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US Dollar’s Possible Turning Point. A Possible Trade For Traders? Written St. Patrick’s Day. The US Dollar Index (symbol DXY) has fallen back just after breaking out above an old high. Hm, very interesting as some predict the US dollar weakening will be a first sign of normalcy coming back...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
03-17-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, ETFs, Technical View, Inflation, Charting, 4-Day Rule, Portfolio Strategy, Interest Rates, Trades, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Trading Rules, Stock Market Lessons, Foreign Currencies, 4-Day Corollary Rule, Trader Vic, Vic Sperandeo, Investor's Business Daily, Chart Patterns, Charts, ProFunds, Inverse Funds, Rydex, Short ETFs, Exchange-traded fund, Dollar crisis, FDPIX, RYWBX, USTW$, DXY, 2B, US Dollar Index, UDN
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ECONOMIC VIEW . Rising Inflation Expected . So predicts a whole slew of big names, everyone seems to be jumping on board this train in the last few days. Now Warren Buffett and Bill Gross have joined Marc Faber and Jim Rogers and more in predicting problematic inflation just out there over the horizon...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
03-11-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Shorting, Investing Strategies, Inflation, Macroeconomics, US Treasuries, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Interest Rates, Jim Rogers, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, Fixed Income, Recession, Investment Themes, Financial Crisis, Bretton Woods, Economic Common Sense, History, Commodity Inflation, Big Picture, Credit Crunch, Credit Crisis, Economic Trends, Economics, ProFunds, Inverse Funds, Rydex, Government, Change, Big Picture View, Short ETFs, Real Economy, Market Sectors, ETF, Exchange-traded fund, RTPIX, Marc Faber, Warren Buffett, RYJUX, William Gross, Dollar crisis, Bill Gross, RRPIX
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ANTI -Stimulus Protest Demonstrations; Say What? That’s a big global fear surrounding this global economic slump. History shows economic debacles like this breed unrest, anger, frustration among those losing their jobs, etc. and thus protest demonstrations. If one watches www.worldfocus.com or...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
03-05-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Inflation, US Economy, Socialism, Economic Data, The Fed, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Extended Bear Markets, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, Economic Common Sense, Consumer Spending, History, Global Economy, Barack Obama, Capitalism, Hyperinflation, Congress, Economics, Depression, Bullish on America, Government, Change, Lifestyle, Living Standards, Big Picture View, US Government, The Forgotten Man, Arthur Schlesinger, The Cycles of America History, Stimulation
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Richard Schwartz 's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Eighteenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz, New York 12561 - U.S. A. · (845) 255-6894...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
12-22-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Investing Strategies, Hedging, Hedge, Inflation, US Economy, Charting, Personal Remarks, Bullish Signs, Keys to the Market, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, Update On The Stock Market, Weekly Letter, Macroeconomics, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Extended Bear Markets, Crashes, Market Corrections, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, Global Trend, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Deflation, Emerging Markets, Recession, Rallies, Investment Themes, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Globalization, Financial Crisis, 1974, 1973, Economic Common Sense, Recessions, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, History, Flight to Safety, Bear Market Rallies, Global View, Global Economy, Barack Obama, Democracy, Capitalism, Ben Bernanke, Hyperinflation, Big Picture, S&P 500, Credit Crunch, Energy, Credit Crisis, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Financial Media, Stock Market Media, Bear Markets, Economics, Mr. Market, Investor Psychology, Chart Patterns, 1932, 1929, Depression, Charts, BlackRock, Financial Discipline, Bullish on America, Job Growth, Foreign Oil Dependency, America, Government, Change, Lifestyle, Big Picture View, CNBC, Longs, US Government, Bob Doll, Real Economy
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THE BIG PICTURE Today’s Big Picture view revolves around the probable coming re-regulation of the financial markets. History shows regulation of markets is similar to a grandfather’s clock pendulum swinging back and forth although not as regular. A brief look back to the start of the 20 th...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
10-06-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Alan Greenspan, The Age of Turbulence, Investing Strategies, Inflation, US Economy, Socialism, Politics, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, Macroeconomics, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Tops, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, Global Trend, Deflation, Investment Themes, Globalization, Financial Crisis, The Principle of Understanding Value, 1974, 1973, Bretton Woods, Economic Common Sense, Manufacturing, Consumer Spending, Service Economy, Industrial Economy, History, Global View, Global Economy, Stock Market, Democracy, Capitalism, Hyperinflation, Credit Crunch, Credit Crisis, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Financial Media, Economics, Investor Psychology, 1932, 1929, Financial Discipline, Job Growth, America, Culture, Government, Lifestyle, Living Standards, Big Picture View, Business, Theme, Regulation, Re-regulation
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TECHNICAL VIEW . The Principle of History. Two historical technical observations today: 1. Capitulation: Where the Heck is It? CNBC keeps interviewing floor traders and reporting from the New York Stock Exchange that everyone there is anxiously looking for that big bout of capitulation, selling, to end...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-16-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Commodities, Inflation, Keys to the Market, Update On The Stock Market, Macroeconomics, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Perspective, Extended Bear Markets, The Principle of History, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Trends, Trend Reversals, Shake Outs, Energy, Credit Crisis, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Economics, Investor Psychology, Charts, Big Picture View, CNBC, Paul Volker, NYSE, Bank Panic of 1907
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ECONOMIC VIEW . One American’s View. Yep, Mine! With a bear market upon us, and myself and hopefully my readers all with hunkered down investment portfolios which thus don’t need constant care and attention, let me turn the spotlight on one American’s new travails, resulting views &...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-26-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Inflation, Economic Data, Commodity Bull Market, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Recession, Energy Conservation, Economic Common Sense, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, History, Bear Market Rallies, Real Estate, Commodity Inflation, Big Picture, Energy, Energy Savings, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Economics, Investor Psychology, Gas Prices, Tourism, Financial Discipline, Driving, Bullish on America
