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SECTOR VIEW . Biotech , Small Caps , US Treasuries and the US Dollar . Let’s comment on a couple market sectors and asset classes today. First, two stock market sectors which may prove profitable. Ha, you scoff! Profitable? In a bear market? Before you laugh, at least read my reasoning. 1. BIOTECH...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
01-16-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, ETFs, Trading, Investing Strategies, Charting, Bullish Signs, Keys to the Market, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Portfolio Strategy, Federal Reserve, Extended Bear Markets, Jim Rogers, Market Corrections, Papa Bears, The Big Picture, The Principle of Relative Strength, Rallies, Investment Themes, Trends, Foreign Currencies, Financial Crisis, Trend Reversals, Investor's Business Daily, Flight to Safety, Intermediate Corrections, Round Numbers, Bull Market Corrections, Stock Market, Ben Bernanke, S&P Smallcap, S&P Midcap, Credit Crisis, Bear Markets, Chart Patterns, Charts, Round Number, Financial Discipline, Inverse Funds, Big Picture View, Model Portfolios, Short ETFs, January Effect, Market Sectors, Mark Hulbert
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TECHNICAL VIEW . The Principle of Technical Analysis . I don’t want to jinx myself but I can’t keep quiet. Not after hearing the usual Wall Street mantra again this morning. That is, that no one can time the stock market so it’s always best to ride out its ups and downs. I mean this...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
11-11-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Investing Strategies, Bullish Signs, Keys to the Market, Seven Principles, Day to Day Action, Update On The Stock Market, Daily Update, Schwartz Rules, Historical Perspectve, Extended Bear Markets, Crashes, Tops, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Trades, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Trends, Day-Trading, Stock Market Lessons, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, Reflex Rally, Intermediate Corrections, Bull Market Corrections, Cramer, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Big Picture, Financial Media, Stock Market Media, Bear Markets, Investor Psychology, Lower Highs & Lower Lows, Trade, CNBC, Shorts, Longs, Income Investors, Follow-Through Day, Theme, Short Selling, Oversold, Bob Doll
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UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Written Wednesday, July 30th, 2008: 6:30 am EST. Another ‘ fl as hy - sp la sh y ’ rally yesterday So typical of bear markets, especially those with much further in time and points to go. Grizzly bear markets thrive on investors’ hope and adamant investor...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-30-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Technical View, Soverign Wealth Fund, Keys to the Market, Day to Day Action, Higher Higher & Higher Lows, Daily Update, IBD 100 'New Names', 4-Day Rule, Historical Perspectve, Oil, The Principle of History, The Principle of Relative Strength, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, Investment Themes, Trends, Trend Reversals, Trader Vic, Vic Sperandeo, Sequences, Investor's Business Daily, Spin, Bear Market Rally, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Gasoline, Dow Industrials, Trendlines, Credit Crunch, Credit Crisis, Bear Markets, Crude Oil, Gas Prices, Change, First Mover Advantage, IBD 100, Summer Rally, Merrill Lynch, Follow-Through Day, Theme, Food, US Government, CDO's, Short Selling, Temasek Holdings, Oversold, IBD
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TECHNICAL VIEW . Summer R ally Ahead Or Not? Now is the time for all good men and women to watch the key stock market indices very closely! We have a possible bottom in place (if it is a bottom I have to believe it’s a temporary one). Yep, after basically falling out of bed for two months, from...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-25-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Bullish Signs, Keys to the Market, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Higher Higher & Higher Lows, Update On The Stock Market, Stock Market Weekly, Daily Update, Market Corrections, Trades, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Trading Rules, Trends, Day-Trading, Stock Market Lessons, UPtrend Channels, Stock Trader's Almanac, Bear Market Rally, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Big Picture, Dow Industrials, Bear Markets, Big Picture View, Summer Rally
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TECHNICAL VIEW . The Principle of History. Two historical technical observations today: 1. Capitulation: Where the Heck is It? CNBC keeps interviewing floor traders and reporting from the New York Stock Exchange that everyone there is anxiously looking for that big bout of capitulation, selling, to end...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-16-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Commodities, Inflation, Keys to the Market, Update On The Stock Market, Macroeconomics, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Perspective, Extended Bear Markets, The Principle of History, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Trends, Trend Reversals, Shake Outs, Energy, Credit Crisis, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Economics, Investor Psychology, Charts, Big Picture View, CNBC, Paul Volker, NYSE, Bank Panic of 1907
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PORTFOLIO STRATEGY This year’s mid-March to mid-May bear market rally was the first rally versus the new primary bear market downtrend. Usually the first rally is the best rally (just like the first loss is the best loss) because many investors believe the bull market still lives and thus it’s...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-14-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Keys to the Market, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Daily Update, Weekly Letter, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Extended Bear Markets, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Trades, Trading Rules, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Trend Reversals, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, Bear Stearns, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Ben Bernanke, Dow Industrials, Credit Crunch, Credit Crisis, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Mr. Market
