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Richard Schwartz's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Nineteenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz, New York 12561 - U.S. A. · (845) 255-6894...
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Principles of the Stock Market
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Richard Schwartz
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12-15-2009
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, 50% Rule, Abu Dhabi, Schwartz Rules, Historical Perspectve, Extended Bear Markets, The Big Picture, Elliott Wave Principle, Consumer Spending, Bear Market Rally, Bear Market Rallies, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Robert Prechter, US Dollar Index, Elliott Wave, socionomics, A-B-C, 1957 bear market signal, Investor's Intelligence, 61.8% retracment, Fibonnaci, Tiger Woods, Greece, Termites, Market Psychology, Contrarian investing, Asian Contagion, Dubai, S&P 1121, cry wolf
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GLOBAL VIEW . OK, HERE’S THE REAL BIG NEWS ! All the above is well and good but the key news was shown on the public broadcasting channel last night, on World Focus which runs at 6 pm my time (the old BBC news, now Americanized as World Focus). I purposely watched it last night to see how they...
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Principles of the Stock Market
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Richard Schwartz
on
09-24-2009
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, US Economy, The Principle of Primary Trend, Geopolitics, Schwartz Rules, Historical Perspectve, The Principle of History, The Big Picture, Deflation, Stock Market, US Government, The Cycles of America History, World Focus, war in Veit Nam, war in Afghanistan, first mover
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IBD 100 ‘NEW NAMES.’ Only three new names hit the latest weekly ( September 14 th , 2009 ), computer-generated IBD 100 list of “leading growth companies,” those companies showing good fundamentals, having some institutional sponsorship, producing solid earnings growth and outperforming...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
09-15-2009
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Investing Strategies, IBD 100 'New Names', Portfolio Strategy, The Big Picture, Investment Themes, The Principle of Proper Money Management, The Principle of Understanding Value, Investor's Business Daily, Stock Market, Capitalism, Bullish on America, Change, Big Picture View, Profit, First Mover Advantage, IBD 100, Theme, IBD, Sir John Templeton, Growth Investing
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GOLD’S GONE SOMNOLENT . Written August 28, 2009. The price of gold has gone so quiet, I post it on my wall charts each morning and then forget about it. So let me bring up, and verbally visulize for you, a longer range chart for perspective. REVIEWING . Ok, looking way, way back I see gold blowing...
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Principles of the Stock Market
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Richard Schwartz
on
08-28-2009
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Gold, Commodities, Economic Data, Bubbles, Commodity Bull Market, Extended Bear Markets, Market Corrections, The Principle of History, Trades, Deflation, Bull Market Corrections, Commodity Inflation, Big Picture, Bear Markets, Bullish on America, A Gary Shilling, Jim Dines, John Hussman
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AN HISTORIC GURU VIEW . Written Friday morning, August 14 th , 2009 . Being in and around the stock market for the last 35 years -- I can’t believe it’s been that long! -- I’ve seen market gurus burn hot and cold. In my early years I was in more of a daze, doing ancillary brokerage...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
08-14-2009
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Charting, Dow Theory, The Principle of Primary Trend, Bubbles, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Extended Bear Markets, Jim Rogers, Market Corrections, Tops, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, The Big Picture, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Deflation, Elliott Wave Principle, Recession, Rallies, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Trader Vic, Vic Sperandeo, Investor's Business Daily, Spin, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, Reflex Rally, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Big Picture, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Financial Media, Bear Markets, Chart Patterns, Depression, Change, Big Picture View, IBD, Robert Prechter, Alexander Elder, Marc Faber, depression within a depression, William O'Neil, Ted Warren, gurus, Ned Davis, Richard Russell, Elliott Wave, E. George Schaefer, Ralph N. Elliott, Ed Hyman, Wave 2, Joe Granville, A Gary Shilling, William Peter Hamilton, John Naisbitt, Stan Weinstein, Harry Schultz, Elaine Garzarelli, Norman Fosback, cyclical bear markets, Jim Dines, Papa Bear, Wave 3, Louis Navellier, Trader Vic Sperandeo, Megatrends, Dan Sullivan, Robert Rhea, Marty Zeig, Comstock, secular bear markets, Charles Dow
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THE BIG PICTURE The key thought: History shows the economy can be bad and the stock market good! Understanding that one idea is key to making a logical decision about the stock market here. I tried to get this across at Elizabeth ’s 9 th birthday party to the family Saturday. The stock market is...
