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THE FIRST INFLATION SURGE IN 25 YEARS IS OVER. So, what now? First, let me give credit when credit is due. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and the Fed finally got one right. They’ve been promising us moderating inflation for a year or more and now with -30% lower crude oil prices and a big...
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WHERE YOU SHOULD STAND TODAY. The Ideal Portfolio (another Schwartz View ). Yep, let me offer up one man’s view of what the ideal portfolio should be today and why: · Very minimal exposure to the stock market! This major, modern day margin call on institutional investors is causing havoc...
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ECONOMIC VIEW . One American’s View. Yep, Mine! With a bear market upon us, and myself and hopefully my readers all with hunkered down investment portfolios which thus don’t need constant care and attention, let me turn the spotlight on one American’s new travails, resulting views &...
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THE BIG PICTURE Ok, here’s a Big Picture of where America and we Americans stand today. A fairly downbeat Big Picture so buckle your seatbelts. America has been on the verge of a major comeuppance for many, many years. But its been postponed and postponed. Because the US dollar is the world’s...
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OIL VIEW . I’ve been reading a lot about oil, the current state and the history of oil as we see prices keep rising and we all wonder where a top is. So below are some interesting tidbits which I’ve unearthed from the Internet (a great modern day development!) for you to ponder, some obvious...
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OIL NOW AT $130! What will be the resolution of today’s high oil prices? The best, first approach in analyzing anything is to look back at any historical parallels we can find. The two oil crises of the 1970’s pop immediately to mind. Thus I just printed out a few online histories, including...
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THE BIG PICTURE & THE ECONOMY Today’s Big Picture view comes down to whether the US economy is going into a severe, long lasting recession or not. My belief remains that we are, that’s where today’s slow-motion economic slowdown is leading us, but the jury remains out & lots...
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THE REAL ECONOMY VS. THE PAPER ECONOMY The Real Economy . Oil at a record, rice too. Gold hitting $1000 an ounce, silver way up. Corn prices boosted by ethanol demand. Food riots in Haiti, Guatemala, Argentina and more. 24 countries dropping food import tariffs because they are seeing food shortages...
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SCAPEGOAT BLAMING . Boy, am I’m getting tired of the carping! Day after day, article after article. All these writers seem to think there’s something to gain in blaming former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan for the US housing bubble, the credit crisis, and in fact, all our problems. Listen,...
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CHINA again and again. I write about China so much that I get bored with it. But China is the new global power and thus very important. Plus commodity advocate and long term perspective guru, who I haven’t seen call much wrong, Jim Rogers believes so strongly in China that he sold his NYC townhouse and...