PORTFOLIO STRATEGY This year’s mid-March to mid-May bear market rally was the first rally versus the new primary bear market downtrend. Usually the first rally is the best rally (just like the first loss is the best loss) because many investors believe the bull market still lives and thus it’s...
UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Witten Friday, June 20th, 2008: 6:30 a.m. Looked to me like yesterday’s stock market rally was a knee-jerk reaction to China announcing it was going to raise oil prices by 17%. Crude dove on the news while stocks jumped. But if one thinks it through, is China raising...
GOLD VIEW . It’s Time to Buy Back into GOLD ! I must say the gold chart looks ripe for a rally and the background economics are screaming rising inflation here in the US and all around the globe, so I would recommend buying back into gold. Gold pulled back from its big Round Number of $1000 in...
Written Tuesday, May 27th, 2008 THE STOCK MARKET Briefly, the stock market pulled back sharply last week. Obviously this pullback may be about over and may be just a normal “shake out” on the way to higher prices. While that could be true, it usually is during bull markets, another alternative...
The Principle of History. Knowing one’s history gives us guidelines and a basis to work from. So yesterday I began to compare the last Papa Bear market we lived through, 1973-1974, which encompassed the first really oil crisis, to today’s ongoing bear market and oil shock. I said I was printing...
HISTORY VIEW. Looking Back Again in History, to 1938 . Yesterday CNBC was highlighting that we have to go back to 1938 to find such a big start (1 day) to the second quarter. Then I watched Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles Schwab , say on Bloomberg audio/video that we also have...