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AN HISTORIC GURU VIEW . Written Friday morning, August 14 th , 2009 . Being in and around the stock market for the last 35 years -- I can’t believe it’s been that long! -- I’ve seen market gurus burn hot and cold. In my early years I was in more of a daze, doing ancillary brokerage...
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Principles of the Stock Market
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Richard Schwartz
on
08-14-2009
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Charting, Dow Theory, The Principle of Primary Trend, Bubbles, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Extended Bear Markets, Jim Rogers, Market Corrections, Tops, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, The Big Picture, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Deflation, Elliott Wave Principle, Recession, Rallies, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Trader Vic, Vic Sperandeo, Investor's Business Daily, Spin, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, Reflex Rally, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Big Picture, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Financial Media, Bear Markets, Chart Patterns, Depression, Change, Big Picture View, IBD, Robert Prechter, Alexander Elder, Marc Faber, depression within a depression, William O'Neil, Ted Warren, gurus, Ned Davis, Richard Russell, Elliott Wave, E. George Schaefer, Ralph N. Elliott, Ed Hyman, Wave 2, Joe Granville, A Gary Shilling, William Peter Hamilton, John Naisbitt, Stan Weinstein, Harry Schultz, Elaine Garzarelli, Norman Fosback, cyclical bear markets, Jim Dines, Papa Bear, Wave 3, Louis Navellier, Trader Vic Sperandeo, Megatrends, Dan Sullivan, Robert Rhea, Marty Zeig, Comstock, secular bear markets, Charles Dow
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Richard Schwartz 's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Eighteenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz, New York 12561 - U.S. A. · (845) 255-6894...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
04-06-2009
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Investing Strategies, 50% Rule, Green Investing, GDP, US Economy, Personal Remarks, Bullish Signs, Keys to the Market, Economic Data, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Update On The Stock Market, Stock Market Weekly, Daily Update, Weekly Letter, Macroeconomics, US Treasuries, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Oil, Extended Bear Markets, Market Corrections, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Government Intervention, Trades, The Big Picture, Global Trend, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Recession, Rallies, Investment Themes, Trading Rules, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Financial Crisis, Economic Common Sense, Manufacturing, Consumer Spending, Service Economy, Bear Market Rally, Discounting Mechanism, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Big Picture, S&P 500, Credit Crunch, Energy, Credit Crisis, Economic Trends, Bear Markets, Economics, Mr. Market, Chart Patterns, Charts, Financial Discipline, Job Growth, Trade, Natural Resources, Government, Big Picture View, Theme, Oversold, Real Economy, Alexander Elder, Market Sectors, Dollar crisis, US Dollar Index, Visit of the Three Bears, CCI, Commodity Channel Index, Swing Trading, Oliver Perez
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US Dollar’s Possible Turning Point. A Possible Trade For Traders? Written St. Patrick’s Day. The US Dollar Index (symbol DXY) has fallen back just after breaking out above an old high. Hm, very interesting as some predict the US dollar weakening will be a first sign of normalcy coming back...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
03-17-2009
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, ETFs, Technical View, Inflation, Charting, 4-Day Rule, Portfolio Strategy, Interest Rates, Trades, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Trading Rules, Stock Market Lessons, Foreign Currencies, 4-Day Corollary Rule, Trader Vic, Vic Sperandeo, Investor's Business Daily, Chart Patterns, Charts, ProFunds, Inverse Funds, Rydex, Short ETFs, Exchange-traded fund, Dollar crisis, FDPIX, RYWBX, USTW$, DXY, 2B, US Dollar Index, UDN
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Richard Schwartz 's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Eighteenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz, New York 12561 - U.S. A. · (845) 255-6894...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
12-22-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Investing Strategies, Hedging, Hedge, Inflation, US Economy, Charting, Personal Remarks, Bullish Signs, Keys to the Market, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, Update On The Stock Market, Weekly Letter, Macroeconomics, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Extended Bear Markets, Crashes, Market Corrections, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, Global Trend, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Deflation, Emerging Markets, Recession, Rallies, Investment Themes, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Globalization, Financial Crisis, 1974, 1973, Economic Common Sense, Recessions, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, History, Flight to Safety, Bear Market Rallies, Global View, Global Economy, Barack Obama, Democracy, Capitalism, Ben Bernanke, Hyperinflation, Big Picture, S&P 500, Credit Crunch, Energy, Credit Crisis, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Financial Media, Stock Market Media, Bear Markets, Economics, Mr. Market, Investor Psychology, Chart Patterns, 1932, 1929, Depression, Charts, BlackRock, Financial Discipline, Bullish on America, Job Growth, Foreign Oil Dependency, America, Government, Change, Lifestyle, Big Picture View, CNBC, Longs, US Government, Bob Doll, Real Economy
