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The Principle of Understanding History & The Principle of Technical Analysis . Written Tuesday, October 7th, 2008 OK, yesterday I heard one analyst, I believe it was Liz Ann Sounders, chief investment strategist for Charles Schwab say the recent sharp year-over-year (yoy) stock market decline is...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
10-07-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Shorting, Technical View, Investing Strategies, Charting, Dow Theory, Keys to the Market, Dow Transports, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Extended Bear Markets, Crashes, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, The Big Picture, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Stock Market Lessons, 1974, 1973, Recessions, Bear Market Legs, History, Stock Market, Big Picture, Dow Industrials, Credit Crunch, Bear Markets, Chart Patterns, 1932, 1929, Charts, Big Picture View, Shorts, Short Selling
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THE BIG PICTURE Today’s Big Picture view revolves around the probable coming re-regulation of the financial markets. History shows regulation of markets is similar to a grandfather’s clock pendulum swinging back and forth although not as regular. A brief look back to the start of the 20 th...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
10-06-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Alan Greenspan, The Age of Turbulence, Investing Strategies, Inflation, US Economy, Socialism, Politics, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, Macroeconomics, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Tops, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, Global Trend, Deflation, Investment Themes, Globalization, Financial Crisis, The Principle of Understanding Value, 1974, 1973, Bretton Woods, Economic Common Sense, Manufacturing, Consumer Spending, Service Economy, Industrial Economy, History, Global View, Global Economy, Stock Market, Democracy, Capitalism, Hyperinflation, Credit Crunch, Credit Crisis, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Financial Media, Economics, Investor Psychology, 1932, 1929, Financial Discipline, Job Growth, America, Culture, Government, Lifestyle, Living Standards, Big Picture View, Business, Theme, Regulation, Re-regulation
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THE BIG PICTURE Written Monday, September 29th, 2008: 6:30 a.m.. What happened in Congress last Friday – House Republicans refusing to go along with the government’s rescue plan – was caused by political/economic ideology combined with Americans not wanting to bail out Wall Street....
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
09-29-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Seasonal View, US Economy, Socialism, Politics, Global Investing, The Fed, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Jim Rogers, The Principle of History, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, Recession, Stock Market Lessons, Globalization, Financial Crisis, Economic Common Sense, Spin, History, Stock Market, US Presidential Election, Capitalism, Ben Bernanke, Congress, Big Picture, Henry Paulson, Credit Crisis, Sell in May & Go Away, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, America, Culture, Government, Business, US Housing Crisis, Real Economy
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THE FIRST INFLATION SURGE IN 25 YEARS IS OVER. So, what now? First, let me give credit when credit is due. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and the Fed finally got one right. They’ve been promising us moderating inflation for a year or more and now with -30% lower crude oil prices and a big...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
09-12-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Gold, Alan Greenspan, The Age of Turbulence, Commodities, Investing Strategies, 50% Rule, US Economy, Charting, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, The Fed, US Treasuries, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Oil, Jim Rogers, Market Corrections, The Principle of History, The Big Picture, Global Trend, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Deflation, Investment Themes, Agricultural Commodities, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, Globalization, Trend Reversals, 1974, 1973, History, Gold View, Intermediate Corrections, Bull Market Corrections, Global View, Global Economy, Stock Market, US Presidential Election, Gasoline, Commodity Inflation, Big Picture, Energy, Chart Patterns, Charts, Natural Gas, Boone Pickens, Natural Resources, Change, Big Picture View, US Housing Crisis, Food, US Government, Robert Prechter
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Richard Schwartz 's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Seventeenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz, New York 12561 - U.S. A. · (845) 255-6894...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
09-02-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Alan Greenspan, The Age of Turbulence, Investing Strategies, Personal Remarks, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Update On The Stock Market, Daily Update, Weekly Letter, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Oil, Extended Bear Markets, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Investment Themes, Trends, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Stock Trader's Almanac, Economic Common Sense, Bear Market Rally, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Democracy, Capitalism, Big Picture, Stock Market Media, Bear Markets, Economics, Mr. Market, Investor Psychology, Crude Oil, Foreign Oil Dependency, Change, Living Standards, Big Picture View, CNBC, Summer Rally
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FEEDBACK LOOPS: A VICIOUS CYCLE . I’m slowly yellow-highlighting passages on every page of the little gem of a book I found at the annual New Paltz library sale: THE RETURN OF DEPRESSION ECONOMICS (1999) by Paul Krugman. For those of you who are students of economic history, ala my Principle of...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
08-12-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, US Economy, The Principle of Primary Trend, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Papa Bears, The Big Picture, Trends, Financial Crisis, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Big Picture View, US Housing Crisis
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THE STOCK MARKET Hope camouflaging a water torture, drip-by-drip decline is one way of describing today’s stock market. The big problem with all the bottom calling a few months back by Bob Doll, BlackRock’s “Trillion Dollar Man” , by Mad Man Cramer last week and by Investor’s...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
08-04-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Technical View, Charting, Keys to the Market, The Principle of Primary Trend, Historical Perspectve, Oil, Extended Bear Markets, Jim Rogers, George Soros, Mama Bears, Papa Bears, 1974, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Big Picture, S&P 500, Dow Industrials, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Chart Patterns, 1932, 1929, Charts, Big Picture View, MAD MONEY, IBD, Bob Doll, Comstock Funds, Robert Prechter, heating bills, Papa Bear Mama Bear
