February 27, 2009 Dear Readers, This morning, as I was looking over dispatches from correspondents around the world – from Ed in Alberta… Sadia in the UK… Baldy in Indonesia… the “General” in Portugal… and Nitin in Katmandu – I began to appreciate what it must have been like to be on the news desk during...
IN THIS ISSUE: Editor's Notes On BCA & The Other Gary Halbert Obama & The New Age Of Big Government The Economy -- Have We Seen The Worst Of It? Are The Bailouts Necessary & Will They Work? The Latest Disappointing Economic Reports Stock Markets -- Might We Have Seen The Bottom? Introduction...
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Forecasts & Trends
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Gary D. Halbert
on
01-06-2009
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Filed under: Gary D. Halbert, GDP, Economic Forecast, Barack Obama, Politics, Bailout, Economy, Scotia Partners, Halbert Wealth Management, Financial Crisis, Deflation, Government, Bank Credit Analyst
Dear Readers, I have woken in the pre-dawn to find our direst predictions coming true, with global stock markets taking yet another pounding and U.S. stock futures limit down. Serving as a proxy for the mindset now gripping governments around the world, French President Sarkozy has announced that the...
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The Room
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David Galland
on
10-27-2008
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Filed under: Economy, Interest Rates, International Speculator, Presidential Race, Credit Crisis, Politics, Gold, Dollar, China, David Galland, Economic Forecast, Taxes
Dear Readers, We're no longer in Kansas, Dorothy. At this point, the world's financial markets are in the firm grasp of a massive tornado. Our vision is blurred with fast-moving images of abandoned houses, crumbling banks, pontificating politicians, alien-looking Treasury secretaries on one knee...
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The Room
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David Galland
on
10-03-2008
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Filed under: Politics, Inflation, Casey Research, McCain, Economic Forecast, Obama, Bailout, Barton Biggs, Energy, FDIC, Europe
September 26, 2008 Dear Readers, What a world I have returned to from my cloistered retreat at the beautiful Vivenda Miranda , scenically situated on a cliff outside of the quaint port town of Lagos, Portugal. Everything has changed. Everything is changing. The storm we have so long tried to help you...
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The Room
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David Galland
on
09-30-2008
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Filed under: Economy, Presidential Race, Credit Crisis, Politics, Government, Gold, Ben Bernanke, Recession, The Fed, David Galland, McCain, Economic Forecast, Bailout, Henry Paulson, AIG, Ron Paul, Sara Palin, Donald Grove
IN THIS ISSUE: The Latest $700 Billion Bailout Package What Could Go Wrong? Potentially A Lot What Could Go Right, If We're Lucky? What Would Happen To The Profits, If Any? A "Main Street" Backlash To Come? Introduction Like it or not, members of the House and Senate, with the approval...
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Forecasts & Trends
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Gary D. Halbert
on
09-30-2008
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Filed under: Election Issues, Gary D. Halbert, The Fed, Credit Crisis, Subprime, Economic Forecast, Recession, U.S. Economy, Politics, Ben Bernanke, Depression, Bailout, Financial Crisis, Henry Paulson
The purpose of Outside the Box is to present views which cause us to think through our basic assumptions. This week our old friend Michael Lewitt of Hegemony Capital Management gives us a view as to why the bailout bill going down may not be as bad as I think it might. There is much we agree on, however...
IN THIS ISSUE: 1. Revisiting Stratfor's Previous Forecast 2. Stratfor's Latest Economic Outlook 3. Recession, Maybe - But No Depression 4. My Analysis And Conclusions Introduction There is a growing chorus that we are already in a full-blown recession, even though we'll have to wait several...
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Forecasts & Trends
by
Gary D. Halbert
on
03-11-2008
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Filed under: Presidential Race, Gary D. Halbert, Economic Forecast, Recession, Inflation, Politics, Deficit, Depression, Oil, Stratfor, Interest Rates
Introduction This week we look at how politics and geopolitical events can affect our investments. We look at a decade-long forecast from one of my favorite information services: Stratfor.com. I change my view on the euro, talk about a possible Chinese recession and look at uncomfortable analogies between...