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Written Thursday, May 8th, 2008 TECHNICAL VIEW . Rising Wedges Run Out of Steam! We’ve formed Rising Wedge chart patterns in a number of key market averages, most easily seen in the Dow Industrials , the Nasdaq Composite and the S&P 400 Midcap averages. These chart patterns form on diminishing...
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The Principle of Relative Strength. Just checked some on where this rally now stands applying one of my principles. One sound fundamental to practice for near and intermediate term performance is to favor those stocks and sectors doing well and then shy away from those sectors underperforming. In fact...
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THE STOCK MARKET Written Monday, May 5th, 2008: Weekly Overview. We’ve been up for three straight weeks now. At least for the large cap indices, the Dow Industrials , the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite . You know those US-headquartered but multinational companies doing lots of business overseas...
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UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Wednesday, April 9th, 2008 Another day of compacted volatility (is that an oxymoron?) yesterday. This time on the lowest daily trading volume in 2008. Thus the stock market continues to draw, in Wall Street jargon, a “line” I’ve started writing about. One way, reason and...
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UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Tuesday, April 8 th , 2008 : Yesterday was the 4 th day in a row the stock market traded essentially flat. I believe we’re now building what the old timers called “a line.” Just means compacted trading action on lower trading volume. Can run for a week to two or much longer...
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Capital Trust (CT). Very interesting REIT I stumbled upon. Below is the story: I track a good number of economists and their observations. The bearish ones like independent Gary Shilling and Morgan Stanley’s Stephen Roach. And the bullish ones, like, last I heard, Ed Hyman, chairman of well-respected...
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THROWING GOOD MONEY AFTER BAD . Let’s think back some so as not to lose perspective. Where to start? Yep, right at the top of the five year bull market and the top of the private equity boom. June 21 st , 2007: CHINA backed Blackstone Group’s IPO at $31 back with $3 billion last June. Yesterday BX closed...
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PORTFOLIO STRATEGY: Monday, March10th, 2008 One Schwartz Rule that I’ve developed from my INVALUABLE day-trading experience of a couple years back is to SELL EARLY! , which led to the corollary rule to BUY EARLY! which has now morphed into the all purpose Schwartz Rule : MOVE EARLY! Following this rule...
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UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . The bulls are now on CNBC saying it’s too late to sell. I beg to differ since I can’t figure out why it’s too late to sell. Maybe because some portfolios are already down big, -15% or more. But that still doesn’t mean they can’t drop much more. Just think back to the dot...
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TECHNICAL VIEW . Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) has put the bull back in the box, yesterday the S&P Mid Cap index became the first index to post a higher high, after posting a higher low, and stocks stopped going down five weeks ago. Plus, as I wrote above, we’re on the verge of the bullish 4-Day...