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Official Recession Or Not? And Does it Matter? Written Thursday, May 1st, 2008: Yesterday our first look at the US ’s Growth Domestic Product or GDP for short, showed a gain of +0.6%, a little above the consensus view. But the US consumer, who accounts for the bulk of economic growth with our spending...
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This week in Outside the Box we take up a topic that should be on the top of the agenda of every regulatory authority, executives at financial services firms of all types, and average investors: How do we fix the credit markets to make sure we do not have such a crisis again? Good friend Michael Lewitt...
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Lies, Damn Lies, and Statistics Who Is Inflating the Numbers? Honey, I Blew up the Employment Numbers A Black Swan in Food Housing Numbers Are Better Than I Wrote South Africa, Canada, and La Jolla "There are three kinds of lies: lies, damn lies, and statistics." – commonly attributed...
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This week in Outside the Box we look at two brief essays which give us different perspective on the Continuing Crisis. The first is by Mohamed El-Erian, the co-chief executive and co-chief investment officer of Pimco. His book, 'When Markets Collide: Investment Strategies for the Age of Global Economic...
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.........But First, A Word From Our Sponsor.......... No other bank is as committed to you and your global portfolio success as EverBank. And we've proven it again with the launch of the NEW currency resource pages at EverBank.com. We encourage you to visit EverBank.com and see for yourself. You'll...
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.........But First, A Word From Our Sponsor.......... No other bank is as committed to you and your global portfolio success as EverBank. And we've proven it again with the launch of the NEW currency resource pages at EverBank.com . We encourage you to visit EverBank.com and see for yourself. You'll...
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Written: April 18 2008 Dear Readers, I am running quite late this sunny New England morning. But I have a good excuse: my wife has left me. Well, it's not all that dramatic... it is just that she has hived off for Europe for a ten-day gallivant with friends, leaving me in sole charge of the children...
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THE BIG PICTURE I started reading another doom & gloom book yesterday. It’s Robert Prechter, Jr.’s 2002 CONQUER THE CRASH . I know, I know. Too much focus on the glass half full. Still I don’t want anything to sneak up on me, on us. Immediately upon starting Bob’s book, I was impressed. I mean I...
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A friend from up in Albany emailed me the following questions. I thought my answers may help others: ” I think I understand the basics of why the dollar has fallen so fast of late but I know you will know the details. It seems like there is always controversy about the economic future but consensus on...