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Thursday, June 26 th , 2008: Written 6:30 a.m. EST Going to find our “way to San Jose ” next week, on vacation, so I’m been auditioning books for the plane rides. One coming along is Hamish McRae’s THE WORLD IN 2020 . I previewed it and got caught up by his writing, the history...
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Principles of the Stock Market
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Richard Schwartz
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06-26-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Technical View, Dowtrend Channels, Charting, Keys to the Market, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Distribution, Update On The Stock Market, Daily Update, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Federal Reserve, Extended Bear Markets, Mama Bears, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, Reflex Rally, Round Numbers, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Dow Industrials, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Chart Patterns, Charts, Lower Highs & Lower Lows, 000, Dow 12, Round Number
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UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Witten Friday, June 20th, 2008: 6:30 a.m. Looked to me like yesterday’s stock market rally was a knee-jerk reaction to China announcing it was going to raise oil prices by 17%. Crude dove on the news while stocks jumped. But if one thinks it through, is China raising...
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Principles of the Stock Market
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Richard Schwartz
on
06-20-2008
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Filed under: China, Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, China View, Investing Strategies, Head & Shoulders, The Coming China Wars, Keys to the Market, Dow Transports, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Global Investing, Update On The Stock Market, Daily Update, Macroeconomics, Portfolio Strategy, Oil, Fan Principle, Mama Bears, Papa Bears, Government Intervention, Global Trend, Recession, Trends, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Globalization, 1974, 1973, Global Warming, Energy Conservation, Manufacturing, Consumer Spending, Recessions, Bear Market Rally, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Global View, Global Economy, Developing Countries, Stock Market, Capitalism, Gasoline, Big Picture, Trendlines, Energy, Energy Savings, Energy Controls, Bear Markets, Chart Patterns, Crude Oil, Broadening Top, To Be Rich is Glorious, 1932, Subsidies, 1929, Depression
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Wednesda y, June 18 th , 2008 : Woke up singing this morning … “Doo-da, Doo-da”… and I don’t sing! Watched the coronation of the Boston Celtics as NBA champs last night … “Goin’ to run all night, Goin’ to run all day” … and loved this...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-18-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Inflation, US Economy, Keys to the Market, Economic Data, Day to Day Action, Update On The Stock Market, Macroeconomics, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, The Big Picture, Recession, Financial Crisis, Economic Common Sense, Stock Market, Commodity Inflation, Big Picture, Credit Crisis, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Financial Media, Stock Market Media, Bear Markets, Economics, Mr. Market, Investor Psychology
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TECHNICAL VIEW . The Fan Principle . Cataloged under my Principle of Technical Analysis . Or more simply put, how the stock market communicates if not actually talks with us. Yep, the previously, very helpful technical indicator, the Fan Principle may be back in play. Remember how it helped us get into...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-11-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Technical View, Keys to the Market, Dow Transports, Portfolio Strategy, Fan Principle, Market Corrections, Tops, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Trading Rules, Trends, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, S&P 500, S&P Smallcap, Dow Industrials, S&P Midcap, Trendlines
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TECHNICAL VIEW . Banks Beginning a New Down Leg In Price? The next technical question is whether the banks are breaking down again. Into a new down leg. I see the KBW Bank Index dropped to a five year low yesterday. With many individual bank stocks in the same boat. Key Bank (KEY) just went to a new...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-04-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Shorting, Technical View, Keys to the Market, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Distribution, Portfolio Strategy, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Trends, KBW Bank Index, Cramer, Bear Market Rallies
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GOLD VIEW . It’s Time to Buy Back into GOLD ! I must say the gold chart looks ripe for a rally and the background economics are screaming rising inflation here in the US and all around the globe, so I would recommend buying back into gold. Gold pulled back from its big Round Number of $1000 in...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-04-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, ETFs, Technical View, Gold, (GLD), Inflation, Charting, Bullish Signs, Keys to the Market, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Market Corrections, Papa Bears, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, Investment Themes, Trends, History, Gold View, GLD, Intermediate Corrections, Round Numbers, SPDR Gold Trust, Bull Market Corrections
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OIL VIEW . I’ve been reading a lot about oil, the current state and the history of oil as we see prices keep rising and we all wonder where a top is. So below are some interesting tidbits which I’ve unearthed from the Internet (a great modern day development!) for you to ponder, some obvious...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-29-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Value View, Stagflation, Commodities, Inflation, US Economy, Keys to the Market, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Geopolitics, US Treasuries, Commodity Bull Market, Economy Weekly, Schwartz Rules, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Oil, The Principle of History, Rallies, Investment Themes, Trend Reversals, Terrorism, Iraq, Iran, OPEC, History, Flight to Safety
