THE FIRST INFLATION SURGE IN 25 YEARS IS OVER. So, what now? First, let me give credit when credit is due. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and the Fed finally got one right. They’ve been promising us moderating inflation for a year or more and now with -30% lower crude oil prices and a big...
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Principles of the Stock Market
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Richard Schwartz
on
09-12-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Gold, Alan Greenspan, The Age of Turbulence, Commodities, Investing Strategies, 50% Rule, US Economy, Charting, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, The Fed, US Treasuries, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Oil, Jim Rogers, Market Corrections, The Principle of History, The Big Picture, Global Trend, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Deflation, Investment Themes, Agricultural Commodities, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, Globalization, Trend Reversals, 1974, 1973, History, Gold View, Intermediate Corrections, Bull Market Corrections, Global View, Global Economy, Stock Market, US Presidential Election, Gasoline, Commodity Inflation, Big Picture, Energy, Chart Patterns, Charts, Natural Gas, Boone Pickens, Natural Resources, Change, Big Picture View, US Housing Crisis, Food, US Government, Robert Prechter
TECHNICAL VIEW . Written Friday, August 1st, 2008: 6:30 a.m. EST With the S&P 500 closing just above it’s week ago Wednesday’s close this past Wednesday and the Nasdaq Composite following suit, we have a series of higher lows and higher highs in both, i.e., an uptrend in place. So I was...
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Principles of the Stock Market
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Richard Schwartz
on
08-01-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Shorting, Technical View, Charting, Bullish Signs, Day to Day Action, Portfolio Strategy, Market Corrections, Mama Bears, Papa Bears, Trades, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, Trading Rules, Trends, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Trend Reversals, Trading Volume, Distribution Days, Bear Market Rally, Shake Outs, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Big Picture, Trendlines, Bear Markets, Chart Patterns, Charts, Trade, Big Picture View, Shorts, Follow-Through Day, Short Selling
STRATEGY VIEW . This morning please let me warn a bit further about using inverse vehicles. Appropriate because yesterday’s big rally must have gotten everyone’s attention, longs and shorts alike, but especially those now using these shorting vehicles. And because I’ve been getting...
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Principles of the Stock Market
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Richard Schwartz
on
07-17-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, ETFs, Investing Strategies, Hedging, Hedge, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Update On The Stock Market, Daily Update, Portfolio Strategy, Extended Bear Markets, Market Corrections, Papa Bears, The Big Picture, The Principle of Relative Strength, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, S&P 500, Dow Industrials, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Financial Discipline, ProFunds, Inverse Funds, Fidelity Selects, Rydex, Big Picture View, Model Portfolios, Short ETFs, Shorts, Longs
TECHNICAL VIEW . The Fan Principle . Cataloged under my Principle of Technical Analysis . Or more simply put, how the stock market communicates if not actually talks with us. Yep, the previously, very helpful technical indicator, the Fan Principle may be back in play. Remember how it helped us get into...
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Principles of the Stock Market
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Richard Schwartz
on
06-11-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Technical View, Keys to the Market, Dow Transports, Portfolio Strategy, Fan Principle, Market Corrections, Tops, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Trading Rules, Trends, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, S&P 500, S&P Smallcap, Dow Industrials, S&P Midcap, Trendlines
GOLD VIEW . It’s Time to Buy Back into GOLD ! I must say the gold chart looks ripe for a rally and the background economics are screaming rising inflation here in the US and all around the globe, so I would recommend buying back into gold. Gold pulled back from its big Round Number of $1000 in...
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Principles of the Stock Market
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Richard Schwartz
on
06-04-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, ETFs, Technical View, Gold, (GLD), Inflation, Charting, Bullish Signs, Keys to the Market, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Market Corrections, Papa Bears, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, Investment Themes, Trends, History, Gold View, GLD, Intermediate Corrections, Round Numbers, SPDR Gold Trust, Bull Market Corrections
Written Tuesday, May 27th, 2008 THE STOCK MARKET Briefly, the stock market pulled back sharply last week. Obviously this pullback may be about over and may be just a normal “shake out” on the way to higher prices. While that could be true, it usually is during bull markets, another alternative...
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Principles of the Stock Market
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Richard Schwartz
on
05-28-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Shorting, Technical View, Investing Strategies, Hedging, Charting, Keys to the Market, Day to Day Action, Update On The Stock Market, Stock Market Weekly, Daily Update, 4-Day Rule, Portfolio Strategy, Extended Bear Markets, Market Corrections, Tops, Papa Bears, Global Trend, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, The Principle of Proper Money Management, MACD, Trend Reversals, 4-Day Corollary Rule, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, Bear Stearns, Discounting Mechanism, Shake Outs, Reflex Rally
Technically, the market looks out of steam. Whether this latest two day fall back is the end of the bear market rally or just a normal “shake out” of weak holders on the way higher is open. Remember I thought the market had exhausted itself back two weeks ago when I saw Rising Wedges in a...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-22-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Shorting, Technical View, Keys to the Market, 4-Day Rule, Portfolio Strategy, Market Corrections, Tops, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, Rising Wedge, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Trend Reversals, 4-Day Corollary Rule, Trader Vic, Vic Sperandeo
The Principle of History. Knowing one’s history gives us guidelines and a basis to work from. So yesterday I began to compare the last Papa Bear market we lived through, 1973-1974, which encompassed the first really oil crisis, to today’s ongoing bear market and oil shock. I said I was printing...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-22-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Shorting, Technical View, Stagflation, Inflation, Keys to the Market, The Principle of Primary Trend, Seven Principles, Day to Day Action, Daily Update, 4-Day Rule, Macroeconomics, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Oil, Extended Bear Markets, Crashes, Market Corrections, Tops, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Trades, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, Rising Wedge, Trading Rules, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, 1974, 1973
PORTFOLIO STRATEGY : Written Monday, May 19th, 2008 Patience and proper money management. Let me preach and suggest both kicking off a new week, halfway through the “Sell in May & Go Away” month. Yale and Jeffrey Hirsch’s STOCK MARKET ALMANAC promulgates this six months in and six...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-20-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, ETFs, Seasonal View, Investing Strategies, Portfolio Strategy, Market Corrections, Investment Themes, Agricultural Commodities, Foreign Currencies, The Principle of Proper Money Management, MACD
Written Thursday, May 8th, 2008 TECHNICAL VIEW . Rising Wedges Run Out of Steam! We’ve formed Rising Wedge chart patterns in a number of key market averages, most easily seen in the Dow Industrials , the Nasdaq Composite and the S&P 400 Midcap averages. These chart patterns form on diminishing...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-08-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Dowtrend Channels, Keys to the Market, Day to Day Action, Portfolio Strategy, Market Corrections, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rising Wedge