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COMMODITY VIEW . Oil Rally Begins. Elliott Wave theory, originally produced by R. N. Elliott in the early 1900s, and now carried forward by Bob Prechter, past #1 market guru, basically says Elliott waves or complete market movements come in threes. Well, to more accurate, Elliott says movements really...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
11-05-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Commodities, Investing Strategies, Charting, Keys to the Market, Day to Day Action, Higher Higher & Higher Lows, 4-Day Rule, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Oil, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Elliott Wave Principle, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Trend Reversals, 4-Day Corollary Rule, Trader Vic, Vic Sperandeo, Intermediate Corrections, Bull Market Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Global View, Global Economy, Stock Market, Gasoline, Big Picture, Energy, Chart Patterns, Crude Oil, Charts, Gas Prices, Driving, Energy Sevice, Boone Pickens, Demographics, heating bills
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THE FIRST INFLATION SURGE IN 25 YEARS IS OVER. So, what now? First, let me give credit when credit is due. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and the Fed finally got one right. They’ve been promising us moderating inflation for a year or more and now with -30% lower crude oil prices and a big...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
09-12-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Gold, Alan Greenspan, The Age of Turbulence, Commodities, Investing Strategies, 50% Rule, US Economy, Charting, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, The Fed, US Treasuries, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Oil, Jim Rogers, Market Corrections, The Principle of History, The Big Picture, Global Trend, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Deflation, Investment Themes, Agricultural Commodities, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, Globalization, Trend Reversals, 1974, 1973, History, Gold View, Intermediate Corrections, Bull Market Corrections, Global View, Global Economy, Stock Market, US Presidential Election, Gasoline, Commodity Inflation, Big Picture, Energy, Chart Patterns, Charts, Natural Gas, Boone Pickens, Natural Resources, Change, Big Picture View, US Housing Crisis, Food, US Government, Robert Prechter
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Richard Schwartz 's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Seventeenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz, New York 12561 - U.S. A. · (845) 255-6894...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
09-02-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Alan Greenspan, The Age of Turbulence, Investing Strategies, Personal Remarks, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Update On The Stock Market, Daily Update, Weekly Letter, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Oil, Extended Bear Markets, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Investment Themes, Trends, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Stock Trader's Almanac, Economic Common Sense, Bear Market Rally, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Democracy, Capitalism, Big Picture, Stock Market Media, Bear Markets, Economics, Mr. Market, Investor Psychology, Crude Oil, Foreign Oil Dependency, Change, Living Standards, Big Picture View, CNBC, Summer Rally
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THE STOCK MARKET Hope camouflaging a water torture, drip-by-drip decline is one way of describing today’s stock market. The big problem with all the bottom calling a few months back by Bob Doll, BlackRock’s “Trillion Dollar Man” , by Mad Man Cramer last week and by Investor’s...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
08-04-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Technical View, Charting, Keys to the Market, The Principle of Primary Trend, Historical Perspectve, Oil, Extended Bear Markets, Jim Rogers, George Soros, Mama Bears, Papa Bears, 1974, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Big Picture, S&P 500, Dow Industrials, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Chart Patterns, 1932, 1929, Charts, Big Picture View, MAD MONEY, IBD, Bob Doll, Comstock Funds, Robert Prechter, heating bills, Papa Bear Mama Bear
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UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Written Wednesday, July 30th, 2008: 6:30 am EST. Another ‘ fl as hy - sp la sh y ’ rally yesterday So typical of bear markets, especially those with much further in time and points to go. Grizzly bear markets thrive on investors’ hope and adamant investor...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-30-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Technical View, Soverign Wealth Fund, Keys to the Market, Day to Day Action, Higher Higher & Higher Lows, Daily Update, IBD 100 'New Names', 4-Day Rule, Historical Perspectve, Oil, The Principle of History, The Principle of Relative Strength, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, Investment Themes, Trends, Trend Reversals, Trader Vic, Vic Sperandeo, Sequences, Investor's Business Daily, Spin, Bear Market Rally, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Gasoline, Dow Industrials, Trendlines, Credit Crunch, Credit Crisis, Bear Markets, Crude Oil, Gas Prices, Change, First Mover Advantage, IBD 100, Summer Rally, Merrill Lynch, Follow-Through Day, Theme, Food, US Government, CDO's, Short Selling, Temasek Holdings, Oversold, IBD
