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Richard Schwartz's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Eighteenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz, New York 12561 - U.S. A. · (845) 255-6894...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
12-01-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Technical View, Investing Strategies, Charting, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Stock Market Weekly, Macroeconomics, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Extended Bear Markets, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Recession, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Trend Reversals, Recessions, Reflex Rally, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Global Economy, Stock Market, Capitalism, Big Picture, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Economics, Mr. Market, Chart Patterns, Charts, Financial Discipline, Government, Change, Big Picture View, Business, US Government, Regulation
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THE BIG PICTURE Written Monday, September 29th, 2008: 6:30 a.m.. What happened in Congress last Friday – House Republicans refusing to go along with the government’s rescue plan – was caused by political/economic ideology combined with Americans not wanting to bail out Wall Street....
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
09-29-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Seasonal View, US Economy, Socialism, Politics, Global Investing, The Fed, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Jim Rogers, The Principle of History, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, Recession, Stock Market Lessons, Globalization, Financial Crisis, Economic Common Sense, Spin, History, Stock Market, US Presidential Election, Capitalism, Ben Bernanke, Congress, Big Picture, Henry Paulson, Credit Crisis, Sell in May & Go Away, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, America, Culture, Government, Business, US Housing Crisis, Real Economy
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Richard Schwartz's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Seventeenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz, New York 12561 - U.S. A. · (845) 255-6894...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-28-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Alan Greenspan, US Economy, Socialism, Keys to the Market, Politics, Economic Data, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Higher Higher & Higher Lows, Update On The Stock Market, Weekly Letter, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Interest Rates, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Trades, The Big Picture, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Fixed Income, Rallies, Investment Themes, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Economic Common Sense, Recessions, Spin, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, History, Bear Market Rallies, Europe, John McCain, Stock Market, US Presidential Election, Barack Obama, Democracy, Capitalism, Big Picture, S&P 500, Dow Industrials, Energy, Economic Trends, Bear Markets, Economics, Crude Oil, Bullish on America, Energy Sevice, Foreign Oil Dependency, Bureaucracy, America, Lifestyle, Living Standards, Big Picture View, Lobbying, Business, CNBC, Longs, Profit, Summer Rally, Income Investors, National Bureau of Economic Research, Barak Obama
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YOUR ALTERNATE CLEAN, GREEN ENERGY WEEKEND UPDATE With not much stock market stuff to write about since I don’t want to recommend buying or selling this morning as we all should have our portfolios hunkered down and pretty much in place for a rocky and rough summer by now. Sure, stock market aficionados...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-25-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Clean Energy, Green Energy, Green Investing, (HOKU), (PLUG), (CHCHF), Climate Action Partnership, Alternative Energy, US Economy, Portfolio Strategy, Perspective, Oil, The Big Picture, Global Trend, Investment Themes, The Principle of Understanding Value, Global Warming, Energy Conservation, Solar, Venture Capital, Terrorism, Battery Technology, Economic Common Sense, OPEC, Global View, Capitalism, Gasoline, Big Picture, Energy, CPST, FSLR, WGOV, Energy Savings, Energy Controls, MXWL, COMV, Alternative Clean Green, ITRI, ENOC, Economic Trends, Crude Oil, Gas Prices, Driving, Bullish on America, Natural Gas, Boone Pickens, Natural Gas Vehicles, Wind Turbines, Lifestyle, Cap & Trade, Big Picture View, Oil Exploration, Business, AMSC
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TECHNICAL VIEW . The Principle of History. Two historical technical observations today: 1. Capitulation: Where the Heck is It? CNBC keeps interviewing floor traders and reporting from the New York Stock Exchange that everyone there is anxiously looking for that big bout of capitulation, selling, to end...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-16-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Commodities, Inflation, Keys to the Market, Update On The Stock Market, Macroeconomics, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Perspective, Extended Bear Markets, The Principle of History, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Trends, Trend Reversals, Shake Outs, Energy, Credit Crisis, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Economics, Investor Psychology, Charts, Big Picture View, CNBC, Paul Volker, NYSE, Bank Panic of 1907
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MORE RECOMMENDATIONS ON MY NEW ENERGY SAVERS THEME On Friday, June 13 th , I began a new investment theme, what I called the Energy Savings (Savers) Theme . Essentially a new theme is when some macro force is seen as boosting a whole group of companies, not just one hot company with a new product. And...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-15-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Clean Energy, Trading, Green Energy, Green Investing, Alternative Energy, US Economy, Charting, The Principle of Primary Trend, Portfolio Strategy, Perspective, Oil, Extended Bear Markets, The Big Picture, Investment Themes, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, The Principle of Understanding Value, Energy Conservation, Battery Technology, Economic Common Sense, Stock Market, Energy, CPST, CHP, BCON, Power Conversion, WGOV, Energy Savings, Energy Controls, MXWL, COMV, Alternative Clean Green, ITRI, ENOC, BMI, Economic Trends, Chart Patterns, Charts, Bullish on America, Natural Gas, Foreign Oil Dependency, Lifestyle, AMSC, ALTI
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PORTFOLIO STRATEGY This year’s mid-March to mid-May bear market rally was the first rally versus the new primary bear market downtrend. Usually the first rally is the best rally (just like the first loss is the best loss) because many investors believe the bull market still lives and thus it’s...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-14-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Keys to the Market, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Daily Update, Weekly Letter, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Extended Bear Markets, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Trades, Trading Rules, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Trend Reversals, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, Bear Stearns, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Ben Bernanke, Dow Industrials, Credit Crunch, Credit Crisis, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Mr. Market
