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  • Technicals Suggest, Not Guarantee, Rally Is Over.

    UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Written Friday, May 23rd, 2008: 6:30 a.m. Stocks normally bounce after two or three days of sharp declines. And the size and cope of a bounce is telling. So yesterday’s “bounce” proved disappointing. For perspective, take the Dow Industrials . The Dow rose...
  • 4, 5, 6, 7 Straight Days! Sequences Can Turn Trends

    UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Written, Tuesday, May 20th, 2008: 6:30 a.m. Another one of those turnaround stock market days yesterday. At 2 p.m. things looked great but then stocks reversed downward and by the close there were more stocks down than up on the NYSE , 1479 vs. 1681. While numerous sectors...
  • A "Line" Tells the Tale

    UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Wednesday, April 9th, 2008 Another day of compacted volatility (is that an oxymoron?) yesterday. This time on the lowest daily trading volume in 2008. Thus the stock market continues to draw, in Wall Street jargon, a “line” I’ve started writing about. One way, reason and...
  • A "Line" Begins to Form

    UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Tuesday, April 8 th , 2008 : Yesterday was the 4 th day in a row the stock market traded essentially flat. I believe we’re now building what the old timers called “a line.” Just means compacted trading action on lower trading volume. Can run for a week to two or much longer...
  • Update: Wednesday, March 5th, 2008

    UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . The bulls are now on CNBC saying it’s too late to sell. I beg to differ since I can’t figure out why it’s too late to sell. Maybe because some portfolios are already down big, -15% or more. But that still doesn’t mean they can’t drop much more. Just think back to the dot...
  • 4-Day Rule Kicking In?

    UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Wednesday, February 27th, 2008 We’re back to three days up in row , hoping today proves to be another up day, the fourth in a sequence, triggering Trader Vic’s bullish 4-Day Rule . In spite of more bad economic data yesterday morning, like twice the expected producer price...
  • Daily Update

    UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Tuesday, February 26th, 2008: Yesterday stocks were buoyed by further hopeful news about saving the vital AAA rating of the two big bond insurers, MBIA and Ambac . A report indicating such late Friday afternoon first helped reverse the stock market’s dismal downtrend towards...
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