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  • Potential Rally Remains on Tightrope

    TECHNICAL VIEW . Written Friday, August 1st, 2008: 6:30 a.m. EST With the S&P 500 closing just above it’s week ago Wednesday’s close this past Wednesday and the Nasdaq Composite following suit, we have a series of higher lows and higher highs in both, i.e., an uptrend in place. So I was...
  • Summer Rally Ahead?

    TECHNICAL VIEW . Summer R ally Ahead Or Not? Now is the time for all good men and women to watch the key stock market indices very closely! We have a possible bottom in place (if it is a bottom I have to believe it’s a temporary one). Yep, after basically falling out of bed for two months, from...
  • Fan Principle Says Down

    TECHNICAL VIEW . The Fan Principle . Cataloged under my Principle of Technical Analysis . Or more simply put, how the stock market communicates if not actually talks with us. Yep, the previously, very helpful technical indicator, the Fan Principle may be back in play. Remember how it helped us get into...
  • Technicals Suggest, Not Guarantee, Rally Is Over.

    UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Written Friday, May 23rd, 2008: 6:30 a.m. Stocks normally bounce after two or three days of sharp declines. And the size and cope of a bounce is telling. So yesterday’s “bounce” proved disappointing. For perspective, take the Dow Industrials . The Dow rose...
  • 1973-1974 Redux

    The Principle of History. Knowing one’s history gives us guidelines and a basis to work from. So yesterday I began to compare the last Papa Bear market we lived through, 1973-1974, which encompassed the first really oil crisis, to today’s ongoing bear market and oil shock. I said I was printing...
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