Over the past week I have been keeping my eye on several key sectors
and stocks for potentially large end of year rallies to lock in more
gains before 2013.
My recent calls have been RIMM (up 54%), AAPL (up 5%), FB (up 8%)
so it’s been a great month thus far. That being said there are three
other plays that look amazing and one of them is the utilities sector.
Looking back 30 years clearly utilities have a tendency to rally
going into year end. What makes this setup so exciting is that the Obama
tax for 2013 has caused many investors to lock in capital gains along
with dividend gains so the utility sector has recently been beaten.
I always like to cheer for the underdogs because they can make large moves quickly and this season its utility stocks.
30 Year Seasonality – Utilities Stocks
Utility Sector ETFs:
In the graph below I show the main utility ETFs for trading. Simple
analysis clearly shows the selling momentum is slowing and where price
should go if it can breakout above the red dotted resistance line.
Exchange traded funds XLU, FXU, IDU, and DBU are the funds I found to be
Utilities Sector Trading Conclusion:
While I feel utilities are about start moving higher it is important to mention that the broad market is setting up for a 1-3 day pullback.
If the stock market does pullback this week then we should see
utilities pullback also. What I am looking for is a minor pullback in
XLU with price holding up above $34 while the stock market pulls back.
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11-27-2012 7:40 AM