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Wednesda y, June 18 th , 2008 : Woke up singing this morning … “Doo-da, Doo-da”… and I don’t sing! Watched the coronation of the Boston Celtics as NBA champs last night … “Goin’ to run all night, Goin’ to run all day” … and loved this...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-18-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Inflation, US Economy, Keys to the Market, Economic Data, Day to Day Action, Update On The Stock Market, Macroeconomics, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, The Big Picture, Recession, Financial Crisis, Economic Common Sense, Stock Market, Commodity Inflation, Big Picture, Credit Crisis, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Financial Media, Stock Market Media, Bear Markets, Economics, Mr. Market, Investor Psychology
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UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Written Wednesday, June 11th, 2008: 6:30 a.m. Today’s stock market has no real leadership. The Dow’s up, the Dow’s down, all day long. Yesterday it was more of the same. No real trend except for in ENERGY and GOLD , both selling off big time, sort of reversing...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-11-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Gold, Alan Greenspan, Inflation, US Dollar, The Principle of Primary Trend, The Fed, Update On The Stock Market, Daily Update, Macroeconomics, Portfolio Strategy, Federal Reserve, The Big Picture, Recession, Economic Common Sense, Stock Market, Ben Bernanke, Credit Crunch, Energy, Henry Paulson, Group of Eight, Credit Crisis, G-8
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THE BIG PICTURE Ok, here’s a Big Picture of where America and we Americans stand today. A fairly downbeat Big Picture so buckle your seatbelts. America has been on the verge of a major comeuppance for many, many years. But its been postponed and postponed. Because the US dollar is the world’s...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-09-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, ETFs, Stagflation, Gold, Alan Greenspan, Commodities, Inflation, US Dollar, US Economy, The Principle of Primary Trend, The Fed, Macroeconomics, US Treasuries, Commodity Bull Market, Historical Perspectve, Federal Reserve, Oil, Crashes, Jim Rogers, The Big Picture, Elliott Wave Principle, Recession, Agricultural Commodities, Financial Crisis, Trader Vic, Vic Sperandeo, Manufacturing, Consumer Spending, Recessions, Industrial Economy, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, Discounting Mechanism, Reflex Rally, History, Bear Market Rallies, John McCain, Democracy, Capitalism, Real Estate, Robert Reich, Ben Bernanke, Gasoline, Commodity Inflation, Hyperinflation, Congress, Recession Depression, Peter Schiff, Heating Fuel, Big Picture
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GLOBAL VIEW . Yep, when I started reading the Bloomberg newswire this morning, I found: (1) that European “retail sales declined -2.9% in April, more than three times as much as economists forecast,” (2) that March’s retail spending was revised downward from -1.6% to -2.3%, (3) that...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-04-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Inflation, US Economy, Economic Data, Global Investing, Macroeconomics, The Big Picture, Global Trend, Emerging Markets, Recession, Global View, Asia, Global Economy, Europe, Wall Street View, Fronteir Countries, Developing Countries
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GOLD VIEW . It’s Time to Buy Back into GOLD ! I must say the gold chart looks ripe for a rally and the background economics are screaming rising inflation here in the US and all around the globe, so I would recommend buying back into gold. Gold pulled back from its big Round Number of $1000 in...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-04-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, ETFs, Technical View, Gold, (GLD), Inflation, Charting, Bullish Signs, Keys to the Market, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Market Corrections, Papa Bears, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, Investment Themes, Trends, History, Gold View, GLD, Intermediate Corrections, Round Numbers, SPDR Gold Trust, Bull Market Corrections
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OIL VIEW . I’ve been reading a lot about oil, the current state and the history of oil as we see prices keep rising and we all wonder where a top is. So below are some interesting tidbits which I’ve unearthed from the Internet (a great modern day development!) for you to ponder, some obvious...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-29-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Value View, Stagflation, Commodities, Inflation, US Economy, Keys to the Market, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Geopolitics, US Treasuries, Commodity Bull Market, Economy Weekly, Schwartz Rules, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Oil, The Principle of History, Rallies, Investment Themes, Trend Reversals, Terrorism, Iraq, Iran, OPEC, History, Flight to Safety
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THE BIG PICTURE Last Monday I presented the bull’s three pronged case , that: (1) the credit crisis is past it’s worst stages, (2) that we can skirt a recession or just experience a mild one and (3) that we have good value in stocks today. I offered the bull’s view up for balance, to...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-28-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Stagflation, Inflation, Jobs Report, US Economy, Economic Data, Weekly Letter, Macroeconomics, Economy Weekly, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Government Intervention, Deflation, Recession, Globalization, Bretton Woods, Economic Common Sense, Money Supply, Manufacturing, Consumer Spending, Recessions, Service Economy, Industrial Economy, Spin
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The Principle of History. Knowing one’s history gives us guidelines and a basis to work from. So yesterday I began to compare the last Papa Bear market we lived through, 1973-1974, which encompassed the first really oil crisis, to today’s ongoing bear market and oil shock. I said I was printing...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-22-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Shorting, Technical View, Stagflation, Inflation, Keys to the Market, The Principle of Primary Trend, Seven Principles, Day to Day Action, Daily Update, 4-Day Rule, Macroeconomics, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Oil, Extended Bear Markets, Crashes, Market Corrections, Tops, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Trades, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, Rising Wedge, Trading Rules, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, 1974, 1973