The Principle of Relative Strength. Just checked some on where this rally now stands applying one of my principles. One sound fundamental to practice for near and intermediate term performance is to favor those stocks and sectors doing well and then shy away from those sectors underperforming. In fact...
UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Tuesday, April 29th, 2008: 6:30 a.m. The stock market has some uncertainty – there’s that awful word again – about tomorrow’s Federal Reserve 2:15 p.m. interest rate policy announcement. For the first time in a very long time, we’re not quite sure what the Fed is going to...
I was just asked: “Are emerging markets overpriced?” Let me answer that question for all of us. Emerging markets are fairly valued. Not overvalued, considering their substantial going forward growth prospects but not undervalued either considering they will be hurt if the US paper economy slow down eventually...
SCHWARTZ BUY RECOMMENDATION this morning. Yes, with China (domestically) down -50% off its peak and the related Chinese region indices down slightly less but now showing some signs of a bottom and turn around, I’d suggest that its time to put some sidelined money back to work in ASIA (during this beginning...
IBD 100 ‘NEW NAMES .’ Lots of new names this week. But nothing really thematically new after a deeper look into which new names popped up on this list of those stocks doing well, fundamentally and in stock performance. Most come from what I’ve taken to calling the “real” economy, businesses which provide...
SCAPEGOAT BLAMING . Boy, am I’m getting tired of the carping! Day after day, article after article. All these writers seem to think there’s something to gain in blaming former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan for the US housing bubble, the credit crisis, and in fact, all our problems. Listen,...
GLOBAL VIEW . Especially Important View Today! I’m looking around at as many global stock markets as possible this morning. To refresh myself as to exactly where they stand and what that bodes for the future. Broad brush thinking-wise, I want to confirm a global uptrend has now started if at all possible...
THE STOCK MARKET: Monday, March 31st, 2008 I have to say the stock market is now stuck in a wide, very ragged trading range. It’s being supported by the Bernanke Put (just like the old Greenspan Put when stocks go down, the Fed steps in with something, interest rate cuts, bail out deals, etc). This Federal...
FINISHING UP YESTERDAY’S BANK PANIC OF 1907 COMPARISON. My theme yesterday morning – that stock markets don’t crash during financial panics --was emphasized by yesterday’s price action. Pressure was again taken off the stock market by its big rally. Every time things get bad, the Fed steps in and the...
THROWING GOOD MONEY AFTER BAD . Let’s think back some so as not to lose perspective. Where to start? Yep, right at the top of the five year bull market and the top of the private equity boom. June 21 st , 2007: CHINA backed Blackstone Group’s IPO at $31 back with $3 billion last June. Yesterday BX closed...