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Richard Schwartz's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Eighteenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz, New York 12561 - U.S. A. · (845) 255-6894...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
12-01-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Technical View, Investing Strategies, Charting, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Stock Market Weekly, Macroeconomics, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Extended Bear Markets, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Recession, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Trend Reversals, Recessions, Reflex Rally, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Global Economy, Stock Market, Capitalism, Big Picture, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Economics, Mr. Market, Chart Patterns, Charts, Financial Discipline, Government, Change, Big Picture View, Business, US Government, Regulation
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The Principle of Understanding History & The Principle of Technical Analysis . Written Tuesday, October 7th, 2008 OK, yesterday I heard one analyst, I believe it was Liz Ann Sounders, chief investment strategist for Charles Schwab say the recent sharp year-over-year (yoy) stock market decline is...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
10-07-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Shorting, Technical View, Investing Strategies, Charting, Dow Theory, Keys to the Market, Dow Transports, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Extended Bear Markets, Crashes, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, The Big Picture, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Stock Market Lessons, 1974, 1973, Recessions, Bear Market Legs, History, Stock Market, Big Picture, Dow Industrials, Credit Crunch, Bear Markets, Chart Patterns, 1932, 1929, Charts, Big Picture View, Shorts, Short Selling
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THE BIG PICTURE Written Monday, September 29th, 2008: 6:30 a.m.. What happened in Congress last Friday – House Republicans refusing to go along with the government’s rescue plan – was caused by political/economic ideology combined with Americans not wanting to bail out Wall Street....
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
09-29-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Seasonal View, US Economy, Socialism, Politics, Global Investing, The Fed, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Jim Rogers, The Principle of History, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, Recession, Stock Market Lessons, Globalization, Financial Crisis, Economic Common Sense, Spin, History, Stock Market, US Presidential Election, Capitalism, Ben Bernanke, Congress, Big Picture, Henry Paulson, Credit Crisis, Sell in May & Go Away, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, America, Culture, Government, Business, US Housing Crisis, Real Economy
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THE FIRST INFLATION SURGE IN 25 YEARS IS OVER. So, what now? First, let me give credit when credit is due. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and the Fed finally got one right. They’ve been promising us moderating inflation for a year or more and now with -30% lower crude oil prices and a big...
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Principles of the Stock Market
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Richard Schwartz
on
09-12-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Gold, Alan Greenspan, The Age of Turbulence, Commodities, Investing Strategies, 50% Rule, US Economy, Charting, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, The Fed, US Treasuries, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Oil, Jim Rogers, Market Corrections, The Principle of History, The Big Picture, Global Trend, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Deflation, Investment Themes, Agricultural Commodities, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, Globalization, Trend Reversals, 1974, 1973, History, Gold View, Intermediate Corrections, Bull Market Corrections, Global View, Global Economy, Stock Market, US Presidential Election, Gasoline, Commodity Inflation, Big Picture, Energy, Chart Patterns, Charts, Natural Gas, Boone Pickens, Natural Resources, Change, Big Picture View, US Housing Crisis, Food, US Government, Robert Prechter
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IBD 100 VIEW . Usually I report to you the ‘new names’ in the weekly IBD 100 list of leading companies, those companies outperforming most other stocks in price and with good fundamentals and earnings and revenues. With the idea that there is a ‘first mover’ advantage in becoming...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-22-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Investing Strategies, Charting, Bullish Signs, Keys to the Market, IBD 100 'New Names', Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Trades, The Principle of Relative Strength, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Investment Themes, Stock Market Lessons, Investor's Business Daily, Bear Market Legs, Cramer, Stock Market, Credit Crisis, Financial Media, Charts, Bullish on America, Lifestyle, Model Portfolios, Profit, Industry Ranking, MAD MONEY, First Mover Advantage, IBD 100
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STRATEGY VIEW . This morning please let me warn a bit further about using inverse vehicles. Appropriate because yesterday’s big rally must have gotten everyone’s attention, longs and shorts alike, but especially those now using these shorting vehicles. And because I’ve been getting...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-17-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, ETFs, Investing Strategies, Hedging, Hedge, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Update On The Stock Market, Daily Update, Portfolio Strategy, Extended Bear Markets, Market Corrections, Papa Bears, The Big Picture, The Principle of Relative Strength, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, S&P 500, Dow Industrials, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Financial Discipline, ProFunds, Inverse Funds, Fidelity Selects, Rydex, Big Picture View, Model Portfolios, Short ETFs, Shorts, Longs
