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TECHNICAL VIEW . The Fan Principle . Cataloged under my Principle of Technical Analysis . Or more simply put, how the stock market communicates if not actually talks with us. Yep, the previously, very helpful technical indicator, the Fan Principle may be back in play. Remember how it helped us get into...
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GOLD VIEW . It’s Time to Buy Back into GOLD ! I must say the gold chart looks ripe for a rally and the background economics are screaming rising inflation here in the US and all around the globe, so I would recommend buying back into gold. Gold pulled back from its big Round Number of $1000 in...
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Written Tuesday, May 27th, 2008 THE STOCK MARKET Briefly, the stock market pulled back sharply last week. Obviously this pullback may be about over and may be just a normal “shake out” on the way to higher prices. While that could be true, it usually is during bull markets, another alternative...
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UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Written Friday, May 23rd, 2008: 6:30 a.m. Stocks normally bounce after two or three days of sharp declines. And the size and cope of a bounce is telling. So yesterday’s “bounce” proved disappointing. For perspective, take the Dow Industrials . The Dow rose...
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Technically, the market looks out of steam. Whether this latest two day fall back is the end of the bear market rally or just a normal “shake out” of weak holders on the way higher is open. Remember I thought the market had exhausted itself back two weeks ago when I saw Rising Wedges in a...
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The Principle of History. Knowing one’s history gives us guidelines and a basis to work from. So yesterday I began to compare the last Papa Bear market we lived through, 1973-1974, which encompassed the first really oil crisis, to today’s ongoing bear market and oil shock. I said I was printing...
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PORTFOLIO STRATEGY : Written Monday, May 19th, 2008 Patience and proper money management. Let me preach and suggest both kicking off a new week, halfway through the “Sell in May & Go Away” month. Yale and Jeffrey Hirsch’s STOCK MARKET ALMANAC promulgates this six months in and six...
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THE BIG PICTURE & THE ECONOMY Today’s Big Picture view comes down to whether the US economy is going into a severe, long lasting recession or not. My belief remains that we are, that’s where today’s slow-motion economic slowdown is leading us, but the jury remains out & lots...
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Written Thursday, May 8th, 2008 TECHNICAL VIEW . Rising Wedges Run Out of Steam! We’ve formed Rising Wedge chart patterns in a number of key market averages, most easily seen in the Dow Industrials , the Nasdaq Composite and the S&P 400 Midcap averages. These chart patterns form on diminishing...
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THE STOCK MARKET Written Monday, May 5th, 2008: Weekly Overview. We’ve been up for three straight weeks now. At least for the large cap indices, the Dow Industrials , the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite . You know those US-headquartered but multinational companies doing lots of business overseas...