The Fed's Rescues Come With A Price
    A Lending Conflict Is In The Making
    And A Weaker Dollar May Be On The Way
    DNA Checks Are Not Just For Crooks
    The Bottom Line This Week

    The bear picked himself up off the mat last week after having been knocked flat by the bull a few days earlier.

    As it turned out, the nasty fellow should have taken the full count to get back more of his strength. The best he could do with his rebound was push the Dow back a miniscule 1.1%. Nasdaq actually rose 1.2%.

    When the market reopened this week, we got a dramatic demonstration about how important oil prices have become on Wall Street. On Monday oil ticked up fractionally, and the Dow dropped 240 points. Then on Tuesday, oil dropped back down and the Dow shot up 267 points. The uptrend continued the next day with a 186 point gain.