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  • Technicals Suggest, Not Guarantee, Rally Is Over.

    UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Written Friday, May 23rd, 2008: 6:30 a.m. Stocks normally bounce after two or three days of sharp declines. And the size and cope of a bounce is telling. So yesterday’s “bounce” proved disappointing. For perspective, take the Dow Industrials . The Dow rose...
  • 1973-1974 Redux

    The Principle of History. Knowing one’s history gives us guidelines and a basis to work from. So yesterday I began to compare the last Papa Bear market we lived through, 1973-1974, which encompassed the first really oil crisis, to today’s ongoing bear market and oil shock. I said I was printing...
  • Tradable Rally?

    TECHNICAL VIEW . Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) has put the bull back in the box, yesterday the S&P Mid Cap index became the first index to post a higher high, after posting a higher low, and stocks stopped going down five weeks ago. Plus, as I wrote above, we’re on the verge of the bullish 4-Day...
  • 4-Day Rule Kicking In?

    UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Wednesday, February 27th, 2008 We’re back to three days up in row , hoping today proves to be another up day, the fourth in a sequence, triggering Trader Vic’s bullish 4-Day Rule . In spite of more bad economic data yesterday morning, like twice the expected producer price...
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