Economics This Week’s Data Weekly mortgage applications rose 3.8%, the third increase in as many weeks. Weekly jobless claims were up slightly versus expectations that they would be down slightly (this article is short in length): http://www.calculatedriskblog...
IN THIS ISSUE: Federal Bailouts Surpassing $10 Trillion Government Finance 101 Who Will Buy All This New Debt? Bernanke: Crank Up The Printing Presses Real Storm Clouds On The Horizon Conclusions – Not Many I Can Find Introduction Over the last two weeks, I have discussed at some length President Obama's...
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Forecasts & Trends
by
Gary D. Halbert
on
02-24-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Gary D. Halbert, The Fed, Recession, Barack Obama, Ben Bernanke, Bailout, Globalization, Deflation, Timothy Geithner, Government Spending, Government Debt
IN THIS ISSUE: The Recession Continues To Deepen So, How Deep & How Long? Multi-Trillion Dollar Bailouts In The Works Obama's $825 Billion "Stimulus" Package Obama's Next "Big Bang" Bank Bailout Fed Gearing Up To Buy Treasury Bonds Introduction We are witnessing the most...
IN THIS ISSUE: Latest Grim Numbers On The US Economy The Latest On The Government Bailouts Fed Announces The Mother Of All Bailouts Troubling Aspects Of The Fed's Latest Bailout Fighting A "Debt-Deflation" At Any Cost Introduction The economy, the financial crisis and government bailouts...
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Forecasts & Trends
by
Gary D. Halbert
on
12-09-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Gary D. Halbert, The Fed, GDP, Subprime, Recession, Consumer Confidence, Ben Bernanke, Deficit, Depression, Stratfor, Bailout, Economy, Henry Paulson, Deflation
The Slow Motion Recession Revisited Inflation, Deflation and Stagflation An Update on Myanmar New York "We appear to be entering a period of serious stagflation with sharply rising expected and actual inflation combined with large downside risks to growth and employment." "I would argue...
THE BIG PICTURE Last Monday I presented the bull’s three pronged case , that: (1) the credit crisis is past it’s worst stages, (2) that we can skirt a recession or just experience a mild one and (3) that we have good value in stocks today. I offered the bull’s view up for balance, to...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-28-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Stagflation, Inflation, Jobs Report, US Economy, Economic Data, Weekly Letter, Macroeconomics, Economy Weekly, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Government Intervention, Deflation, Recession, Globalization, Bretton Woods, Economic Common Sense, Money Supply, Manufacturing, Consumer Spending, Recessions, Service Economy, Industrial Economy, Spin
OIL NOW AT $130! What will be the resolution of today’s high oil prices? The best, first approach in analyzing anything is to look back at any historical parallels we can find. The two oil crises of the 1970’s pop immediately to mind. Thus I just printed out a few online histories, including...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-21-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Stagflation, Commodities, Green Investing, Alternative Energy, Soft Commodities, Dow Transports, Commodity Bull Market, Historical Perspectve, Oil, The Principle of History, Deflation, Recession, Rising Wedge, Agricultural Commodities, AG, Globalization
THE ECONOMY Written Monday, May 5th, 2008: Regular Weekly Overview: Numerous economists are now saying the possibility of an US recession has passed. I think this change of viewpoint began about a week plus back when the Durable Goods Orders–Ex Transports for March rose +1.5%, better than the ...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-08-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Stagflation, US Economy, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Weekly Letter, Macroeconomics, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, The Principle of History, The Big Picture, Deflation, Recession