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UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Witten Friday, June 20th, 2008: 6:30 a.m. Looked to me like yesterday’s stock market rally was a knee-jerk reaction to China announcing it was going to raise oil prices by 17%. Crude dove on the news while stocks jumped. But if one thinks it through, is China raising...
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UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Written Friday, May 23rd, 2008: 6:30 a.m. Stocks normally bounce after two or three days of sharp declines. And the size and cope of a bounce is telling. So yesterday’s “bounce” proved disappointing. For perspective, take the Dow Industrials . The Dow rose...
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The Principle of History. Knowing one’s history gives us guidelines and a basis to work from. So yesterday I began to compare the last Papa Bear market we lived through, 1973-1974, which encompassed the first really oil crisis, to today’s ongoing bear market and oil shock. I said I was printing...
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UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Written, Tuesday, May 20th, 2008: 6:30 a.m. Another one of those turnaround stock market days yesterday. At 2 p.m. things looked great but then stocks reversed downward and by the close there were more stocks down than up on the NYSE , 1479 vs. 1681. While numerous sectors...
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TECHNICAL VIEW . Written Wednesday, May 14, 2008: I may have been seeing clouds in the sky when there weren’t any. The near term bearish Rising Wedges in a bunch of market indices I wrote about last Thursday don’t seem to have really followed through. Stock prices did fall back last Friday...
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Written Thursday, May 8th, 2008 TECHNICAL VIEW . Rising Wedges Run Out of Steam! We’ve formed Rising Wedge chart patterns in a number of key market averages, most easily seen in the Dow Industrials , the Nasdaq Composite and the S&P 400 Midcap averages. These chart patterns form on diminishing...
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THE STOCK MARKET Written Monday, May 5th, 2008: Weekly Overview. We’ve been up for three straight weeks now. At least for the large cap indices, the Dow Industrials , the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite . You know those US-headquartered but multinational companies doing lots of business overseas...
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UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Wednesday, April 9th, 2008 Another day of compacted volatility (is that an oxymoron?) yesterday. This time on the lowest daily trading volume in 2008. Thus the stock market continues to draw, in Wall Street jargon, a “line” I’ve started writing about. One way, reason and...
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UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Tuesday, April 8 th , 2008 : Yesterday was the 4 th day in a row the stock market traded essentially flat. I believe we’re now building what the old timers called “a line.” Just means compacted trading action on lower trading volume. Can run for a week to two or much longer...
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Capital Trust (CT). Very interesting REIT I stumbled upon. Below is the story: I track a good number of economists and their observations. The bearish ones like independent Gary Shilling and Morgan Stanley’s Stephen Roach. And the bullish ones, like, last I heard, Ed Hyman, chairman of well-respected...