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  • Studying Similar Sharp Declines & Their Bottoms

    The Principle of Understanding History & The Principle of Technical Analysis . Written Tuesday, October 7th, 2008 OK, yesterday I heard one analyst, I believe it was Liz Ann Sounders, chief investment strategist for Charles Schwab say the recent sharp year-over-year (yoy) stock market decline is...
  • Strategy for a New Leg Down

    TECHNICAL VIEW . Written Tuesday, September 16th, 2008 A New Bear Mark et Leg Down Likely Starting! Schwartz Strategy. Right at the close yesterday, the Dow Industrials dropped sharply going from -400 points down to -500 points down, closing at 10,917.50 , below its previous bear market July 15 th closing...
  • Portfolio Strategy: Monday, July 14th, 2008

    PORTFOLIO STRATEGY This year’s mid-March to mid-May bear market rally was the first rally versus the new primary bear market downtrend. Usually the first rally is the best rally (just like the first loss is the best loss) because many investors believe the bull market still lives and thus it’s...
  • Dow 12,000 Now A Memory

    Thursday, June 26 th , 2008: Written 6:30 a.m. EST Going to find our “way to San Jose ” next week, on vacation, so I’m been auditioning books for the plane rides. One coming along is Hamish McRae’s THE WORLD IN 2020 . I previewed it and got caught up by his writing, the history...
  • 1973-1974 Redux

    The Principle of History. Knowing one’s history gives us guidelines and a basis to work from. So yesterday I began to compare the last Papa Bear market we lived through, 1973-1974, which encompassed the first really oil crisis, to today’s ongoing bear market and oil shock. I said I was printing...
  • Daily Review

    Thursday , April 3 rd , 2008: 6:30 am: Got Lucy to play 9 holes last Sunday. Cajoled her by saying she’d get a tan, flatten her stomach with golf then a swim, that she hit some great 8 iron bump & runs last fall, I’d pay, and she could brag on Monday. She went for it & played well. What got to...
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