ECONOMIC VIEW . One American’s View. Yep, Mine! With a bear market upon us, and myself and hopefully my readers all with hunkered down investment portfolios which thus don’t need constant care and attention, let me turn the spotlight on one American’s new travails, resulting views &...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-26-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Inflation, Economic Data, Commodity Bull Market, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Recession, Energy Conservation, Economic Common Sense, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, History, Bear Market Rallies, Real Estate, Commodity Inflation, Big Picture, Energy, Energy Savings, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Economics, Investor Psychology, Gas Prices, Tourism, Financial Discipline, Driving, Bullish on America
THE BIG PICTURE Ok, here’s a Big Picture of where America and we Americans stand today. A fairly downbeat Big Picture so buckle your seatbelts. America has been on the verge of a major comeuppance for many, many years. But its been postponed and postponed. Because the US dollar is the world’s...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-09-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, ETFs, Stagflation, Gold, Alan Greenspan, Commodities, Inflation, US Dollar, US Economy, The Principle of Primary Trend, The Fed, Macroeconomics, US Treasuries, Commodity Bull Market, Historical Perspectve, Federal Reserve, Oil, Crashes, Jim Rogers, The Big Picture, Elliott Wave Principle, Recession, Agricultural Commodities, Financial Crisis, Trader Vic, Vic Sperandeo, Manufacturing, Consumer Spending, Recessions, Industrial Economy, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, Discounting Mechanism, Reflex Rally, History, Bear Market Rallies, John McCain, Democracy, Capitalism, Real Estate, Robert Reich, Ben Bernanke, Gasoline, Commodity Inflation, Hyperinflation, Congress, Recession Depression, Peter Schiff, Heating Fuel, Big Picture
GOLD VIEW . It’s Time to Buy Back into GOLD ! I must say the gold chart looks ripe for a rally and the background economics are screaming rising inflation here in the US and all around the globe, so I would recommend buying back into gold. Gold pulled back from its big Round Number of $1000 in...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-04-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, ETFs, Technical View, Gold, (GLD), Inflation, Charting, Bullish Signs, Keys to the Market, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Market Corrections, Papa Bears, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, Investment Themes, Trends, History, Gold View, GLD, Intermediate Corrections, Round Numbers, SPDR Gold Trust, Bull Market Corrections
OIL VIEW . I’ve been reading a lot about oil, the current state and the history of oil as we see prices keep rising and we all wonder where a top is. So below are some interesting tidbits which I’ve unearthed from the Internet (a great modern day development!) for you to ponder, some obvious...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-29-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Value View, Stagflation, Commodities, Inflation, US Economy, Keys to the Market, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Geopolitics, US Treasuries, Commodity Bull Market, Economy Weekly, Schwartz Rules, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Oil, The Principle of History, Rallies, Investment Themes, Trend Reversals, Terrorism, Iraq, Iran, OPEC, History, Flight to Safety
The Principle of History. Knowing one’s history gives us guidelines and a basis to work from. So yesterday I began to compare the last Papa Bear market we lived through, 1973-1974, which encompassed the first really oil crisis, to today’s ongoing bear market and oil shock. I said I was printing...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-22-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Shorting, Technical View, Stagflation, Inflation, Keys to the Market, The Principle of Primary Trend, Seven Principles, Day to Day Action, Daily Update, 4-Day Rule, Macroeconomics, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Oil, Extended Bear Markets, Crashes, Market Corrections, Tops, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Trades, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, Rising Wedge, Trading Rules, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, 1974, 1973
T HE BIG PICTURE : Written Monday, May 19th, 2008 Let’s make the three-pronged bullish Big Picture case this morning. About time, right? 1. The bullish argument starts with the assumption that the “worse financial crisis since the Great Depression” is behind us. Many Wall Street CEOs...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-20-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Value View, Inflation, US Economy, Bullish Signs, Weekly Letter, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Recession, Globalization, Financial Crisis, The Principle of Understanding Value
Official Recession Or Not? And Does it Matter? Written Thursday, May 1st, 2008: Yesterday our first look at the US ’s Growth Domestic Product or GDP for short, showed a gain of +0.6%, a little above the consensus view. But the US consumer, who accounts for the bulk of economic growth with our spending...
A friend from up in Albany emailed me the following questions. I thought my answers may help others: ” I think I understand the basics of why the dollar has fallen so fast of late but I know you will know the details. It seems like there is always controversy about the economic future but consensus on...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
04-22-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Inflation, US Dollar, US Economy, Macroeconomics, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, The Principle of History, Deflation, Fixed Income
SCAPEGOAT BLAMING . Boy, am I’m getting tired of the carping! Day after day, article after article. All these writers seem to think there’s something to gain in blaming former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan for the US housing bubble, the credit crisis, and in fact, all our problems. Listen,...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
04-09-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Alan Greenspan, Investing Strategies, Soft Commodities, Inflation, US Economy, Economic Data, The Fed, Stock Market Weekly, Macroeconomics, Commodity Bull Market, Economy Weekly, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Interest Rates, The Principle of History, The Big Picture, Global Trend