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Richard Schwartz's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Eighteenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz, New York 12561 - U.S. A. · (845) 255-6894...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
12-01-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Technical View, Investing Strategies, Charting, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Stock Market Weekly, Macroeconomics, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Extended Bear Markets, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Recession, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Trend Reversals, Recessions, Reflex Rally, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Global Economy, Stock Market, Capitalism, Big Picture, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Economics, Mr. Market, Chart Patterns, Charts, Financial Discipline, Government, Change, Big Picture View, Business, US Government, Regulation
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COMMODITY VIEW . Oil Rally Begins. Elliott Wave theory, originally produced by R. N. Elliott in the early 1900s, and now carried forward by Bob Prechter, past #1 market guru, basically says Elliott waves or complete market movements come in threes. Well, to more accurate, Elliott says movements really...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
11-05-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Commodities, Investing Strategies, Charting, Keys to the Market, Day to Day Action, Higher Higher & Higher Lows, 4-Day Rule, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Oil, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Elliott Wave Principle, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Trend Reversals, 4-Day Corollary Rule, Trader Vic, Vic Sperandeo, Intermediate Corrections, Bull Market Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Global View, Global Economy, Stock Market, Gasoline, Big Picture, Energy, Chart Patterns, Crude Oil, Charts, Gas Prices, Driving, Energy Sevice, Boone Pickens, Demographics, heating bills
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The Principle of Understanding History & The Principle of Technical Analysis . Written Tuesday, October 7th, 2008 OK, yesterday I heard one analyst, I believe it was Liz Ann Sounders, chief investment strategist for Charles Schwab say the recent sharp year-over-year (yoy) stock market decline is...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
10-07-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Shorting, Technical View, Investing Strategies, Charting, Dow Theory, Keys to the Market, Dow Transports, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Extended Bear Markets, Crashes, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, The Big Picture, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Stock Market Lessons, 1974, 1973, Recessions, Bear Market Legs, History, Stock Market, Big Picture, Dow Industrials, Credit Crunch, Bear Markets, Chart Patterns, 1932, 1929, Charts, Big Picture View, Shorts, Short Selling
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THE FIRST INFLATION SURGE IN 25 YEARS IS OVER. So, what now? First, let me give credit when credit is due. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and the Fed finally got one right. They’ve been promising us moderating inflation for a year or more and now with -30% lower crude oil prices and a big...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
09-12-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Gold, Alan Greenspan, The Age of Turbulence, Commodities, Investing Strategies, 50% Rule, US Economy, Charting, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, The Fed, US Treasuries, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Oil, Jim Rogers, Market Corrections, The Principle of History, The Big Picture, Global Trend, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Deflation, Investment Themes, Agricultural Commodities, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, Globalization, Trend Reversals, 1974, 1973, History, Gold View, Intermediate Corrections, Bull Market Corrections, Global View, Global Economy, Stock Market, US Presidential Election, Gasoline, Commodity Inflation, Big Picture, Energy, Chart Patterns, Charts, Natural Gas, Boone Pickens, Natural Resources, Change, Big Picture View, US Housing Crisis, Food, US Government, Robert Prechter
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TECHNICAL VIEW . Written Friday, August 1st, 2008: 6:30 a.m. EST With the S&P 500 closing just above it’s week ago Wednesday’s close this past Wednesday and the Nasdaq Composite following suit, we have a series of higher lows and higher highs in both, i.e., an uptrend in place. So I was...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
08-01-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Shorting, Technical View, Charting, Bullish Signs, Day to Day Action, Portfolio Strategy, Market Corrections, Mama Bears, Papa Bears, Trades, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, Trading Rules, Trends, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Trend Reversals, Trading Volume, Distribution Days, Bear Market Rally, Shake Outs, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Big Picture, Trendlines, Bear Markets, Chart Patterns, Charts, Trade, Big Picture View, Shorts, Follow-Through Day, Short Selling
