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Wednesda y, June 18 th , 2008 : Woke up singing this morning … “Doo-da, Doo-da”… and I don’t sing! Watched the coronation of the Boston Celtics as NBA champs last night … “Goin’ to run all night, Goin’ to run all day” … and loved this...
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UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Written Wednesday, June 11th, 2008: 6:30 a.m. Today’s stock market has no real leadership. The Dow’s up, the Dow’s down, all day long. Yesterday it was more of the same. No real trend except for in ENERGY and GOLD , both selling off big time, sort of reversing...
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THE BIG PICTURE Ok, here’s a Big Picture of where America and we Americans stand today. A fairly downbeat Big Picture so buckle your seatbelts. America has been on the verge of a major comeuppance for many, many years. But its been postponed and postponed. Because the US dollar is the world’s...
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GLOBAL VIEW . Yep, when I started reading the Bloomberg newswire this morning, I found: (1) that European “retail sales declined -2.9% in April, more than three times as much as economists forecast,” (2) that March’s retail spending was revised downward from -1.6% to -2.3%, (3) that...
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THE BIG PICTURE Last Monday I presented the bull’s three pronged case , that: (1) the credit crisis is past it’s worst stages, (2) that we can skirt a recession or just experience a mild one and (3) that we have good value in stocks today. I offered the bull’s view up for balance, to...
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The Principle of History. Knowing one’s history gives us guidelines and a basis to work from. So yesterday I began to compare the last Papa Bear market we lived through, 1973-1974, which encompassed the first really oil crisis, to today’s ongoing bear market and oil shock. I said I was printing...
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Official Recession Or Not? And Does it Matter? Written Thursday, May 1st, 2008: Yesterday our first look at the US ’s Growth Domestic Product or GDP for short, showed a gain of +0.6%, a little above the consensus view. But the US consumer, who accounts for the bulk of economic growth with our spending...
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THE BIG PICTURE I started reading another doom & gloom book yesterday. It’s Robert Prechter, Jr.’s 2002 CONQUER THE CRASH . I know, I know. Too much focus on the glass half full. Still I don’t want anything to sneak up on me, on us. Immediately upon starting Bob’s book, I was impressed. I mean I...
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A friend from up in Albany emailed me the following questions. I thought my answers may help others: ” I think I understand the basics of why the dollar has fallen so fast of late but I know you will know the details. It seems like there is always controversy about the economic future but consensus on...
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SCAPEGOAT BLAMING . Boy, am I’m getting tired of the carping! Day after day, article after article. All these writers seem to think there’s something to gain in blaming former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan for the US housing bubble, the credit crisis, and in fact, all our problems. Listen,...