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.........But First, A Word From Our Sponsor.......... Down on the dollar? Foreign currencies at EverBank could be your answer. If you're intrigued by the possibility of lower portfolio risk and gains against a weak U.S. dollar, look to us for: -- Familiar products: WorldCurrency CDs and Money Market...
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Economics This Week’s Data Weekly mortgage applications rose 3.8%, the third increase in as many weeks. Weekly jobless claims were up slightly versus expectations that they would be down slightly (this article is short in length): http://www.calculatedriskblog...
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IN THIS ISSUE: Economic Signs of Improvement Fed Vows to Keep Rates Low Market Comments from John P. Hussman, Ph.D. Conclusions Introduction We have seen some encouraging economic news in recent weeks, and President Obama and his cronies in the mainstream media have declared that the worst recession...
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This week I offer you two short pieces for your Outside the Box Reading Pleasure. The first is from my friends at GaveKal and is part of their daily letter. They address the real difference between those who think we will have a consumer led recovery (Keynesian) and those who think we will have a corporate...
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The Statistical Recovery, Part Two A Recovery Statisticians Can Love A Few Thoughts on the Housing Market Some Thoughts from Maine Tulsa, Birthdays, Weddings, and Paul McCartney A few weeks ago I first used the term "statistical recovery" to describe the nature of today's economic environment...
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AN HISTORIC GURU VIEW . Written Friday morning, August 14 th , 2009 . Being in and around the stock market for the last 35 years -- I can’t believe it’s been that long! -- I’ve seen market gurus burn hot and cold. In my early years I was in more of a daze, doing ancillary brokerage...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
08-14-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Charting, Dow Theory, The Principle of Primary Trend, Bubbles, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Extended Bear Markets, Jim Rogers, Market Corrections, Tops, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, The Big Picture, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Deflation, Elliott Wave Principle, Recession, Rallies, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Trader Vic, Vic Sperandeo, Investor's Business Daily, Spin, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, Reflex Rally, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Big Picture, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Financial Media, Bear Markets, Chart Patterns, Depression, Change, Big Picture View, IBD, Robert Prechter, Alexander Elder, Marc Faber, depression within a depression, William O'Neil, Ted Warren, gurus, Ned Davis, Richard Russell, Elliott Wave, E. George Schaefer, Ralph N. Elliott, Ed Hyman, Wave 2, Joe Granville, A Gary Shilling, William Peter Hamilton, John Naisbitt, Stan Weinstein, Harry Schultz, Elaine Garzarelli, Norman Fosback, cyclical bear markets, Jim Dines, Papa Bear, Wave 3, Louis Navellier, Trader Vic Sperandeo, Megatrends, Dan Sullivan, Robert Rhea, Marty Zeig, Comstock, secular bear markets, Charles Dow
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IN THIS ISSUE: Finally, Some Good News For The US Economy More Insights From The Latest GDP Report Media & Obama Declare The Recession Is Ending Consumer Spending Is Still The Key 100+ Hedge Fund Managers Offer Their Predictions Introduction The Commerce Department announced last Friday that the...
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SCHWARTZ RECESSION CONCLUSION . Tuesday, July 28 th , 2009 . Ok, after much consideration, here’s my conclusion as to what unfolds going forward. The economy struggles through but survives the next few years. About 20% of Americans have a very, very difficult time out of work and out of hope but...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-28-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Historical Perspectve, Federal Reserve, Extended Bear Markets, The Principle of History, The Big Picture, Recession, Financial Crisis, Bear Market Legs, History, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Big Picture, Bear Markets, Depression, Big Picture View, consumer retrenchment, Great Recession, depression within a depression
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The Return of Muddle Through* Can China Lead the Global Recovery? The Statistical Recovery The Last Bear Standing New York, Maine and Tulsa A lot of bullish commentators are talking about a recovery being in the works, and they may very well be right. But it is not going to look like any recovery worthy...
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The End of the Recession? The New Normal Is Still In Our Future The Hidden Problem Within Unemployment Data Was Income Really Up? Tulsa, London, and The Baltics Last week we began a series on data abuse, about how various commentators twist and torture data to make it say what they want, or fail to look...
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This Time It's Different* Peter Bernstein, R.I.P. Welcome to the New Normal The Three Amigos Credit Spreads - Bullish or Bearish? ISM - Is Less Bad That Good? Contain Your Enthusiasm London, The Baltics, and Rome I have often written that the four most dangerous words in the investment world are...
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Before we get into this week's Outside the Box, let me give you a few pieces of data that came across my desk this morning, which will help set the stage for the OTB offering. Fitch (the ratings agency), in a downgrade of yet another 543 mortgage-backed securities of 2005-07 vintage, gives us the...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
06-15-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Housing, Japan, GDP, Recession, Household Wealth, Global Economy, Germany, Europe, Employment, Will Hutton, Paul Krugman, Fitch
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Dear Friends: One of the first things you learn about analyzing a company is how to dissect a balance sheet. What assets and liabilities can be deployed by a company to create equity over time? I've enclosed a fascinating variant on this process. Take a look at how STRATFOR has analyzed the "geographic...