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Richard Schwartz 's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Seventeenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz, New York 12561 - U.S. A. · (845) 255-6894...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-30-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Shorting, Technical View, Gold, (GLD), Investing Strategies, US Economy, Personal Remarks, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, Update On The Stock Market, Weekly Letter, Bubbles, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Extended Bear Markets, Jim Rogers, George Soros, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, The Big Picture, Global Trend, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Recession, Trends, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Globalization, Trend Reversals, 1974, 1973, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, History, Gold View, Bear Market Rallies, Global View, Global Economy, Stock Market, US Presidential Election, Capitalism, Big Picture, Energy, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Mr. Market, Investor Psychology, Crude Oil, 1932, 1929, Bullish on America, Inverse Funds, Energy Sevice
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WHERE YOU SHOULD STAND TODAY. The Ideal Portfolio (another Schwartz View ). Yep, let me offer up one man’s view of what the ideal portfolio should be today and why: · Very minimal exposure to the stock market! This major, modern day margin call on institutional investors is causing havoc...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-27-2008
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Filed under: China, Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, ETFs, Trading, Green Energy, China View, Gold, (GLD), Commodities, Investing Strategies, Hedging, Green Investing, (HOKU), (PLUG), (CHCHF), Alternative Energy, Soft Commodities, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, Update On The Stock Market, US Treasuries, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Oil, Extended Bear Markets, Jim Rogers, Papa Bears, Fixed Income, Investment Themes, Agricultural Commodities, Foreign Currencies, The Principle of Proper Money Management, The Principle of Understanding Value, Energy Conservation, Solar, Battery Technology, Economic Common Sense, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, OPEC, Gold View, GLD, SPDR Gold Trust, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Commodity Inflation, Big Picture, Energy, CPST, FSLR, BCON, WGOV, Energy Savings, COMV, Alternative Clean Green, ITRI, Bear Markets, Mr. Market, 1932, 1929, ProFunds, Inverse Funds, Fidelity Selects, Energy Sevice, Rydex
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A NEW INVESTMENT THEME FOR YOU TODAY . Quiet, don’t tell anyone about this new theme until you get invested. Anyway, finding a successful theme early on, before the crowd finds it, is one of many different ways to profitable investing in the stock market. I’d say it’s one of the best...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-13-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Clean Energy, Green Energy, Investing Strategies, Green Investing, Alternative Energy, Portfolio Strategy, Perspective, The Big Picture, Global Trend, Investment Themes, Agricultural Commodities, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Understanding Value, Global Warming, Energy Conservation, Solar, Energy, CPST, FSLR, MOS, CHP, BCON, Power Conversion, WGOV, Energy Savings, AGU, Sell in May & Go Away, POT, Energy Controls, MXWL, STP. SPWR
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GOLD VIEW . It’s Time to Buy Back into GOLD ! I must say the gold chart looks ripe for a rally and the background economics are screaming rising inflation here in the US and all around the globe, so I would recommend buying back into gold. Gold pulled back from its big Round Number of $1000 in...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-04-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, ETFs, Technical View, Gold, (GLD), Inflation, Charting, Bullish Signs, Keys to the Market, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Market Corrections, Papa Bears, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, Investment Themes, Trends, History, Gold View, GLD, Intermediate Corrections, Round Numbers, SPDR Gold Trust, Bull Market Corrections
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The Principle of History. Knowing one’s history gives us guidelines and a basis to work from. So yesterday I began to compare the last Papa Bear market we lived through, 1973-1974, which encompassed the first really oil crisis, to today’s ongoing bear market and oil shock. I said I was printing...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-22-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Shorting, Technical View, Stagflation, Inflation, Keys to the Market, The Principle of Primary Trend, Seven Principles, Day to Day Action, Daily Update, 4-Day Rule, Macroeconomics, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Oil, Extended Bear Markets, Crashes, Market Corrections, Tops, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Trades, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, Rising Wedge, Trading Rules, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, 1974, 1973
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LOOKING BACK : One major day-trading tenet is to look back at each trade & learn from both your successes & mistakes. This rule should apply to investing, speculating, everything. So let me do so today. THE SOFT AGRICULTURAL THEME . Yesterday I cleaned out my files and found when I first began...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-15-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Clean Energy, Green Energy, Commodities, Investing Strategies, Green Investing, Alternative Energy, Soft Commodities, Macroeconomics, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Schwartz Rules, Perspective, Investment Themes, Trading Rules, Agricultural Commodities, Trends, Day-Trading, Stock Market Lessons, AG
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The Principle of Relative Strength. Just checked some on where this rally now stands applying one of my principles. One sound fundamental to practice for near and intermediate term performance is to favor those stocks and sectors doing well and then shy away from those sectors underperforming. In fact...
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THE ECONOMY Written Monday, May 5th, 2008: Regular Weekly Overview: Numerous economists are now saying the possibility of an US recession has passed. I think this change of viewpoint began about a week plus back when the Durable Goods Orders–Ex Transports for March rose +1.5%, better than the ...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-08-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Stagflation, US Economy, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Weekly Letter, Macroeconomics, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, The Principle of History, The Big Picture, Deflation, Recession