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YOUR ALTERNATE CLEAN, GREEN ENERGY WEEKEND UPDATE With not much stock market stuff to write about since I don’t want to recommend buying or selling this morning as we all should have our portfolios hunkered down and pretty much in place for a rocky and rough summer by now. Sure, stock market aficionados...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-25-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Clean Energy, Green Energy, Green Investing, (HOKU), (PLUG), (CHCHF), Climate Action Partnership, Alternative Energy, US Economy, Portfolio Strategy, Perspective, Oil, The Big Picture, Global Trend, Investment Themes, The Principle of Understanding Value, Global Warming, Energy Conservation, Solar, Venture Capital, Terrorism, Battery Technology, Economic Common Sense, OPEC, Global View, Capitalism, Gasoline, Big Picture, Energy, CPST, FSLR, WGOV, Energy Savings, Energy Controls, MXWL, COMV, Alternative Clean Green, ITRI, ENOC, Economic Trends, Crude Oil, Gas Prices, Driving, Bullish on America, Natural Gas, Boone Pickens, Natural Gas Vehicles, Wind Turbines, Lifestyle, Cap & Trade, Big Picture View, Oil Exploration, Business, AMSC
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MORE RECOMMENDATIONS ON MY NEW ENERGY SAVERS THEME On Friday, June 13 th , I began a new investment theme, what I called the Energy Savings (Savers) Theme . Essentially a new theme is when some macro force is seen as boosting a whole group of companies, not just one hot company with a new product. And...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-15-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Clean Energy, Trading, Green Energy, Green Investing, Alternative Energy, US Economy, Charting, The Principle of Primary Trend, Portfolio Strategy, Perspective, Oil, Extended Bear Markets, The Big Picture, Investment Themes, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, The Principle of Understanding Value, Energy Conservation, Battery Technology, Economic Common Sense, Stock Market, Energy, CPST, CHP, BCON, Power Conversion, WGOV, Energy Savings, Energy Controls, MXWL, COMV, Alternative Clean Green, ITRI, ENOC, BMI, Economic Trends, Chart Patterns, Charts, Bullish on America, Natural Gas, Foreign Oil Dependency, Lifestyle, AMSC, ALTI
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YOUR ALTERNATE CLEAN GREEN ENERGY UPDATE Finally! A Plan! The Pickens Plan. Kudos to Mr. Boone Pickens ! Yep, it finally came down to a long time oil man to propose a way out of our energy bind. Obviously, it’s only a first step and it has a lot of hurdles and a long way to go before implementation...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-09-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Clean Energy, Green Energy, Investing Strategies, Alternative Energy, The Principle of Primary Trend, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Oil, The Big Picture, Investment Themes, Energy Conservation, Battery Technology, Economic Common Sense, Stock Market, Capitalism, Gasoline, Energy, Group of Eight, G-8, Energy Savings, Energy Controls, Alternative Clean Green, Economics, Gas Prices, Bullish on America, Natural Gas, Job Growth, National Security, Boone Pickens, Foreign Oil Dependency, Natural Gas Vehicles, Wind Turbines
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WHERE YOU SHOULD STAND TODAY. The Ideal Portfolio (another Schwartz View ). Yep, let me offer up one man’s view of what the ideal portfolio should be today and why: · Very minimal exposure to the stock market! This major, modern day margin call on institutional investors is causing havoc...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-27-2008
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Filed under: China, Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, ETFs, Trading, Green Energy, China View, Gold, (GLD), Commodities, Investing Strategies, Hedging, Green Investing, (HOKU), (PLUG), (CHCHF), Alternative Energy, Soft Commodities, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, Update On The Stock Market, US Treasuries, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Oil, Extended Bear Markets, Jim Rogers, Papa Bears, Fixed Income, Investment Themes, Agricultural Commodities, Foreign Currencies, The Principle of Proper Money Management, The Principle of Understanding Value, Energy Conservation, Solar, Battery Technology, Economic Common Sense, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, OPEC, Gold View, GLD, SPDR Gold Trust, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Commodity Inflation, Big Picture, Energy, CPST, FSLR, BCON, WGOV, Energy Savings, COMV, Alternative Clean Green, ITRI, Bear Markets, Mr. Market, 1932, 1929, ProFunds, Inverse Funds, Fidelity Selects, Energy Sevice, Rydex
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UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Witten Friday, June 20th, 2008: 6:30 a.m. Looked to me like yesterday’s stock market rally was a knee-jerk reaction to China announcing it was going to raise oil prices by 17%. Crude dove on the news while stocks jumped. But if one thinks it through, is China raising...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-20-2008
