TECHNICAL VIEW . Written Tuesday, September 16th, 2008 A New Bear Mark et Leg Down Likely Starting! Schwartz Strategy. Right at the close yesterday, the Dow Industrials dropped sharply going from -400 points down to -500 points down, closing at 10,917.50 , below its previous bear market July 15 th closing...
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Principles of the Stock Market
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Richard Schwartz
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09-16-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, ETFs, Trading, Shorting, Technical View, Charting, Keys to the Market, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Perspective, Extended Bear Markets, Market Corrections, Papa Bears, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Trading Rules, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Bear Market Legs, Stock Market, S&P 500, Dow Industrials, S&P Midcap, Stock Market Media, Bear Markets, Charts, Nasdaq Composite, ProFunds, Inverse Funds, Rydex, Short ETFs, Short Selling, Real Economy
PORTFOLIO STRATEGY This year’s mid-March to mid-May bear market rally was the first rally versus the new primary bear market downtrend. Usually the first rally is the best rally (just like the first loss is the best loss) because many investors believe the bull market still lives and thus it’s...
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Principles of the Stock Market
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Richard Schwartz
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07-14-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Keys to the Market, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Daily Update, Weekly Letter, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Extended Bear Markets, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Trades, Trading Rules, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Trend Reversals, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, Bear Stearns, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Ben Bernanke, Dow Industrials, Credit Crunch, Credit Crisis, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Mr. Market
UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Witten Friday, June 20th, 2008: 6:30 a.m. Looked to me like yesterday’s stock market rally was a knee-jerk reaction to China announcing it was going to raise oil prices by 17%. Crude dove on the news while stocks jumped. But if one thinks it through, is China raising...
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Principles of the Stock Market
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Richard Schwartz
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06-20-2008
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Filed under: China, Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, China View, Investing Strategies, Head & Shoulders, The Coming China Wars, Keys to the Market, Dow Transports, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Global Investing, Update On The Stock Market, Daily Update, Macroeconomics, Portfolio Strategy, Oil, Fan Principle, Mama Bears, Papa Bears, Government Intervention, Global Trend, Recession, Trends, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Globalization, 1974, 1973, Global Warming, Energy Conservation, Manufacturing, Consumer Spending, Recessions, Bear Market Rally, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Global View, Global Economy, Developing Countries, Stock Market, Capitalism, Gasoline, Big Picture, Trendlines, Energy, Energy Savings, Energy Controls, Bear Markets, Chart Patterns, Crude Oil, Broadening Top, To Be Rich is Glorious, 1932, Subsidies, 1929, Depression
Written Tuesday, May 27th, 2008 THE STOCK MARKET Briefly, the stock market pulled back sharply last week. Obviously this pullback may be about over and may be just a normal “shake out” on the way to higher prices. While that could be true, it usually is during bull markets, another alternative...
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Principles of the Stock Market
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Richard Schwartz
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05-28-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Shorting, Technical View, Investing Strategies, Hedging, Charting, Keys to the Market, Day to Day Action, Update On The Stock Market, Stock Market Weekly, Daily Update, 4-Day Rule, Portfolio Strategy, Extended Bear Markets, Market Corrections, Tops, Papa Bears, Global Trend, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, The Principle of Proper Money Management, MACD, Trend Reversals, 4-Day Corollary Rule, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, Bear Stearns, Discounting Mechanism, Shake Outs, Reflex Rally
UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Written Friday, May 23rd, 2008: 6:30 a.m. Stocks normally bounce after two or three days of sharp declines. And the size and cope of a bounce is telling. So yesterday’s “bounce” proved disappointing. For perspective, take the Dow Industrials . The Dow rose...
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Principles of the Stock Market
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Richard Schwartz
on
05-23-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Charting, Keys to the Market, Day to Day Action, Update On The Stock Market, Daily Update, 4-Day Rule, Extended Bear Markets, Market Corrections, Tops, Trades, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, Trading Rules, The Principle of Proper Money Management, 4-Day Corollary Rule, Trader Vic, Vic Sperandeo, Sequences, Moving Averages, Stock Trader's Almanac, Breadth, Trading Volume, Distribution Days, Investor's Business Daily
Technically, the market looks out of steam. Whether this latest two day fall back is the end of the bear market rally or just a normal “shake out” of weak holders on the way higher is open. Remember I thought the market had exhausted itself back two weeks ago when I saw Rising Wedges in a...
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Principles of the Stock Market
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Richard Schwartz
on
05-22-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Shorting, Technical View, Keys to the Market, 4-Day Rule, Portfolio Strategy, Market Corrections, Tops, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, Rising Wedge, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Trend Reversals, 4-Day Corollary Rule, Trader Vic, Vic Sperandeo
The Principle of History. Knowing one’s history gives us guidelines and a basis to work from. So yesterday I began to compare the last Papa Bear market we lived through, 1973-1974, which encompassed the first really oil crisis, to today’s ongoing bear market and oil shock. I said I was printing...
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Principles of the Stock Market
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Richard Schwartz
on
05-22-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Shorting, Technical View, Stagflation, Inflation, Keys to the Market, The Principle of Primary Trend, Seven Principles, Day to Day Action, Daily Update, 4-Day Rule, Macroeconomics, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Oil, Extended Bear Markets, Crashes, Market Corrections, Tops, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Trades, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, Rising Wedge, Trading Rules, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, 1974, 1973