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As my good friend Gary Shilling says, in leading off his piece on 2012 investment themes, which is this week’s OTB, “This year is just the first step in the long-run journey that will continue to be dominated by The Age of Deleveraging” – which also just happens to be the title of Gary’s latest book...
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IN THIS ISSUE: Financial Regulatory Reform Becomes Law of the Land Doesn’t Solve “Too-Big-to-Fail” or Fannie/Freddie Mess Reform Creates a Massive New Government Bureaucracy Changes to Bank Regulations – Not Too Restrictive Some Derivatives to be Regulated & Traded on Exchanges...
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This week we visit an essay from an old friend of Outside the Box, Paul McCulley, the Managing Directpr of PIMCO. This is a speech he did at the Minsky Conference sponsored (I believe) by the Levy Institute. It was also the same speech he gave at my conference mid-April that was quite well received....
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It's Time for Reform We Can Believe In The Fed Must Be Independent Credit Default Swaps Threaten the System Too Big To Fail Must Go And This Thing About Leverage What Happens If We Do Nothing? New York, Media, and La Jolla Casey Stengel, manager of the hapless 1962 New York Mets, once famously asked...
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Dear Reader, David is taking a well-deserved week off, so this week you’re hearing from Olivier. While David may be off duty, it didn’t prevent him from submitting an interesting article sent by one of our subscribers, along with a couple of comments. Telegraph: U.S. cities may have to be bulldozed in...
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Nearly everyone I talk with has the sense that we are at some critical point in our economic and national paths, not just in the US but in the world. One path will lead us back to relative growth and another set of choices leads us down a path which will put a very real drag on economic growth and recovery...
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Dear Reader, Last time I wrote, I labored under the after-effects of a mild case of “immoderation.” In response to which the ever-moving Doug Casey (writing from Washington D.C.) sent along the following witticisms, which I thought you might enjoy... “While a little absinthe can be quite pleasant, a...
Posted to
The Room
by
David Galland
on
05-15-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: The Fed, David Galland, Deficit, Bud Conrad, Taxes, Mexico, England, Swine Flu, Regulation, Socialism, Star Trek
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In This Issue: An Update on Our Performance A Revealing Voice from 1938 Paying the Presumptuous Piper Misery Loves Company Pertinent Facts Government-Induced Portfolio Pain Les (Tax) Miserables The Bad Dreams of Our Forefathers Portfolio Performance Analysis 4.6 Pounds and Counting Most everyone has...
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IN THIS ISSUE: 1. The $50 Billion Bernard Madoff Ponzi Scheme 2. Bernard Madoff’s Career History 3. The Money Management Arm Of Madoff 4. Madoff’s Supposed Investment Strategy 5. How Could Regulators Have Missed This One? 6. Lessons To Be Learned From The Madoff Fiasco...
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What is fair value for stocks? Are they now cheap? You can certainly make that argument by comparing valuations based on past performance. But repeat after me, "Past performance is not indicative of future returns." The investment climate of today is almost certainly going to be quite different...
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Richard Schwartz's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Eighteenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz, New York 12561 - U.S. A. · (845) 255-6894...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
12-01-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Technical View, Investing Strategies, Charting, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Stock Market Weekly, Macroeconomics, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Extended Bear Markets, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Recession, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Trend Reversals, Recessions, Reflex Rally, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Global Economy, Stock Market, Capitalism, Big Picture, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Economics, Mr. Market, Chart Patterns, Charts, Financial Discipline, Government, Change, Big Picture View, Business, US Government, Regulation
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THE BIG PICTURE Today’s Big Picture view revolves around the probable coming re-regulation of the financial markets. History shows regulation of markets is similar to a grandfather’s clock pendulum swinging back and forth although not as regular. A brief look back to the start of the 20 th...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
10-06-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Alan Greenspan, The Age of Turbulence, Investing Strategies, Inflation, US Economy, Socialism, Politics, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, Macroeconomics, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Tops, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, Global Trend, Deflation, Investment Themes, Globalization, Financial Crisis, The Principle of Understanding Value, 1974, 1973, Bretton Woods, Economic Common Sense, Manufacturing, Consumer Spending, Service Economy, Industrial Economy, History, Global View, Global Economy, Stock Market, Democracy, Capitalism, Hyperinflation, Credit Crunch, Credit Crisis, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Financial Media, Economics, Investor Psychology, 1932, 1929, Financial Discipline, Job Growth, America, Culture, Government, Lifestyle, Living Standards, Big Picture View, Business, Theme, Regulation, Re-regulation
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Who's Afraid of a Big, Bad Bailout? It's the End of the World As We Know It The TED Spread Flashes Trouble The Transmission Mechanism Let's Make a Deal Colorado, California, London, and Sweden "A tournament, a tournament, a tournament of lies. Offer me solutions, offer me alternatives...
Posted to
Thoughts From The Frontline
by
John Mauldin
on
09-27-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Recession, Bond Market, Risk, Subprime, Euro, Regulation, Economic Crisis, Banking, TED spread, Lending, SIV, Bailout, Joe Barton
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Thoughts on the Continuing Crisis If the Rules are Inconvenient, Change the Rules Let's Re-arrange the Deck Chairs Regulations Coming to a Hedge Fund Near You More Fun in the Unemployment Numbers A Muddle Through Recession How Much do we Borrow for a $1 growth in GDP? London, Switzerland and South...