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THE BIG PICTURE The key thought: History shows the economy can be bad and the stock market good! Understanding that one idea is key to making a logical decision about the stock market here. I tried to get this across at Elizabeth ’s 9 th birthday party to the family Saturday. The stock market is...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
08-03-2009
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Investing Strategies, Keys to the Market, The Principle of Primary Trend, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Extended Bear Markets, The Principle of History, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, Elliott Wave Principle, Stock Market Lessons, Financial Crisis, Investor's Business Daily, Economic Common Sense, Stock Market, Capitalism, Big Picture, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Financial Media, Bear Markets, Economics, Investor Psychology, 1932, Depression, America, Government, Big Picture View, IBD, Great Recession, depression within a depression, unfettered capitalism, The 1930s, 1932-1937, William O'Neil, clunkers for cash, President Bush, Obama Miracle
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Richard Schwartz 's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Eighteenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz, New York 12561 - U.S. A. · (845) 255-6894...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
04-06-2009
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Investing Strategies, 50% Rule, Green Investing, GDP, US Economy, Personal Remarks, Bullish Signs, Keys to the Market, Economic Data, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Update On The Stock Market, Stock Market Weekly, Daily Update, Weekly Letter, Macroeconomics, US Treasuries, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Oil, Extended Bear Markets, Market Corrections, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Government Intervention, Trades, The Big Picture, Global Trend, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Recession, Rallies, Investment Themes, Trading Rules, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Financial Crisis, Economic Common Sense, Manufacturing, Consumer Spending, Service Economy, Bear Market Rally, Discounting Mechanism, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Big Picture, S&P 500, Credit Crunch, Energy, Credit Crisis, Economic Trends, Bear Markets, Economics, Mr. Market, Chart Patterns, Charts, Financial Discipline, Job Growth, Trade, Natural Resources, Government, Big Picture View, Theme, Oversold, Real Economy, Alexander Elder, Market Sectors, Dollar crisis, US Dollar Index, Visit of the Three Bears, CCI, Commodity Channel Index, Swing Trading, Oliver Perez
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SECTOR VIEW . Biotech , Small Caps , US Treasuries and the US Dollar . Let’s comment on a couple market sectors and asset classes today. First, two stock market sectors which may prove profitable. Ha, you scoff! Profitable? In a bear market? Before you laugh, at least read my reasoning. 1. BIOTECH...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
01-16-2009
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, ETFs, Trading, Investing Strategies, Charting, Bullish Signs, Keys to the Market, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Portfolio Strategy, Federal Reserve, Extended Bear Markets, Jim Rogers, Market Corrections, Papa Bears, The Big Picture, The Principle of Relative Strength, Rallies, Investment Themes, Trends, Foreign Currencies, Financial Crisis, Trend Reversals, Investor's Business Daily, Flight to Safety, Intermediate Corrections, Round Numbers, Bull Market Corrections, Stock Market, Ben Bernanke, S&P Smallcap, S&P Midcap, Credit Crisis, Bear Markets, Chart Patterns, Charts, Round Number, Financial Discipline, Inverse Funds, Big Picture View, Model Portfolios, Short ETFs, January Effect, Market Sectors, Mark Hulbert
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Richard Schwartz 's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Eighteenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz, New York 12561 - U.S. A. · (845) 255-6894...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
01-06-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, US Economy, Charting, Personal Remarks, Bullish Signs, Keys to the Market, Day to Day Action, Higher Higher & Higher Lows, Update On The Stock Market, Daily Update, IBD 100 'New Names', Portfolio Strategy, Perspective, Market Corrections, Government Intervention, The Principle of Relative Strength, Rallies, Investment Themes, Trading Rules, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Financial Crisis, Trader Vic, Investor's Business Daily, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Barack Obama, Congress, Peter Schiff, Financial Media, Stock Market Media, Chart Patterns, Financial Discipline, Trade, Government, Business, Longs, Profit, Industry Ranking, IBD 100, National Bureau of Economic Research, DMI, RSI, NBER, Alexander Elder
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Richard Schwartz 's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Eighteenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz, New York 12561 - U.S. A. · (845) 255-6894...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
