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TECHNICAL VIEW . Summer R ally Ahead Or Not? Now is the time for all good men and women to watch the key stock market indices very closely! We have a possible bottom in place (if it is a bottom I have to believe it’s a temporary one). Yep, after basically falling out of bed for two months, from...
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PORTFOLIO STRATEGY This year’s mid-March to mid-May bear market rally was the first rally versus the new primary bear market downtrend. Usually the first rally is the best rally (just like the first loss is the best loss) because many investors believe the bull market still lives and thus it’s...
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Thursday, June 26 th , 2008: Written 6:30 a.m. EST Going to find our “way to San Jose ” next week, on vacation, so I’m been auditioning books for the plane rides. One coming along is Hamish McRae’s THE WORLD IN 2020 . I previewed it and got caught up by his writing, the history...
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UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Witten Friday, June 20th, 2008: 6:30 a.m. Looked to me like yesterday’s stock market rally was a knee-jerk reaction to China announcing it was going to raise oil prices by 17%. Crude dove on the news while stocks jumped. But if one thinks it through, is China raising...
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TECHNICAL VIEW . Banks Beginning a New Down Leg In Price? The next technical question is whether the banks are breaking down again. Into a new down leg. I see the KBW Bank Index dropped to a five year low yesterday. With many individual bank stocks in the same boat. Key Bank (KEY) just went to a new...
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The Principle of History. Knowing one’s history gives us guidelines and a basis to work from. So yesterday I began to compare the last Papa Bear market we lived through, 1973-1974, which encompassed the first really oil crisis, to today’s ongoing bear market and oil shock. I said I was printing...
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Thursday , April 3 rd , 2008: 6:30 am: Got Lucy to play 9 holes last Sunday. Cajoled her by saying she’d get a tan, flatten her stomach with golf then a swim, that she hit some great 8 iron bump & runs last fall, I’d pay, and she could brag on Monday. She went for it & played well. What got to...
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PORTFOLIO STRATEGY: Monday, March10th, 2008 One Schwartz Rule that I’ve developed from my INVALUABLE day-trading experience of a couple years back is to SELL EARLY! , which led to the corollary rule to BUY EARLY! which has now morphed into the all purpose Schwartz Rule : MOVE EARLY! Following this rule...
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Friday, February 22nd, 2008: UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Wednesday stocks rose, yesterday they fell, giving back all of Wednesday’s gains and a bit more. Call it backing and filling as the stock market continues to calm down a little. Still the background economic news, which ultimately drives stock...
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Under The Surface Action . February 15th, 1008. According to John Crudele who writes a regular stock market column for The New York Post , governments here and around the world are likely rigging the stock market. I refer you to his TAKING STOCK column of yesterday. In essence at the recent Group of...