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UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Witten Friday, June 20th, 2008: 6:30 a.m. Looked to me like yesterday’s stock market rally was a knee-jerk reaction to China announcing it was going to raise oil prices by 17%. Crude dove on the news while stocks jumped. But if one thinks it through, is China raising...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-20-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: China, Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, China View, Investing Strategies, Head & Shoulders, The Coming China Wars, Keys to the Market, Dow Transports, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Global Investing, Update On The Stock Market, Daily Update, Macroeconomics, Portfolio Strategy, Oil, Fan Principle, Mama Bears, Papa Bears, Government Intervention, Global Trend, Recession, Trends, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Globalization, 1974, 1973, Global Warming, Energy Conservation, Manufacturing, Consumer Spending, Recessions, Bear Market Rally, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Global View, Global Economy, Developing Countries, Stock Market, Capitalism, Gasoline, Big Picture, Trendlines, Energy, Energy Savings, Energy Controls, Bear Markets, Chart Patterns, Crude Oil, Broadening Top, To Be Rich is Glorious, 1932, Subsidies, 1929, Depression
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TECHNICAL VIEW . The Fan Principle . Cataloged under my Principle of Technical Analysis . Or more simply put, how the stock market communicates if not actually talks with us. Yep, the previously, very helpful technical indicator, the Fan Principle may be back in play. Remember how it helped us get into...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-11-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Technical View, Keys to the Market, Dow Transports, Portfolio Strategy, Fan Principle, Market Corrections, Tops, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Trading Rules, Trends, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, S&P 500, S&P Smallcap, Dow Industrials, S&P Midcap, Trendlines
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TECHNICAL VIEW . Banks Beginning a New Down Leg In Price? The next technical question is whether the banks are breaking down again. Into a new down leg. I see the KBW Bank Index dropped to a five year low yesterday. With many individual bank stocks in the same boat. Key Bank (KEY) just went to a new...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-04-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Shorting, Technical View, Keys to the Market, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Distribution, Portfolio Strategy, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Trends, KBW Bank Index, Cramer, Bear Market Rallies
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GOLD VIEW . It’s Time to Buy Back into GOLD ! I must say the gold chart looks ripe for a rally and the background economics are screaming rising inflation here in the US and all around the globe, so I would recommend buying back into gold. Gold pulled back from its big Round Number of $1000 in...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-04-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, ETFs, Technical View, Gold, (GLD), Inflation, Charting, Bullish Signs, Keys to the Market, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Market Corrections, Papa Bears, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, Investment Themes, Trends, History, Gold View, GLD, Intermediate Corrections, Round Numbers, SPDR Gold Trust, Bull Market Corrections
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Technically, the market looks out of steam. Whether this latest two day fall back is the end of the bear market rally or just a normal “shake out” of weak holders on the way higher is open. Remember I thought the market had exhausted itself back two weeks ago when I saw Rising Wedges in a...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-22-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Shorting, Technical View, Keys to the Market, 4-Day Rule, Portfolio Strategy, Market Corrections, Tops, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, Rising Wedge, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Trend Reversals, 4-Day Corollary Rule, Trader Vic, Vic Sperandeo
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The Principle of History. Knowing one’s history gives us guidelines and a basis to work from. So yesterday I began to compare the last Papa Bear market we lived through, 1973-1974, which encompassed the first really oil crisis, to today’s ongoing bear market and oil shock. I said I was printing...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-22-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Shorting, Technical View, Stagflation, Inflation, Keys to the Market, The Principle of Primary Trend, Seven Principles, Day to Day Action, Daily Update, 4-Day Rule, Macroeconomics, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Oil, Extended Bear Markets, Crashes, Market Corrections, Tops, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Trades, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, Rising Wedge, Trading Rules, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, 1974, 1973
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UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Written, Tuesday, May 20th, 2008: 6:30 a.m. Another one of those turnaround stock market days yesterday. At 2 p.m. things looked great but then stocks reversed downward and by the close there were more stocks down than up on the NYSE , 1479 vs. 1681. While numerous sectors...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-20-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Charting, Keys to the Market, Dow Transports, Day to Day Action, Update On The Stock Market, 4-Day Rule, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Tops, Trades, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, Rising Wedge, Trading Rules, Trends, Trend Reversals