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  • Strategy for a New Leg Down

    TECHNICAL VIEW . Written Tuesday, September 16th, 2008 A New Bear Mark et Leg Down Likely Starting! Schwartz Strategy. Right at the close yesterday, the Dow Industrials dropped sharply going from -400 points down to -500 points down, closing at 10,917.50 , below its previous bear market July 15 th closing...
  • Monday Weekly Overview Sample Letter

    Richard Schwartz's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Seventeenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz, New York 12561 - U.S. A. · (845) 255-6894...
  • Portfolio Strategy: Monday, July 14th, 2008

    PORTFOLIO STRATEGY This year’s mid-March to mid-May bear market rally was the first rally versus the new primary bear market downtrend. Usually the first rally is the best rally (just like the first loss is the best loss) because many investors believe the bull market still lives and thus it’s...
  • 1973-1974 Redux

    The Principle of History. Knowing one’s history gives us guidelines and a basis to work from. So yesterday I began to compare the last Papa Bear market we lived through, 1973-1974, which encompassed the first really oil crisis, to today’s ongoing bear market and oil shock. I said I was printing...
  • Relative Strength Tells Us What To Buy

    The Principle of Relative Strength. Just checked some on where this rally now stands applying one of my principles. One sound fundamental to practice for near and intermediate term performance is to favor those stocks and sectors doing well and then shy away from those sectors underperforming. In fact...
  • Always Expect Rallies

    THE STOCK MARKET Written Monday, May 5th, 2008: Weekly Overview. We’ve been up for three straight weeks now. At least for the large cap indices, the Dow Industrials , the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite . You know those US-headquartered but multinational companies doing lots of business overseas...
  • A "Line" Tells the Tale

    UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Wednesday, April 9th, 2008 Another day of compacted volatility (is that an oxymoron?) yesterday. This time on the lowest daily trading volume in 2008. Thus the stock market continues to draw, in Wall Street jargon, a “line” I’ve started writing about. One way, reason and...
  • A "Line" Begins to Form

    UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Tuesday, April 8 th , 2008 : Yesterday was the 4 th day in a row the stock market traded essentially flat. I believe we’re now building what the old timers called “a line.” Just means compacted trading action on lower trading volume. Can run for a week to two or much longer...
  • Catching A Falling Knife?

    THROWING GOOD MONEY AFTER BAD . Let’s think back some so as not to lose perspective. Where to start? Yep, right at the top of the five year bull market and the top of the private equity boom. June 21 st , 2007: CHINA backed Blackstone Group’s IPO at $31 back with $3 billion last June. Yesterday BX closed...
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