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Principles of the Stock Market
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Richard Schwartz
on
08-03-2009
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Investing Strategies, Keys to the Market, The Principle of Primary Trend, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Extended Bear Markets, The Principle of History, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, Elliott Wave Principle, Stock Market Lessons, Financial Crisis, Investor's Business Daily, Economic Common Sense, Stock Market, Capitalism, Big Picture, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Financial Media, Bear Markets, Economics, Investor Psychology, 1932, Depression, America, Government, Big Picture View, IBD, Great Recession, depression within a depression, unfettered capitalism, The 1930s, 1932-1937, William O'Neil, clunkers for cash, President Bush, Obama Miracle
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SCHWARTZ RECESSION CONCLUSION . Tuesday, July 28 th , 2009 . Ok, after much consideration, here’s my conclusion as to what unfolds going forward. The economy struggles through but survives the next few years. About 20% of Americans have a very, very difficult time out of work and out of hope but...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-28-2009
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Historical Perspectve, Federal Reserve, Extended Bear Markets, The Principle of History, The Big Picture, Recession, Financial Crisis, Bear Market Legs, History, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Big Picture, Bear Markets, Depression, Big Picture View, consumer retrenchment, Great Recession, depression within a depression
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GLOBAL VIEW . China ’s Growing SOLAR Niche. China’s domestic-investor only stock market, the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite continues to rise. Looks like Chinese investors are setting themselves up for more trouble after the Shanghai exchange rose some 514% from mid 2005 to October 2007...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
04-14-2009
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Filed under: China, Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Clean Energy, Green Energy, China View, Alternative Energy, Bullish Signs, Global Investing, The Principle of Relative Strength, Elliott Wave Principle, Rallies, Investment Themes, Agricultural Commodities, Solar, Bear Market Rallies, Global View, Alternative Clean Green, To Be Rich is Glorious, Big Picture View, Theme, Robert Prechter, Marc Faber, Renewable Energy, Wind Power
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Richard Schwartz 's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Eighteenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz, New York 12561 - U.S. A. · (845) 255-6894...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
04-06-2009
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Investing Strategies, 50% Rule, Green Investing, GDP, US Economy, Personal Remarks, Bullish Signs, Keys to the Market, Economic Data, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Update On The Stock Market, Stock Market Weekly, Daily Update, Weekly Letter, Macroeconomics, US Treasuries, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Oil, Extended Bear Markets, Market Corrections, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Government Intervention, Trades, The Big Picture, Global Trend, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Recession, Rallies, Investment Themes, Trading Rules, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Financial Crisis, Economic Common Sense, Manufacturing, Consumer Spending, Service Economy, Bear Market Rally, Discounting Mechanism, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Big Picture, S&P 500, Credit Crunch, Energy, Credit Crisis, Economic Trends, Bear Markets, Economics, Mr. Market, Chart Patterns, Charts, Financial Discipline, Job Growth, Trade, Natural Resources, Government, Big Picture View, Theme, Oversold, Real Economy, Alexander Elder, Market Sectors, Dollar crisis, US Dollar Index, Visit of the Three Bears, CCI, Commodity Channel Index, Swing Trading, Oliver Perez
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ECONOMIC VIEW . Rising Inflation Expected . So predicts a whole slew of big names, everyone seems to be jumping on board this train in the last few days. Now Warren Buffett and Bill Gross have joined Marc Faber and Jim Rogers and more in predicting problematic inflation just out there over the horizon...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
03-11-2009
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Shorting, Investing Strategies, Inflation, Macroeconomics, US Treasuries, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Interest Rates, Jim Rogers, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, Fixed Income, Recession, Investment Themes, Financial Crisis, Bretton Woods, Economic Common Sense, History, Commodity Inflation, Big Picture, Credit Crunch, Credit Crisis, Economic Trends, Economics, ProFunds, Inverse Funds, Rydex, Government, Change, Big Picture View, Short ETFs, Real Economy, Market Sectors, ETF, Exchange-traded fund, RTPIX, Marc Faber, Warren Buffett, RYJUX, William Gross, Dollar crisis, Bill Gross, RRPIX