12-22-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Investing Strategies, Hedging, Hedge, Inflation, US Economy, Charting, Personal Remarks, Bullish Signs, Keys to the Market, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, Update On The Stock Market, Weekly Letter, Macroeconomics, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Extended Bear Markets, Crashes, Market Corrections, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, Global Trend, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Deflation, Emerging Markets, Recession, Rallies, Investment Themes, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Globalization, Financial Crisis, 1974, 1973, Economic Common Sense, Recessions, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, History, Flight to Safety, Bear Market Rallies, Global View, Global Economy, Barack Obama, Democracy, Capitalism, Ben Bernanke, Hyperinflation, Big Picture, S&P 500, Credit Crunch, Energy, Credit Crisis, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Financial Media, Stock Market Media, Bear Markets, Economics, Mr. Market, Investor Psychology, Chart Patterns, 1932, 1929, Depression, Charts, BlackRock, Financial Discipline, Bullish on America, Job Growth, Foreign Oil Dependency, America, Government, Change, Lifestyle, Big Picture View, CNBC, Longs, US Government, Bob Doll, Real Economy
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COMMODITY VIEW . Oil Rally Begins. Elliott Wave theory, originally produced by R. N. Elliott in the early 1900s, and now carried forward by Bob Prechter, past #1 market guru, basically says Elliott waves or complete market movements come in threes. Well, to more accurate, Elliott says movements really...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
11-05-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Commodities, Investing Strategies, Charting, Keys to the Market, Day to Day Action, Higher Higher & Higher Lows, 4-Day Rule, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Oil, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Elliott Wave Principle, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Trend Reversals, 4-Day Corollary Rule, Trader Vic, Vic Sperandeo, Intermediate Corrections, Bull Market Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Global View, Global Economy, Stock Market, Gasoline, Big Picture, Energy, Chart Patterns, Crude Oil, Charts, Gas Prices, Driving, Energy Sevice, Boone Pickens, Demographics, heating bills
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The Principle of Understanding History & The Principle of Technical Analysis . Written Tuesday, October 7th, 2008 OK, yesterday I heard one analyst, I believe it was Liz Ann Sounders, chief investment strategist for Charles Schwab say the recent sharp year-over-year (yoy) stock market decline is...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
10-07-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Shorting, Technical View, Investing Strategies, Charting, Dow Theory, Keys to the Market, Dow Transports, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Extended Bear Markets, Crashes, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, The Big Picture, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Stock Market Lessons, 1974, 1973, Recessions, Bear Market Legs, History, Stock Market, Big Picture, Dow Industrials, Credit Crunch, Bear Markets, Chart Patterns, 1932, 1929, Charts, Big Picture View, Shorts, Short Selling
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Richard Schwartz's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Seventeenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz, New York 12561 - U.S. A. · (845) 255-6894...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-28-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Alan Greenspan, US Economy, Socialism, Keys to the Market, Politics, Economic Data, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Higher Higher & Higher Lows, Update On The Stock Market, Weekly Letter, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Interest Rates, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Trades, The Big Picture, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Fixed Income, Rallies, Investment Themes, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Economic Common Sense, Recessions, Spin, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, History, Bear Market Rallies, Europe, John McCain, Stock Market, US Presidential Election, Barack Obama, Democracy, Capitalism, Big Picture, S&P 500, Dow Industrials, Energy, Economic Trends, Bear Markets, Economics, Crude Oil, Bullish on America, Energy Sevice, Foreign Oil Dependency, Bureaucracy, America, Lifestyle, Living Standards, Big Picture View, Lobbying, Business, CNBC, Longs, Profit, Summer Rally, Income Investors, National Bureau of Economic Research, Barak Obama
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IBD 100 VIEW . Usually I report to you the ‘new names’ in the weekly IBD 100 list of leading companies, those companies outperforming most other stocks in price and with good fundamentals and earnings and revenues. With the idea that there is a ‘first mover’ advantage in becoming...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-22-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Investing Strategies, Charting, Bullish Signs, Keys to the Market, IBD 100 'New Names', Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Trades, The Principle of Relative Strength, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Investment Themes, Stock Market Lessons, Investor's Business Daily, Bear Market Legs, Cramer, Stock Market, Credit Crisis, Financial Media, Charts, Bullish on America, Lifestyle, Model Portfolios, Profit, Industry Ranking, MAD MONEY, First Mover Advantage, IBD 100
