This Time It's Different* Peter Bernstein, R.I.P. Welcome to the New Normal The Three Amigos Credit Spreads - Bullish or Bearish? ISM - Is Less Bad That Good? Contain Your Enthusiasm London, The Baltics, and Rome I have often written that the four most dangerous words in the investment world are...
Before we get into this week's Outside the Box, let me give you a few pieces of data that came across my desk this morning, which will help set the stage for the OTB offering. Fitch (the ratings agency), in a downgrade of yet another 543 mortgage-backed securities of 2005-07 vintage, gives us the...
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John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
06-15-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Housing, Japan, GDP, Recession, Household Wealth, Global Economy, Germany, Europe, Employment, Will Hutton, Paul Krugman, Fitch
Dear Friends: One of the first things you learn about analyzing a company is how to dissect a balance sheet. What assets and liabilities can be deployed by a company to create equity over time? I've enclosed a fascinating variant on this process. Take a look at how STRATFOR has analyzed the "geographic...
Things That Go Bump in the Night A Trillion Dollars as Far as the Eye Can See The Global Recession Gets Worse Where Will the Money Come From? The Paradox of Deficits Naples, London, and Eastern Europe From ghoulies and ghosties And long-leggedy beasties And things that go bump in the night, Good Lord...
Can the credit crisis get any worse? In this week's Outside the Box my London partner Niels Jensen shows that it indeed can. Banks, and mainly European banks, have large exposure to emerging market debt of all types through both sovereign, corporate and individual loans. Just as banks have had to...
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John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
11-10-2008
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Filed under: The Fed, Credit Crisis, Hedge Funds, Recession, The Dollar, Niels Jensen, Credit Default Swaps, Deleveraging, Absolute Return Partners, Yen, Europe, European Banks, Emerging Economies, Iceland
Dear Friends: Exhale for a moment, forget your losses for the time being, and try to appreciate the fact that you're living through the single most important development in global finance since Bretton Woods. This is a "tell the grandkids about it" moment, when governments all around the...
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John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
10-16-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Credit Crisis, George Friedman, Stratfor, Geopolitics, Recession, Globalization, Banks, Global Economy, Economy, Financial Crisis, Bank Failures, Bailout, Europe
GLOBAL VIEW . Yep, when I started reading the Bloomberg newswire this morning, I found: (1) that European “retail sales declined -2.9% in April, more than three times as much as economists forecast,” (2) that March’s retail spending was revised downward from -1.6% to -2.3%, (3) that...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-04-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Inflation, US Economy, Economic Data, Global Investing, Macroeconomics, The Big Picture, Global Trend, Emerging Markets, Recession, Global View, Asia, Global Economy, Europe, Wall Street View, Fronteir Countries, Developing Countries