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  • How To Fix It

    This week we will look at what will be a fairly controversial essay by good friend Michael Lewitt of HCM. In light of today's speech by Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson of the re-organization of the regulatory system in the US, Michael suggest we look at what the real problems are before we begin...
  • The Twelve Steps to Financial Disaster

    This week we look at a recent analysis from Professor Nouriel Roubini of the Stern School of Business at New York University. Nouriel has become known for his rather clear clarion calls that the housing bubble would lead to a credit crisis and possibly much worse. He has been one who has been on CNBC...
  • The Next Dominos: Junk Bond And Counterparty Risk

    The subprime problem, we were told, would not spread to other markets. It would be "contained." And it has, according to Jim Grant. He quipped last week that it has been contained on planet Earth. The risks coming from rising defaults in the US (now above 600,000 and rising from just 200,000...
  • Sea Change at the Fed

    Sea Change at the Fed "Of his bones are coral made: Those are pearls that were his eyes: Nothing of him that doth fade, But doth suffer a sea change Into something rich and strange" (The Tempest - Shakespeare) The term "sea change" has come to mean a profound transformation ever since...
  • Is A Subprime Recession Inevitable?

    Is A Subprime Recession Inevitable? IN THIS ISSUE: 1. Stocks - Correction Or New Bear Market? 2. Consumer Confidence & Spending Remain Key 3. A Look At Previous Credit Crunches 4. How Bad Is The Subprime Mortgage Problem? 5. Crisis In Confidence 6. Are Subprime Fears Overblown? 7. Fed To The Rescue...
    Posted to Forecasts & Trends (Weblog) by Gary D. Halbert on 08-28-2007
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