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Richard Schwartz's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Seventeenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz, New York 12561 - U.S. A. · (845) 255-6894...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-28-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Alan Greenspan, US Economy, Socialism, Keys to the Market, Politics, Economic Data, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Higher Higher & Higher Lows, Update On The Stock Market, Weekly Letter, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Interest Rates, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Trades, The Big Picture, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Fixed Income, Rallies, Investment Themes, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Economic Common Sense, Recessions, Spin, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, History, Bear Market Rallies, Europe, John McCain, Stock Market, US Presidential Election, Barack Obama, Democracy, Capitalism, Big Picture, S&P 500, Dow Industrials, Energy, Economic Trends, Bear Markets, Economics, Crude Oil, Bullish on America, Energy Sevice, Foreign Oil Dependency, Bureaucracy, America, Lifestyle, Living Standards, Big Picture View, Lobbying, Business, CNBC, Longs, Profit, Summer Rally, Income Investors, National Bureau of Economic Research, Barak Obama
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IBD 100 VIEW . Usually I report to you the ‘new names’ in the weekly IBD 100 list of leading companies, those companies outperforming most other stocks in price and with good fundamentals and earnings and revenues. With the idea that there is a ‘first mover’ advantage in becoming...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-22-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Investing Strategies, Charting, Bullish Signs, Keys to the Market, IBD 100 'New Names', Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Trades, The Principle of Relative Strength, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Investment Themes, Stock Market Lessons, Investor's Business Daily, Bear Market Legs, Cramer, Stock Market, Credit Crisis, Financial Media, Charts, Bullish on America, Lifestyle, Model Portfolios, Profit, Industry Ranking, MAD MONEY, First Mover Advantage, IBD 100
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TECHNICAL VIEW . The Principle of History. Two historical technical observations today: 1. Capitulation: Where the Heck is It? CNBC keeps interviewing floor traders and reporting from the New York Stock Exchange that everyone there is anxiously looking for that big bout of capitulation, selling, to end...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-16-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Commodities, Inflation, Keys to the Market, Update On The Stock Market, Macroeconomics, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Perspective, Extended Bear Markets, The Principle of History, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Trends, Trend Reversals, Shake Outs, Energy, Credit Crisis, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Economics, Investor Psychology, Charts, Big Picture View, CNBC, Paul Volker, NYSE, Bank Panic of 1907
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Richard Schwartz 's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Seventeenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz, New York 12561 - U.S. A. · (845) 255-6894...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-30-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Shorting, Technical View, Gold, (GLD), Investing Strategies, US Economy, Personal Remarks, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, Update On The Stock Market, Weekly Letter, Bubbles, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Extended Bear Markets, Jim Rogers, George Soros, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, The Big Picture, Global Trend, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Recession, Trends, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Globalization, Trend Reversals, 1974, 1973, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, History, Gold View, Bear Market Rallies, Global View, Global Economy, Stock Market, US Presidential Election, Capitalism, Big Picture, Energy, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Mr. Market, Investor Psychology, Crude Oil, 1932, 1929, Bullish on America, Inverse Funds, Energy Sevice
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TECHNICAL VIEW . The Fan Principle . Cataloged under my Principle of Technical Analysis . Or more simply put, how the stock market communicates if not actually talks with us. Yep, the previously, very helpful technical indicator, the Fan Principle may be back in play. Remember how it helped us get into...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-11-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Technical View, Keys to the Market, Dow Transports, Portfolio Strategy, Fan Principle, Market Corrections, Tops, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Trading Rules, Trends, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, S&P 500, S&P Smallcap, Dow Industrials, S&P Midcap, Trendlines
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TECHNICAL VIEW . Banks Beginning a New Down Leg In Price? The next technical question is whether the banks are breaking down again. Into a new down leg. I see the KBW Bank Index dropped to a five year low yesterday. With many individual bank stocks in the same boat. Key Bank (KEY) just went to a new...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-04-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Shorting, Technical View, Keys to the Market, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Distribution, Portfolio Strategy, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Trends, KBW Bank Index, Cramer, Bear Market Rallies