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IN THIS ISSUE: The Economy Continues To Slump Badly US Stock Markets Continue To Plunge Obama's Multi-Trillion Dollar Spending Spree Obama's Budget – The First $2 TRILLION Deficit? Obama's Plan To Nationalize Health Care This Year Obama's “Cap-and-Trade” Environmental Proposal Conclusions...
Posted to
Forecasts & Trends
by
Gary D. Halbert
on
03-10-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Gary D. Halbert, Stocks, GDP, Economic Forecast, Economic Policy, Inflation, Barack Obama, Deficit, AIG, Employment, Cap-and-Trade, Environment, Health Care
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In This Issue: The Long-Awaited Bear Rally May Be Starting Although Weak, Some Hopeful Economic Signs Are Emerging Credit Is Slowly Opening Up Again If Fear Subsides, The Outlook Will Improve Immediately A Recovery Will Bring Unwelcome Inflation The Bottom Line This Week As we reported in our previous...
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Dear Readers, We're no longer in Kansas, Dorothy. At this point, the world's financial markets are in the firm grasp of a massive tornado. Our vision is blurred with fast-moving images of abandoned houses, crumbling banks, pontificating politicians, alien-looking Treasury secretaries on one knee...
Posted to
The Room
by
David Galland
on
10-03-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Politics, Inflation, Casey Research, McCain, Economic Forecast, Obama, Bailout, Barton Biggs, Energy, FDIC, Europe
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August 22, 2008 Dear Readers, Summer weather, at least that of the preferable sort, has finally returned to the corner of the globe where your correspondent sits listening, too loudly, to Michael Franti’s Yell Fire! . ( http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H7WASrQFg8o ) For those of you unfamiliar with Franti...
Posted to
The Room
by
David Galland
on
08-27-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Inflation, Gold, Ben Bernanke, Dollar, Olympics, McCain, Economic Forecast, Obama, The Casey Report, Euro, I.O.U.S.A.
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IN THIS ISSUE: Fed Leaves Interest Rates Unchanged Again But Will Inflation Really Moderate? Stocks - Stuck In A Long-Term Sideways Pattern? Bad News For Millions Of Baby Boomers A Wall Street Myth About To Be Shattered? Avoiding Big Losses Is The Key, Maybe It's Time You Join Us The Bottom Line...
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This week we are going to do something unusual for Outside the Box. Normally I take an essay and send it to you to read. Today I am going to give you a link and strongly suggest you click to it. Long time readers are familiar with friend and comrade James Montier, who along with Albert Edwards, migrated...
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There is a reason I call this column Outside the Box. I try to get material that forces us to think outside our normal comfort zones and challenges our common assumptions. And this week's letter does just that. I have made the comment more than once that is it unusual for two major bubbles to burst...
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IN THIS ISSUE: The Latest Economic Numbers On Inflation & The Fed “The Double Dip Supply Shock” Conclusions – What Next? Investing In Today’s Dicey Environment Introduction The major investment markets seem perplexed this year. Questions abound. Are we in a recession? Not according to the textbook...
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Thoughts on the Continuing Crisis If the Rules are Inconvenient, Change the Rules Let's Re-arrange the Deck Chairs Regulations Coming to a Hedge Fund Near You More Fun in the Unemployment Numbers A Muddle Through Recession How Much do we Borrow for a $1 growth in GDP? London, Switzerland and South...
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IN THIS ISSUE: 1. The US Economy - What Kind Of Recession? 2. Fed Puts Real Skin (Our Skin) In The Game 3. J.P. Morgan Quintuples The Bear Deal - Why? 4. Market Implications - More Uncertainty 5. Are We There Yet (Market Bottom)? 6. Getting Out Is Easy - When To Get back In? 7. Conclusions - What To...
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This week's Outside the Box is going to be a little different. I am going to write about the extraordinary action by the NY Fed to foster the Bear Stearns deal with JP Morgan, and give you three brief notes from Michael Lewitt of Harch Capital Management and Bob Eisenbeis (former executive vice-president...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
03-17-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Inflation, Credit Crisis, Liquidity Crisis, Michael Lewitt, Economic Forecast, Recession, Interest Rates, Consumer Debt, Economy, Depression, JP Morgan, Bear Sterns
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IN THIS ISSUE: 1. Revisiting Stratfor's Previous Forecast 2. Stratfor's Latest Economic Outlook 3. Recession, Maybe - But No Depression 4. My Analysis And Conclusions Introduction There is a growing chorus that we are already in a full-blown recession, even though we'll have to wait several...
Posted to
Forecasts & Trends
by
Gary D. Halbert
on
03-11-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Presidential Race, Gary D. Halbert, Economic Forecast, Recession, Inflation, Politics, Deficit, Depression, Oil, Stratfor, Interest Rates
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Introduction This week in Outside the Box, we take a closer look at the bond market and its underlying drivers. HMIC's Van Hoisington and Dr. Lacy Hunt anticipate lower inflationary pressures on account of faltering consumer spending and further deterioration in the housing market. Hoisington Investment...
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Introduction On Friday, I wrote my annual forecast, " The Goldilocks Recession ," on what investment themes I expect in the coming year. This week's Outside the Box will follow up on the subject with an excellent piece written by Van Hoisington and Dr. Lacy Hunt. In their fourth quarter...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
01-08-2007
Filed under:
Filed under: Mortgage, Housing, Inflation, Dr. Lacy Hunt, Van Hoisington, GDP, John Mauldin, Bonds, Quarterly Reveiw, Consumer Spending, Economic Forecast