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Pushing on a String Let's Shift the Focus An Invitation to an Inflation Party Ten Years and Counting This week the Fed altered their end-of-meeting statement by just a few words, but those words have a lot of meaning. It seems they are paving the way to a new round of quantitative easing (QE2), if...
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.........But First, A Word From Our Sponsor.......... Countries poised to benefit from rising commodity prices: combined into one CD That's the Global Power ShiftSM Basket CD from EverBank®. In one CD, get the currencies of 4 countries rich in natural resources-and whose economies may benefit from...
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I have been writing for a very long time about the coming debacle that the commercial real estate problem is going to be. This week's Outside the Box is an interview that my good friend David Galland did with Andy Miller, a man on the inside of the coming commercial real estate crisis. I thought...
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Forecast 2009: Deflation, Deleveraging, and the Stimulus Effect Muddle Through on Hold Lies, Damned Lies, and Government Unemployment Numbers Central Bankers of the World, Unite! Predictions 2009 La Jolla, Bermuda, and Europe Where are we headed in 2009? We will explore that in detail over the next few...
Posted to
Thoughts From The Frontline
by
John Mauldin
on
01-10-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: The Fed, Oil, Employment, Housing, Consumer Spending, Economic Forecast, Economic Outlook, Deflation, Bailout, Consumer Confidence, Deleveraging, Richard Russell, 2009, Forecast
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Yesterday I sent you an Outside the Box from Paul McCulley who supports the government and Fed activity (in general) in the current economic crisis. Today we look at an opposing view from Bennet Sedacca of Atlantic Advisors. He asks some very interesting questions like: Shouldn't the consumer, after...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
01-07-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Mortgage, Housing, The Fed, Subprime, Interest Rates, Portfolio Diversification, Consumer Debt, Financial Reform, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Bank Failures, Corporate Debt, Bennet Sedacca, Bailout, Bear Market, FOMC, Economic Crisis, T-Bills
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This week we look at a short but excellent summary of the state of the current economic crisis. I always enjoy reading David Rosenberg, the North American economist of Merrill Lynch. He has a no-nonsense style that is refreshing from most mainstream economists. The reality is that things continue to...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
12-01-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Housing, The Fed, GDP, Ben Bernadke, Consumer Spending, Recession, Consumer Confidence, Merrill Lynch, Barack Obama, Capex, FOMC, David Rosenberg
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It is indeed a very interesting time in which to live, especially watching the financial markets. The disconnect among authorities, regulators, companies and investors is almost too much to comprehend. There are no precedents for the turmoil we are in. This week we read an essay by a name familiar to...
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Introduction We are in a world far different than the one I learned about in economic text books. As I have written, the shadow banking system of hedge funds and CDOs, CLOs, PIPES, etc. have created a new financing economic reality far different than the traditional banking system was just 20 years ago...
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Sea Change at the Fed "Of his bones are coral made: Those are pearls that were his eyes: Nothing of him that doth fade, But doth suffer a sea change Into something rich and strange" (The Tempest - Shakespeare) The term "sea change" has come to mean a profound transformation ever since...
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Market Mayhem & Credit Fears - What's Next? IN THIS ISSUE: 1. The Economy - The News Is Not All Bad 2. Consumer Spending Remains Firm For Now 3. Housing & Subprime - More Bad News 4. Should The Government Come To The Rescue? 5. The Fed Needs To Act On September 18 6. BCA's Latest Analysis...
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Should the Fed Cut Interest Rates? The Shocker in the Employment Numbers Should the Federal Reserve Cut Interest Rates? Will A Cut Make Any Difference? How Housing Woes Hurt the Rest of the Economy Home Again, Home Again The unemployment numbers came in today, and if you look under the hood of the data...
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Stock Prices Plunge In The Perfect Storm IN THIS ISSUE: 1. Stocks Make New Record Highs, Then Plummet 2. Forget The Cheese, Just Let Me Out Of The Trap! 3. Unwinding The "Yen Carry Trade" 4. Fed & Central Banks To The Rescue 5. So What Next? - BCA's Latest Analysis 6. Conclusions -...
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The Mortgage Pig in the Python Inflation is Baked into the CPI Numbers The Mortgage Pig in the Python Housing Starts Look to Stop A Few Thoughts on the Recent Credit Crisis Half of All Hedge Funds Gone? Golf, Weddings, and Europe With the economy increasingly looking like it will slow down materially...
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On The Economy, Stocks & Protectionism IN THIS ISSUE: 1. US Economy Improved In The 2Q 2. BCA's Latest Thinking On The Economy 3. The Bull Market In Stocks Continues, Sort Of 4. Angelina Jolie Stock Index - What's Next? 5. Fed Holds Steady Again, Lowers Inflation Concern 6. Protectionism...
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Introduction This week we look at the yen carry trade, delve deeper into the mortgage lending world, and see if we can find a possible connection between them and the economy in general through something called complexity theory. As I have written for many months, I think the subprime mortgage problems...