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PORTFOLIO STRATEGY : Written Monday, May 19th, 2008 Patience and proper money management. Let me preach and suggest both kicking off a new week, halfway through the “Sell in May & Go Away” month. Yale and Jeffrey Hirsch’s STOCK MARKET ALMANAC promulgates this six months in and six...
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Principles of the Stock Market
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Richard Schwartz
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05-20-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, ETFs, Seasonal View, Investing Strategies, Portfolio Strategy, Market Corrections, Investment Themes, Agricultural Commodities, Foreign Currencies, The Principle of Proper Money Management, MACD
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TECHNICAL VIEW . Written Wednesday, May 14, 2008: I may have been seeing clouds in the sky when there weren’t any. The near term bearish Rising Wedges in a bunch of market indices I wrote about last Thursday don’t seem to have really followed through. Stock prices did fall back last Friday...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-15-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Charting, Keys to the Market, Day to Day Action, Higher Higher & Higher Lows, Daily Update, Portfolio Strategy, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rising Wedge, UPtrend Channels
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LOOKING BACK : One major day-trading tenet is to look back at each trade & learn from both your successes & mistakes. This rule should apply to investing, speculating, everything. So let me do so today. THE SOFT AGRICULTURAL THEME . Yesterday I cleaned out my files and found when I first began...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-15-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Clean Energy, Green Energy, Commodities, Investing Strategies, Green Investing, Alternative Energy, Soft Commodities, Macroeconomics, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Schwartz Rules, Perspective, Investment Themes, Trading Rules, Agricultural Commodities, Trends, Day-Trading, Stock Market Lessons, AG
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Written Thursday, May 8th, 2008 TECHNICAL VIEW . Rising Wedges Run Out of Steam! We’ve formed Rising Wedge chart patterns in a number of key market averages, most easily seen in the Dow Industrials , the Nasdaq Composite and the S&P 400 Midcap averages. These chart patterns form on diminishing...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-08-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Dowtrend Channels, Keys to the Market, Day to Day Action, Portfolio Strategy, Market Corrections, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rising Wedge
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The Principle of Relative Strength. Just checked some on where this rally now stands applying one of my principles. One sound fundamental to practice for near and intermediate term performance is to favor those stocks and sectors doing well and then shy away from those sectors underperforming. In fact...
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THE ECONOMY Written Monday, May 5th, 2008: Regular Weekly Overview: Numerous economists are now saying the possibility of an US recession has passed. I think this change of viewpoint began about a week plus back when the Durable Goods Orders–Ex Transports for March rose +1.5%, better than the ...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-08-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Stagflation, US Economy, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Weekly Letter, Macroeconomics, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, The Principle of History, The Big Picture, Deflation, Recession
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TECHNICAL VIEW . April 29th, 2008: The Dow Industrials bullishly pushed up and out of its 3-month trading range on Friday, April 18 th joining the Dow Transports to the upside. Bullish. A number of other key indices, like the Nasdaq Composite did so as well. Thus my interpretation now is that we have...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
04-29-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Technical View, Charting, Keys to the Market, Dow Transports, Day to Day Action, Higher Higher & Higher Lows, Portfolio Strategy, Trades, A Line, The Principle of Technical Analysis
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UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Tuesday, April 29th, 2008: 6:30 a.m. The stock market has some uncertainty – there’s that awful word again – about tomorrow’s Federal Reserve 2:15 p.m. interest rate policy announcement. For the first time in a very long time, we’re not quite sure what the Fed is going to...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
04-29-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Commodities, Investing Strategies, Soft Commodities, Keys to the Market, Market Bottoms, Update On The Stock Market, Daily Update, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Government Intervention, Elliott Wave Principle
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TECHNICAL VIEW . Wednesday, April 23rd, 2008 There’s still a bit of doubt whether we’ve now broken out of the wide and volatile trading range we’ve been in every since late January to the upside. And whether it will stick. At least in my mind. My reasoning for you chart lovers out there is that since...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
04-23-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Technical View, Charting, Bullish Signs, Dow Theory, Keys to the Market, Dow Transports, Day to Day Action, Higher Higher & Higher Lows, Portfolio Strategy, A Line, The Principle of Technical Analysis
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THE BIG PICTURE I started reading another doom & gloom book yesterday. It’s Robert Prechter, Jr.’s 2002 CONQUER THE CRASH . I know, I know. Too much focus on the glass half full. Still I don’t want anything to sneak up on me, on us. Immediately upon starting Bob’s book, I was impressed. I mean I...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
04-22-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Inflation, US Economy, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Macroeconomics, Portfolio Strategy, Perspective, Extended Bear Markets, Crashes, The Big Picture, Deflation, Elliott Wave Principle
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THE REAL ECONOMY VS. THE PAPER ECONOMY The Real Economy . Oil at a record, rice too. Gold hitting $1000 an ounce, silver way up. Corn prices boosted by ethanol demand. Food riots in Haiti, Guatemala, Argentina and more. 24 countries dropping food import tariffs because they are seeing food shortages...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
04-16-2008
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Filed under: China, Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, China View, Gold, Alan Greenspan, Commodities, Soft Commodities, GDP, US Economy, Dow Transports, Economic Data, Global Investing, Macroeconomics, Bubbles, Commodity Bull Market, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Jim Rogers, The Big Picture, Global Trend
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Capital Trust (CT). Very interesting REIT I stumbled upon. Below is the story: I track a good number of economists and their observations. The bearish ones like independent Gary Shilling and Morgan Stanley’s Stephen Roach. And the bullish ones, like, last I heard, Ed Hyman, chairman of well-respected...
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The Principle of Understanding History (one of my seven stock market principles). The 1930s Vs. Today . I just started reading another stock market book. This time it’s 100 YEARS OF WALL STREET (2000) by Charles R. Geisst. Turns out it’s a fast and easy read. Thank goodness because that other book on...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
03-31-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Seven Principles, The Fed, Bubbles, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Extended Bear Markets, Crashes
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THE BANK PANIC OF 1907 . A Historical Guideline For Today . I’ve seen a couple articles comparing the ‘Panic of 1907’ to today’s ongoing financial crisis. Made sense to me especially after I read the following passage by John Spence of www.MarketWatch.com about 1907 “… the financial panic of 1907, which...
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CHAIRMAN BERNANKE: “HOLD INTEREST RATES STEADY ON TUESDAY!” Hey, why not? What have we got to lose? Cutting interest rates sure isn’t working, right? Along with setting interest rate policy, the Fed has another role, that is being the “lender of last resort.” They’ve sure done that this past Tuesday...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
03-13-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Gold, Inflation, US Dollar, US Economy, Keys to the Market, The Fed, Macroeconomics, US Treasuries, Bubbles, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Federal Reserve, Oil, Interest Rates