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Filed under: China, Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, China View, Investing Strategies, Head & Shoulders, The Coming China Wars, Keys to the Market, Dow Transports, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Global Investing, Update On The Stock Market, Daily Update, Macroeconomics, Portfolio Strategy, Oil, Fan Principle, Mama Bears, Papa Bears, Government Intervention, Global Trend, Recession, Trends, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Globalization, 1974, 1973, Global Warming, Energy Conservation, Manufacturing, Consumer Spending, Recessions, Bear Market Rally, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Global View, Global Economy, Developing Countries, Stock Market, Capitalism, Gasoline, Big Picture, Trendlines, Energy, Energy Savings, Energy Controls, Bear Markets, Chart Patterns, Crude Oil, Broadening Top, To Be Rich is Glorious, 1932, Subsidies, 1929, Depression
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THE BIG PICTURE Ok, here’s a Big Picture of where America and we Americans stand today. A fairly downbeat Big Picture so buckle your seatbelts. America has been on the verge of a major comeuppance for many, many years. But its been postponed and postponed. Because the US dollar is the world’s...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-09-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, ETFs, Stagflation, Gold, Alan Greenspan, Commodities, Inflation, US Dollar, US Economy, The Principle of Primary Trend, The Fed, Macroeconomics, US Treasuries, Commodity Bull Market, Historical Perspectve, Federal Reserve, Oil, Crashes, Jim Rogers, The Big Picture, Elliott Wave Principle, Recession, Agricultural Commodities, Financial Crisis, Trader Vic, Vic Sperandeo, Manufacturing, Consumer Spending, Recessions, Industrial Economy, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, Discounting Mechanism, Reflex Rally, History, Bear Market Rallies, John McCain, Democracy, Capitalism, Real Estate, Robert Reich, Ben Bernanke, Gasoline, Commodity Inflation, Hyperinflation, Congress, Recession Depression, Peter Schiff, Heating Fuel, Big Picture
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YOUR WEEKEND ALTERNATIVE , GREEN CLEAN ENERGY UPDATE I haven’t issued a clean, green update in quite a while. Distracted by other areas. But watching my IRA consistently grow – holding almost only alternative, clean, green stocks -- in spite of today’s iffy stock market makes me desire...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-23-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Clean Energy, Green Energy, Green Investing, (HOKU), (PLUG), (CHCHF), Climate Action Partnership, Alternative Energy, US Economy, Portfolio Strategy, Oil, The Big Picture, The Principle of Relative Strength, Investment Themes, Trends, Global Warming, Energy Conservation, Solar, Venture Capital, Terrorism, Battery Technology
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The Principle of History. Knowing one’s history gives us guidelines and a basis to work from. So yesterday I began to compare the last Papa Bear market we lived through, 1973-1974, which encompassed the first really oil crisis, to today’s ongoing bear market and oil shock. I said I was printing...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-22-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Shorting, Technical View, Stagflation, Inflation, Keys to the Market, The Principle of Primary Trend, Seven Principles, Day to Day Action, Daily Update, 4-Day Rule, Macroeconomics, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Oil, Extended Bear Markets, Crashes, Market Corrections, Tops, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Trades, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, Rising Wedge, Trading Rules, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, 1974, 1973
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OIL NOW AT $130! What will be the resolution of today’s high oil prices? The best, first approach in analyzing anything is to look back at any historical parallels we can find. The two oil crises of the 1970’s pop immediately to mind. Thus I just printed out a few online histories, including...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-21-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Stagflation, Commodities, Green Investing, Alternative Energy, Soft Commodities, Dow Transports, Commodity Bull Market, Historical Perspectve, Oil, The Principle of History, Deflation, Recession, Rising Wedge, Agricultural Commodities, AG, Globalization
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THE BIG PICTURE & THE ECONOMY Today’s Big Picture view comes down to whether the US economy is going into a severe, long lasting recession or not. My belief remains that we are, that’s where today’s slow-motion economic slowdown is leading us, but the jury remains out & lots...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-12-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Commodities, Soft Commodities, US Economy, Keys to the Market, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, Stock Market Weekly, Macroeconomics,