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MORE RECOMMENDATIONS ON MY NEW ENERGY SAVERS THEME On Friday, June 13 th , I began a new investment theme, what I called the Energy Savings (Savers) Theme . Essentially a new theme is when some macro force is seen as boosting a whole group of companies, not just one hot company with a new product. And...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-15-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Clean Energy, Trading, Green Energy, Green Investing, Alternative Energy, US Economy, Charting, The Principle of Primary Trend, Portfolio Strategy, Perspective, Oil, Extended Bear Markets, The Big Picture, Investment Themes, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, The Principle of Understanding Value, Energy Conservation, Battery Technology, Economic Common Sense, Stock Market, Energy, CPST, CHP, BCON, Power Conversion, WGOV, Energy Savings, Energy Controls, MXWL, COMV, Alternative Clean Green, ITRI, ENOC, BMI, Economic Trends, Chart Patterns, Charts, Bullish on America, Natural Gas, Foreign Oil Dependency, Lifestyle, AMSC, ALTI
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PORTFOLIO STRATEGY This year’s mid-March to mid-May bear market rally was the first rally versus the new primary bear market downtrend. Usually the first rally is the best rally (just like the first loss is the best loss) because many investors believe the bull market still lives and thus it’s...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-14-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Keys to the Market, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Daily Update, Weekly Letter, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Extended Bear Markets, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Trades, Trading Rules, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Trend Reversals, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, Bear Stearns, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Ben Bernanke, Dow Industrials, Credit Crunch, Credit Crisis, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Mr. Market
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A NEW INVESTMENT THEME FOR YOU TODAY . Quiet, don’t tell anyone about this new theme until you get invested. Anyway, finding a successful theme early on, before the crowd finds it, is one of many different ways to profitable investing in the stock market. I’d say it’s one of the best...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-13-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Clean Energy, Green Energy, Investing Strategies, Green Investing, Alternative Energy, Portfolio Strategy, Perspective, The Big Picture, Global Trend, Investment Themes, Agricultural Commodities, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Understanding Value, Global Warming, Energy Conservation, Solar, Energy, CPST, FSLR, MOS, CHP, BCON, Power Conversion, WGOV, Energy Savings, AGU, Sell in May & Go Away, POT, Energy Controls, MXWL, STP. SPWR
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Technically, the market looks out of steam. Whether this latest two day fall back is the end of the bear market rally or just a normal “shake out” of weak holders on the way higher is open. Remember I thought the market had exhausted itself back two weeks ago when I saw Rising Wedges in a...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-22-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Shorting, Technical View, Keys to the Market, 4-Day Rule, Portfolio Strategy, Market Corrections, Tops, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, Rising Wedge, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Trend Reversals, 4-Day Corollary Rule, Trader Vic, Vic Sperandeo
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The Principle of History. Knowing one’s history gives us guidelines and a basis to work from. So yesterday I began to compare the last Papa Bear market we lived through, 1973-1974, which encompassed the first really oil crisis, to today’s ongoing bear market and oil shock. I said I was printing...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-22-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Shorting, Technical View, Stagflation, Inflation, Keys to the Market, The Principle of Primary Trend, Seven Principles, Day to Day Action, Daily Update, 4-Day Rule, Macroeconomics, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Oil, Extended Bear Markets, Crashes, Market Corrections, Tops, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Trades, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, Rising Wedge, Trading Rules, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, 1974, 1973
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LOOKING BACK : One major day-trading tenet is to look back at each trade & learn from both your successes & mistakes. This rule should apply to investing, speculating, everything. So let me do so today. THE SOFT AGRICULTURAL THEME . Yesterday I cleaned out my files and found when I first began...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-15-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Clean Energy, Green Energy, Commodities, Investing Strategies, Green Investing, Alternative Energy, Soft Commodities, Macroeconomics, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Schwartz Rules, Perspective, Investment Themes, Trading Rules, Agricultural Commodities, Trends, Day-Trading, Stock Market Lessons, AG