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ANTI -Stimulus Protest Demonstrations; Say What? That’s a big global fear surrounding this global economic slump. History shows economic debacles like this breed unrest, anger, frustration among those losing their jobs, etc. and thus protest demonstrations. If one watches www.worldfocus.com or...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
03-05-2009
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Inflation, US Economy, Socialism, Economic Data, The Fed, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Extended Bear Markets, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, Economic Common Sense, Consumer Spending, History, Global Economy, Barack Obama, Capitalism, Hyperinflation, Congress, Economics, Depression, Bullish on America, Government, Change, Lifestyle, Living Standards, Big Picture View, US Government, The Forgotten Man, Arthur Schlesinger, The Cycles of America History, Stimulation
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GLOBAL VIEW . What Is China ’s Strategy? Without having to worry about their banks, because China never got involved buying securitized, US subprime mortgages and other debt backed instruments, China’s now at a great advantage. Sure China is slumping fast economically like everyone else,...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
02-17-2009
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Filed under: China, Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, China View, Commodities, Investing Strategies, Soft Commodities, Global Investing, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, The Principle of History, Government Intervention, The Principle of Relative Strength, Emerging Markets, Investment Themes, Agricultural Commodities, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Global View, Developing Countries, Democracy, Capitalism, Economic Trends, Economics, Gas Prices, Farming, Natural Resources
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WHAT OBAMA RALLY? The Obama Rally hasn’t proven to be have much substance, at least not yet. If we track stock prices back to Election Day, November 4 th , the stock market hasn’t done much, in fact the S&P 500, the pro’s benchmark, is down -13.43%. Then, since Inauguration Day...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
01-27-2009
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Clean Energy, Trading, Green Energy, China View, (HOKU), (CHCHF), Climate Action Partnership, Alternative Energy, Charting, Government Intervention, Trades, Trader Vic, Vic Sperandeo, Global Warming, Energy Conservation, Solar, Battery Technology, Bear Market Rallies, Energy, CPST, FSLR, BCON, Power Conversion, WGOV, Energy Savings, Energy Controls, MXWL, COMV, Alternative Clean Green, ITRI, ENOC, BMI, Bear Markets, Charts, Natural Gas Vehicles, Wind Turbines, Cap & Trade, AMSC, First Mover Advantage, US Government, Capstone, Badger Meter, American Superconductor, EnerNOC, Woodward Governor, Comverge, Itron, Maxwell Tech, Beacon Power
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SECTOR VIEW . Biotech , Small Caps , US Treasuries and the US Dollar . Let’s comment on a couple market sectors and asset classes today. First, two stock market sectors which may prove profitable. Ha, you scoff! Profitable? In a bear market? Before you laugh, at least read my reasoning. 1. BIOTECH...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
01-16-2009
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, ETFs, Trading, Investing Strategies, Charting, Bullish Signs, Keys to the Market, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Portfolio Strategy, Federal Reserve, Extended Bear Markets, Jim Rogers, Market Corrections, Papa Bears, The Big Picture, The Principle of Relative Strength, Rallies, Investment Themes, Trends, Foreign Currencies, Financial Crisis, Trend Reversals, Investor's Business Daily, Flight to Safety, Intermediate Corrections, Round Numbers, Bull Market Corrections, Stock Market, Ben Bernanke, S&P Smallcap, S&P Midcap, Credit Crisis, Bear Markets, Chart Patterns, Charts, Round Number, Financial Discipline, Inverse Funds, Big Picture View, Model Portfolios, Short ETFs, January Effect, Market Sectors, Mark Hulbert
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Richard Schwartz 's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Eighteenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz, New York 12561 - U.S. A. · (845) 255-6894...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
01-06-2009
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, US Economy, Charting, Personal Remarks, Bullish Signs, Keys to the Market, Day to Day Action, Higher Higher & Higher Lows, Update On The Stock Market, Daily Update, IBD 100 'New Names', Portfolio Strategy, Perspective, Market Corrections, Government Intervention, The Principle of Relative Strength, Rallies, Investment Themes, Trading Rules, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Financial Crisis, Trader Vic, Investor's Business Daily, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Barack Obama, Congress, Peter Schiff, Financial Media, Stock Market Media, Chart Patterns, Financial Discipline, Trade, Government, Business, Longs, Profit, Industry Ranking, IBD 100, National Bureau of Economic Research, DMI, RSI, NBER, Alexander Elder