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IN THIS ISSUE: 1. April Unemployment Report – Good & Bad News 2. 6.7 Million “Missing Workers” – Where Did They Go? 3. How Americans Really Feel About the Economy 4. Investors’ Long Love Affair With Bonds Continues 5. IMF Lowers Global Growth Forecast For 2013 Overview...
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Ubiquity, Complexity Theory, and Sandpiles The Critical State We Are Managing Uncertainty Fingers of Instability A Stable Disequilibrium Tulsa, Brussels, NYC, and Monaco Sell in May and go away? What about "risk off?" And ever more QE? Today's letter is a quick note and a reprise of a popular...
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IN THIS ISSUE: 1. About the US Bureau of Economic Analysis 2. Major GDP Calculation Revisions Coming in July 3. Research & Development Becomes Capital Investment 4. Artistic Originals – Art, Movies, TV Shows, Books, Etc. 5. Changes Needed, But Can Be Tricky in Practice 6. Hanlon Investment...
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The Underground Recovery The Cashless Society? Welfare and Incentives Carlsbad, Tulsa, Nashville, Brussels, and Homeless in Dallas But Mousie, thou art [not alone], In proving foresight may be vain: The best-laid schemes o' mice an' men Gang aft agley, An' lea'e us nought but grief an'...
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This piece from Ambrose Evans-Pritchard is about as hard-hitting an analysis of Cyprus as I have read and really makes an interesting introduction to this week’s Outside the Box. No messing around: Capital controls have shattered the monetary unity of EMU. A Cypriot euro is no longer a core euro…...
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You Can't Be Serious The Serious Unintended Consequences It Is Time to Break Up the Banks New York, Singapore, and the SIC Conference in California I admit to being surprised by Cyprus. Oh, not the banking crisis or the sovereign debt crisis or the fact that its banks were eight times larger than...
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In This Issue. * US equity markets hit new highs... * Dollar moves higher after positive economic data... * Brazil, Canada, UK, and the European central banks start their meetings... * China's leader gives his final report... And, Now, Today's Pfennig For Your Thoughts! Focus Still Remains on...
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IN THIS ISSUE: 1. Why Our Best Ideas Come in the Shower 2. Where Our Creativity Comes From 3. Why We’re Only Creative at Certain Times 4. Why Ideas in the Shower Are So Difficult to Remember 5. On the Economy & the Over-Hyped Sequester Overview My task in writing this E-Letter week in and week...
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By Bud Conrad, Chief Economist The label "the fiscal cliff" evoked the fear that something terrible was about to happen if the previously legislated spending cuts and tax increases came into effect. From my point of view, our nation's deficits and debt are growing at an alarming rate and...
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IN THIS ISSUE: 1. Yes, Mr. President, There Is A Spending Problem! 2. Lots of Disgusting Pork In The Fiscal Cliff Bill 3. Another Debt Ceiling Battle Looms In February 4. Obama Could Resort To The 14 th Amendment 5. The Trillion Dollar Coin – Haven’t Heard About This? 6. “Continuing...
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Thinking about the long term is all too rare a talent these days and one I really appreciate. When you take a longer view, it is easier to see how all the moving parts, the bits and pieces, fit together. And you can see other streams of action impacting your original line of thought. In today’s...
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In This Issue. * Currencies, metals & Treasuries getting sold. * Is this the beginning of a change for the dollar? * Yen drops to a 2-year low VS dollar. * Chuck breaks down the timeline. And, Now, Today's Pfennig For Your Thoughts! The FOMC Throws A Cat Among The Pigeons! Good day. And a Happy...
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