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UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Written Wednesday, July 30th, 2008: 6:30 am EST. Another ‘ fl as hy - sp la sh y ’ rally yesterday So typical of bear markets, especially those with much further in time and points to go. Grizzly bear markets thrive on investors’ hope and adamant investor...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-30-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Technical View, Soverign Wealth Fund, Keys to the Market, Day to Day Action, Higher Higher & Higher Lows, Daily Update, IBD 100 'New Names', 4-Day Rule, Historical Perspectve, Oil, The Principle of History, The Principle of Relative Strength, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, Investment Themes, Trends, Trend Reversals, Trader Vic, Vic Sperandeo, Sequences, Investor's Business Daily, Spin, Bear Market Rally, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Gasoline, Dow Industrials, Trendlines, Credit Crunch, Credit Crisis, Bear Markets, Crude Oil, Gas Prices, Change, First Mover Advantage, IBD 100, Summer Rally, Merrill Lynch, Follow-Through Day, Theme, Food, US Government, CDO's, Short Selling, Temasek Holdings, Oversold, IBD
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Richard Schwartz's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Seventeenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz, New York 12561 - U.S. A. · (845) 255-6894...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-28-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Alan Greenspan, US Economy, Socialism, Keys to the Market, Politics, Economic Data, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Higher Higher & Higher Lows, Update On The Stock Market, Weekly Letter, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Interest Rates, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Trades, The Big Picture, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Fixed Income, Rallies, Investment Themes, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Economic Common Sense, Recessions, Spin, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, History, Bear Market Rallies, Europe, John McCain, Stock Market, US Presidential Election, Barack Obama, Democracy, Capitalism, Big Picture, S&P 500, Dow Industrials, Energy, Economic Trends, Bear Markets, Economics, Crude Oil, Bullish on America, Energy Sevice, Foreign Oil Dependency, Bureaucracy, America, Lifestyle, Living Standards, Big Picture View, Lobbying, Business, CNBC, Longs, Profit, Summer Rally, Income Investors, National Bureau of Economic Research, Barak Obama
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IBD 100 VIEW . Usually I report to you the ‘new names’ in the weekly IBD 100 list of leading companies, those companies outperforming most other stocks in price and with good fundamentals and earnings and revenues. With the idea that there is a ‘first mover’ advantage in becoming...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-22-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Investing Strategies, Charting, Bullish Signs, Keys to the Market, IBD 100 'New Names', Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Trades, The Principle of Relative Strength, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Investment Themes, Stock Market Lessons, Investor's Business Daily, Bear Market Legs, Cramer, Stock Market, Credit Crisis, Financial Media, Charts, Bullish on America, Lifestyle, Model Portfolios, Profit, Industry Ranking, MAD MONEY, First Mover Advantage, IBD 100
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PORTFOLIO STRATEGY This year’s mid-March to mid-May bear market rally was the first rally versus the new primary bear market downtrend. Usually the first rally is the best rally (just like the first loss is the best loss) because many investors believe the bull market still lives and thus it’s...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-14-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Keys to the Market, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Daily Update, Weekly Letter, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Extended Bear Markets, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Trades, Trading Rules, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Trend Reversals, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, Bear Stearns, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Ben Bernanke, Dow Industrials, Credit Crunch, Credit Crisis, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Mr. Market
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HERE’S ANOTHER’S BIG PICTURE VIEW . A longtime regular reader emailed me his opinion of the current US residential housing market yesterday and how the government is handling things, writing: ‘It seems now to me that the "gov" is tweaking things to "hold it off."...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-11-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Clean Energy, Alternative Energy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, The Big Picture, Recession, Economic Common Sense, History, Barack Obama, Democracy, Capitalism, Congress, Big Picture, Energy, Energy Savings, Alternative Clean Green, Crude Oil, Boone Pickens, Wind Turbines, America, Lifestyle, Living Standards, Cap & Trade, Big Picture View, Oil Exploration, Lobbying, Business, US Housing Crisis
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A Recap of: THE WORLD IN 2020 : POWER, CULTURE AND PROSPERITY By Hamish McRae (1994) Before my memory fades, let me recap a bit of the fact and opinion filled book I read on my vacation. Essentially Mr. McRae, an acclaimed commentator with a 25-year career writing for two British national newspapers...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-09-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Value View, US Economy, Politics, Global Investing, Macroeconomics, Historical Perspectve, The Principle of History, The Big Picture, Global Trend, Economic Common Sense, Consumer Spending, Service Economy, Industrial Economy, Global View, Global Economy, US Presidential Election, Capitalism, Congress, Big Picture, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bullish on America, Bureaucracy, De-Industrialization, America, Culture, Trade, 2020, Natural Resources, Government, Hamish McRae, Change, Lifestyle, Living Standards, Service Sector, Telecommuting, Demographics
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YOUR ALTERNATE CLEAN GREEN ENERGY UPDATE Finally! A Plan! The Pickens Plan. Kudos to Mr. Boone Pickens ! Yep, it finally came down to a long time oil man to propose a way out of our energy bind. Obviously, it’s only a first step and it has a lot of hurdles and a long way to go before implementation...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-09-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Clean Energy, Green Energy, Investing Strategies, Alternative Energy, The Principle of Primary Trend, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Oil, The Big Picture, Investment Themes, Energy Conservation, Battery Technology, Economic Common Sense, Stock Market, Capitalism, Gasoline, Energy, Group of Eight, G-8, Energy Savings, Energy Controls, Alternative Clean Green, Economics, Gas Prices, Bullish on America, Natural Gas, Job Growth, National Security, Boone Pickens, Foreign Oil Dependency, Natural Gas Vehicles, Wind Turbines
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Richard Schwartz 's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Seventeenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz, New York 12561 - U.S. A. · (845) 255-6894...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-30-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Shorting, Technical View, Gold, (GLD), Investing Strategies, US Economy, Personal Remarks, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, Update On The Stock Market, Weekly Letter, Bubbles, Portfolio Strategy,