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Written Tuesday, May 27th, 2008 THE STOCK MARKET Briefly, the stock market pulled back sharply last week. Obviously this pullback may be about over and may be just a normal “shake out” on the way to higher prices. While that could be true, it usually is during bull markets, another alternative...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-28-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Shorting, Technical View, Investing Strategies, Hedging, Charting, Keys to the Market, Day to Day Action, Update On The Stock Market, Stock Market Weekly, Daily Update, 4-Day Rule, Portfolio Strategy, Extended Bear Markets, Market Corrections, Tops, Papa Bears, Global Trend, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, The Principle of Proper Money Management, MACD, Trend Reversals, 4-Day Corollary Rule, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, Bear Stearns, Discounting Mechanism, Shake Outs, Reflex Rally
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UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Written Friday, May 23rd, 2008: 6:30 a.m. Stocks normally bounce after two or three days of sharp declines. And the size and cope of a bounce is telling. So yesterday’s “bounce” proved disappointing. For perspective, take the Dow Industrials . The Dow rose...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-23-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Charting, Keys to the Market, Day to Day Action, Update On The Stock Market, Daily Update, 4-Day Rule, Extended Bear Markets, Market Corrections, Tops, Trades, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, Trading Rules, The Principle of Proper Money Management, 4-Day Corollary Rule, Trader Vic, Vic Sperandeo, Sequences, Moving Averages, Stock Trader's Almanac, Breadth, Trading Volume, Distribution Days, Investor's Business Daily
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Technically, the market looks out of steam. Whether this latest two day fall back is the end of the bear market rally or just a normal “shake out” of weak holders on the way higher is open. Remember I thought the market had exhausted itself back two weeks ago when I saw Rising Wedges in a...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-22-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Shorting, Technical View, Keys to the Market, 4-Day Rule, Portfolio Strategy, Market Corrections, Tops, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, Rising Wedge, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Trend Reversals, 4-Day Corollary Rule, Trader Vic, Vic Sperandeo
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The Principle of History. Knowing one’s history gives us guidelines and a basis to work from. So yesterday I began to compare the last Papa Bear market we lived through, 1973-1974, which encompassed the first really oil crisis, to today’s ongoing bear market and oil shock. I said I was printing...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-22-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Shorting, Technical View, Stagflation, Inflation, Keys to the Market, The Principle of Primary Trend, Seven Principles, Day to Day Action, Daily Update, 4-Day Rule, Macroeconomics, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Oil, Extended Bear Markets, Crashes, Market Corrections, Tops, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Trades, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, Rising Wedge, Trading Rules, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, 1974, 1973
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UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Written, Tuesday, May 20th, 2008: 6:30 a.m. Another one of those turnaround stock market days yesterday. At 2 p.m. things looked great but then stocks reversed downward and by the close there were more stocks down than up on the NYSE , 1479 vs. 1681. While numerous sectors...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-20-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Charting, Keys to the Market, Dow Transports, Day to Day Action, Update On The Stock Market, 4-Day Rule, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Tops, Trades, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, Rising Wedge, Trading Rules, Trends, Trend Reversals
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TECHNICAL VIEW . Written Wednesday, May 14, 2008: I may have been seeing clouds in the sky when there weren’t any. The near term bearish Rising Wedges in a bunch of market indices I wrote about last Thursday don’t seem to have really followed through. Stock prices did fall back last Friday...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-15-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Charting, Keys to the Market, Day to Day Action, Higher Higher & Higher Lows, Daily Update, Portfolio Strategy, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rising Wedge, UPtrend Channels
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THE BIG PICTURE & THE ECONOMY Today’s Big Picture view comes down to whether the US economy is going into a severe, long lasting recession or not. My belief remains that we are, that’s where today’s slow-motion economic slowdown is leading us, but the jury remains out & lots...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-12-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Commodities, Soft Commodities, US Economy, Keys to the Market, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, Stock Market Weekly, Macroeconomics, Commodity Bull Market, Economy Weekly, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Oil, Extended Bear Markets, Market Corrections, The Principle of History, The Big Picture, Global Trend, Recession
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Written Thursday, May 8th, 2008 TECHNICAL VIEW . Rising Wedges Run Out of Steam! We’ve formed Rising Wedge chart patterns in a number of key market averages, most easily seen in the Dow Industrials , the Nasdaq Composite and the S&P 400 Midcap averages. These chart patterns form on diminishing...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-08-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Dowtrend Channels, Keys to the Market, Day to Day Action, Portfolio Strategy, Market Corrections, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rising Wedge