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Let's peel our eyes away from the eurozone disaster momentarily and take a look at another crisis – one with just as much potential to impact our global financial system. As we've discussed in Outside the Box before, Iran's trump card is not its nuclear capability but rather its opportune...
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Take a minute – and maybe a deep breath too – and imagine the markets at opening bell on a hypothetical morning when live video shows burning oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz (through which 40% of the world's seaborne oil passes). Couple that with the already shaky state of the current...
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For those of you that have read about my new book, Endgame, you know I make the point that, while there are no good options for dealing with the debt crisis, the worst choice of all is doing nothing. In today's Outside the Box, you'll see a similar argument—but this "lesser of two...
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I've been in this business a long time. Some days it feels like a very long time. But never in all the years that I've been in the financial markets have I felt like business per se has less impact on my investment decisions. Let me explain. GM shares have gone from being a claim on earnings...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
04-23-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Middle East, George Friedman, Stratfor, Credit, Geopolitics, Recession, Russia, Asia, Turkey, General Motors, Armenia, IMF, Jihadist War
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Dear Friends: The hottest media topic of the New Year is the Israeli-Palestinian conflict in Gaza. And as I was reading the New York Times on Tuesday, I came across this sentence in one of the articles that was staggeringly truthful and more than a little unsettling in its implications for me as an investor...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
01-08-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Middle East, George Friedman, Oil, Stratfor, Geopolitics, OPEC, Iran, Persian Gulf, Israel, Intelligence, Saudi Arabia, Israeli-Palestinian Conflict, Gaza
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Really hear what I'm about to tell you. The center of gravity of the world economic system has moved from New York to Washington. Let me illustrate what I mean so you understand just how profound this is. Banks used to compete against banks. US carmakers competed against each other and the Japanese...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
10-30-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Middle East, George Friedman, Stratfor, Geopolitics, Russia, Foreign Policy, Global Economy, Africa, Strategic Forecasting, Latin America, Europe, Emerging Economies, East Asia, South Asia
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"But this time it's different!!!" Any time you hear that from a financial analyst, you should run. Or better still, take the other side of his trade! If you're numerically oriented, you know that patterns tend to revert to the mean. If you're historically oriented, you know that...
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This is a Special Edition of Outside the Box from my friend George Friedman and Stratfor. You've heard me say before that these guys see the world in a different way, but this piece just makes it crystal clear. There are serious rumblings about a major war coming between Israel and its neighbors...
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IN THIS ISSUE: 1. The Iraq War From Stratfor's Perspective 2. Stratfor's War: Five Years Later 3. Iraq In The Wake Of The 2008 Election 4. The Mainstream Media's War Introduction In this week's E-Letter, I'm going to reprint a recent article written by Dr. George Friedman, founder...
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This week in our Special Outside the Box, George Friedman of Stratfor addresses what many believe to be the looming war with Iran, the potential wars' strategic futility, the underlying geopolitical implications, and the inherent threats that abound on account of Iran's defensive measures and...
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Introduction One of the things I found out in my recent survey of readers is that many of you really like the special Outside the Box I send every now and then from George Friedman and Stratfor. I share your enthusiasm for the really unique world view that George and his team bring to us. This week's...
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Introduction This week in a Special Outside the Box good friend George Friedman addresses the Byzantine geopolitical ramifications of recent three party discussions between the Americans, Iraqis, and Iranians. With no obvious reason to trust one another and a good deal of reasons not to, why are we seeing...
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Introduction This week's special edition of Outside the Box touches on the strained relationship between the U.S. and Iran as the war in Iraq continues to loom. Bush is nearing the end of his tenure as President and is (as well as has been) seeking a solution for America's involvement in the...
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Introduction Today's special edition Outside the Box discusses the long-term strategy that Russian President Vladimir Putin is setting in place. Stratfor President George Friedman has written an intriguing article on what he sees as some motives, opportunities and scenarios that the Russian leadership...
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Introduction Today's Special Edition of "Outside the Box" by my friends at Stratfor gives us a very insightful analysis of the difference between the rhetoric of Iran and the reality of the world they face. George Friedman, President of Stratfor, dispassionately gives us a look at the world...