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  • Odds Still Favor Deep Recession

    THE BIG PICTURE & THE ECONOMY Today’s Big Picture view comes down to whether the US economy is going into a severe, long lasting recession or not. My belief remains that we are, that’s where today’s slow-motion economic slowdown is leading us, but the jury remains out & lots...
  • 2005 Revisited?

    .........But First, A Word From Our Sponsor.......... No other bank is as committed to you and your global portfolio success as EverBank. And we've proven it again with the launch of the NEW currency resource pages at EverBank.com. We encourage you to visit EverBank.com and see for yourself. You'll...
    Posted to Daily Pfennig (Weblog) by Chuck Butler on 05-12-2008
  • Recession Risk Over? Pushed Back Maybe, Over No

    THE ECONOMY Written Monday, May 5th, 2008: Regular Weekly Overview: Numerous economists are now saying the possibility of an US recession has passed. I think this change of viewpoint began about a week plus back when the Durable Goods Orders–Ex Transports for March rose +1.5%, better than the ...
  • Two Essays on the Continuing Financial Crisis

    This week in Outside the Box we look at two brief essays which give us different perspective on the Continuing Crisis. The first is by Mohamed El-Erian, the co-chief executive and co-chief investment officer of Pimco. His book, 'When Markets Collide: Investment Strategies for the Age of Global Economic...
  • The Muddle Through Question

    The Muddle Through Question Clowns to the Left of Me, Jokers to the Right of Me, Here I am Stuck in the Muddle Through Middle With You! A Soft Depression? Not. South Africa and Swiss Mountains A few weeks ago I asked for readers to send me questions and said I would try and answer them while I was in...
  • Is it a Bull, Bear or Cowardly Lion Market?

    Bull, Bear, and Cowardly Lion Markets Market Cycle Math Where Are We Today? Analyze and Strategize Switzerland and American Airlines Are we in a bull, a bear, or a cowardly lion market? As we will see, the answer can make a huge difference in your investment portfolio. This week I am at my Strategic...
  • FOMC Finally Comes Clean (sort of)

    .........But First, A Word From Our Sponsor.......... No other bank is as committed to you and your global portfolio success as EverBank. And we've proven it again with the launch of the NEW currency resource pages at EverBank.com. We encourage you to visit EverBank.com and see for yourself. You'll...
    Posted to Daily Pfennig (Weblog) by Chuck Butler on 04-09-2008
  • Jobs Fall 80,000!

    .........But First, A Word From Our Sponsor.......... No other bank is as committed to you and your global portfolio success as EverBank. And we've proven it again with the launch of the NEW currency resource pages at EverBank.com . We encourage you to visit EverBank.com and see for yourself. You'll...
    Posted to Daily Pfennig (Weblog) by Chuck Butler on 04-07-2008
  • More Thoughts on the Continuing Crisis

    Thoughts on the Continuing Crisis If the Rules are Inconvenient, Change the Rules Let's Re-arrange the Deck Chairs Regulations Coming to a Hedge Fund Near You More Fun in the Unemployment Numbers A Muddle Through Recession How Much do we Borrow for a $1 growth in GDP? London, Switzerland and South...
  • How To Fix It

    This week we will look at what will be a fairly controversial essay by good friend Michael Lewitt of HCM. In light of today's speech by Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson of the re-organization of the regulatory system in the US, Michael suggest we look at what the real problems are before we begin...
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