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TECHNICAL VIEW . The Principle of History. Two historical technical observations today: 1. Capitulation: Where the Heck is It? CNBC keeps interviewing floor traders and reporting from the New York Stock Exchange that everyone there is anxiously looking for that big bout of capitulation, selling, to end...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-16-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Commodities, Inflation, Keys to the Market, Update On The Stock Market, Macroeconomics, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Perspective, Extended Bear Markets, The Principle of History, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Trends, Trend Reversals, Shake Outs, Energy, Credit Crisis, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Economics, Investor Psychology, Charts, Big Picture View, CNBC, Paul Volker, NYSE, Bank Panic of 1907
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PORTFOLIO STRATEGY This year’s mid-March to mid-May bear market rally was the first rally versus the new primary bear market downtrend. Usually the first rally is the best rally (just like the first loss is the best loss) because many investors believe the bull market still lives and thus it’s...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-14-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Keys to the Market, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Daily Update, Weekly Letter, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Extended Bear Markets, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Trades, Trading Rules, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Trend Reversals, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, Bear Stearns, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Ben Bernanke, Dow Industrials, Credit Crunch, Credit Crisis, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Mr. Market
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Thursday, June 26 th , 2008: Written 6:30 a.m. EST Going to find our “way to San Jose ” next week, on vacation, so I’m been auditioning books for the plane rides. One coming along is Hamish McRae’s THE WORLD IN 2020 . I previewed it and got caught up by his writing, the history...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-26-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Technical View, Dowtrend Channels, Charting, Keys to the Market, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Distribution, Update On The Stock Market, Daily Update, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Federal Reserve, Extended Bear Markets, Mama Bears, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, Reflex Rally, Round Numbers, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Dow Industrials, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Chart Patterns, Charts, Lower Highs & Lower Lows, 000, Dow 12, Round Number
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UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Witten Friday, June 20th, 2008: 6:30 a.m. Looked to me like yesterday’s stock market rally was a knee-jerk reaction to China announcing it was going to raise oil prices by 17%. Crude dove on the news while stocks jumped. But if one thinks it through, is China raising...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-20-2008
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Filed under: China, Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, China View, Investing Strategies, Head & Shoulders, The Coming China Wars, Keys to the Market, Dow Transports, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Global Investing, Update On The Stock Market, Daily Update, Macroeconomics, Portfolio Strategy, Oil, Fan Principle, Mama Bears, Papa Bears, Government Intervention, Global Trend, Recession, Trends, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Globalization, 1974, 1973, Global Warming, Energy Conservation, Manufacturing, Consumer Spending, Recessions, Bear Market Rally, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Global View, Global Economy, Developing Countries, Stock Market, Capitalism, Gasoline, Big Picture, Trendlines, Energy, Energy Savings, Energy Controls, Bear Markets, Chart Patterns, Crude Oil, Broadening Top, To Be Rich is Glorious, 1932, Subsidies, 1929, Depression
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Wednesda y, June 18 th , 2008 : Woke up singing this morning … “Doo-da, Doo-da”… and I don’t sing! Watched the coronation of the Boston Celtics as NBA champs last night … “Goin’ to run all night, Goin’ to run all day” … and loved this...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-18-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Inflation, US Economy, Keys to the Market, Economic Data, Day to Day Action, Update On The Stock Market, Macroeconomics, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, The Big Picture, Recession, Financial Crisis, Economic Common Sense, Stock Market, Commodity Inflation, Big Picture, Credit Crisis, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Financial Media, Stock Market Media, Bear Markets, Economics, Mr. Market, Investor Psychology
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TECHNICAL VIEW . The Fan Principle . Cataloged under my Principle of Technical Analysis . Or more simply put, how the stock market communicates if not actually talks with us. Yep, the previously, very helpful technical indicator, the Fan Principle may be back in play. Remember how it helped us get into...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-11-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Technical View, Keys to the Market, Dow Transports, Portfolio Strategy, Fan Principle, Market Corrections, Tops, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Trading Rules, Trends, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, S&P 500, S&P Smallcap, Dow Industrials, S&P Midcap, Trendlines