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It's The Best of Times The Elements of Deflation It's More Than Half Full Argentina, Brazil, and Uruguay What's a Fed to do? We get talk about tightening and taking away the easy credit, but we got the fourth largest monetization on record last week. This week we examine the elements of deflation...
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Thoughts From The Frontline
by
John Mauldin
on
10-23-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Employment, Inflation, Consumer Spending, Debt, Credit Crisis, Housing Crisis, Deflation, Jump Point, Bill Bonner, Tom Hayes, Daily Reckoning
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This week I am really delighted to be able to give you a condensed version of Gary Shilling's latest INSIGHT newsletter for your Outside the Box. Each month I really look forward to getting Gary's latest thoughts on the economy and investing. Last year in his forecast issue he suggested 13 investment...
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.........But First, A Word From Our Sponsor.......... The Ultra Resource Index CD: 6 foreign currencies, 1 unique opportunity With our latest multi-currency Index CD, we've united the currencies of 6 nations rich in resources, finances, innovation and cash. The idea being that when global growth...
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MV=PQ Financial Innovation: The Round Trip 2010-11: Back to the Future Recession The Fed at the Crossroads How Did We Get It So Wrong? The Trend Is Not Your Friend When It Ends Orlando, Naples, Cleveland, and Grandkids This week we look at the second half of my speech from a few weeks ago at my annual...
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Thoughts From The Frontline
by
John Mauldin
on
04-24-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: The Fed, Recession, Gold, Employment, Inflation, GDP, Consumer Spending, Velocity of Money, Deficit, Trend, MV=PQ, Great Experiment
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ANTI -Stimulus Protest Demonstrations; Say What? That’s a big global fear surrounding this global economic slump. History shows economic debacles like this breed unrest, anger, frustration among those losing their jobs, etc. and thus protest demonstrations. If one watches www.worldfocus.com or...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
03-05-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Inflation, US Economy, Socialism, Economic Data, The Fed, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Extended Bear Markets, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, Economic Common Sense, Consumer Spending, History, Global Economy, Barack Obama, Capitalism, Hyperinflation, Congress, Economics, Depression, Bullish on America, Government, Change, Lifestyle, Living Standards, Big Picture View, US Government, The Forgotten Man, Arthur Schlesinger, The Cycles of America History, Stimulation
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Thoughts on the Continuing Crisis The Right Direction, At Least The Jobs Will Come Can We Have a Little Inflation, Please? Those Wild and Crazy Analysts La Jolla, Conversations, and Richard Russell When confronted about an apparent change of his opinions, John Maynard Keynes is reported to have said...
Posted to
Thoughts From The Frontline
by
John Mauldin
on
02-06-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Recession, Interest Rate, Employment, Inflation, GDP, Consumer Spending, Earnings, Consumer Confidence, Jobs, Richard Russell, Financial Crisis
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.........But First, A Word From Our Sponsor.......... Gold and silver prices are down. For a simple and inexpensive way to own gold or silver, consider the non-FDIC insured Pooled Metals Select Account from EverBank®. This economic alternative to buying actual bars or coins lets you "pool"...
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Daily Pfennig
by
Chuck Butler
on
12-30-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Oil, Inflation, Commodities, China, Gold, Euro, Canada, Japan, Renminbi, Risk Aversion, Credit Crisis, Consumer Spending, Gaza
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THE BIG PICTURE Today’s Big Picture view revolves around the probable coming re-regulation of the financial markets. History shows regulation of markets is similar to a grandfather’s clock pendulum swinging back and forth although not as regular. A brief look back to the start of the 20 th...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
10-06-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Alan Greenspan, The Age of Turbulence, Investing Strategies, Inflation, US Economy, Socialism, Politics, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, Macroeconomics, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Tops, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, Global Trend, Deflation, Investment Themes, Globalization, Financial Crisis, The Principle of Understanding Value, 1974, 1973, Bretton Woods, Economic Common Sense, Manufacturing, Consumer Spending, Service Economy, Industrial Economy, History, Global View, Global Economy, Stock Market, Democracy, Capitalism, Hyperinflation, Credit Crunch, Credit Crisis, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Financial Media, Economics, Investor Psychology, 1932, 1929, Financial Discipline, Job Growth, America, Culture, Government, Lifestyle, Living Standards, Big Picture View, Business, Theme, Regulation, Re-regulation
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This week I am in Maine on vacation with my son, and next week is my daughter Tiffani's wedding, so for the next two weeks I am going to send an updated version of a speech I have been giving the past few months on what I think is the likely potential for the rise of a brand new asset class. It is...
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IN THIS ISSUE: The Latest Economic Numbers On Inflation & The Fed “The Double Dip Supply Shock” Conclusions – What Next? Investing In Today’s Dicey Environment Introduction The major investment markets seem perplexed this year. Questions abound. Are we in a recession? Not according to the textbook...
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THE BIG PICTURE Ok, here’s a Big Picture of where America and we Americans stand today. A fairly downbeat Big Picture so buckle your seatbelts. America has been on the verge of a major comeuppance for many, many years. But its been postponed and postponed. Because the US dollar is the world’s...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-09-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, ETFs, Stagflation, Gold, Alan Greenspan, Commodities, Inflation, US Dollar, US Economy, The Principle of Primary Trend, The Fed, Macroeconomics, US Treasuries, Commodity Bull Market, Historical Perspectve, Federal Reserve, Oil, Crashes, Jim Rogers, The Big Picture, Elliott Wave Principle, Recession, Agricultural Commodities, Financial Crisis, Trader Vic, Vic Sperandeo, Manufacturing, Consumer Spending, Recessions, Industrial Economy, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, Discounting Mechanism, Reflex Rally, History, Bear Market Rallies, John McCain, Democracy, Capitalism, Real Estate, Robert Reich, Ben Bernanke, Gasoline, Commodity Inflation, Hyperinflation, Congress, Recession Depression, Peter Schiff, Heating Fuel, Big Picture
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THE BIG PICTURE Last Monday I presented the bull’s three pronged case , that: (1) the credit crisis is past it’s worst stages, (2) that we can skirt a recession or just experience a mild one and (3) that we have good value in stocks today. I offered the bull’s view up for balance, to...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-28-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Stagflation, Inflation, Jobs Report, US Economy, Economic Data, Weekly Letter, Macroeconomics, Economy Weekly, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Government Intervention, Deflation, Recession, Globalization, Bretton Woods, Economic Common Sense, Money Supply, Manufacturing, Consumer Spending, Recessions, Service Economy, Industrial Economy, Spin
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This week's Outside the Box is from my friends at Hoisington Management. While somewhat technical, they make the case that a slowdown in consumer spending is inevitable. This is worth taking some time and thinking about. Quoting: "This means that consumer spending increases should be approximately...
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In This Issue: How do You Spell Stagflation? Cooking the Inflation Books Gaming the Producer Price Index Consumer Spending is Up, but then Again, It May Be Down A Two Dimensional Problem Saudi Justice New York, Toronto, Europe and Thanksgiving This week we look at inflation. Is it just over 2%, giving...
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Introduction On Friday, I wrote my annual forecast, " The Goldilocks Recession ," on what investment themes I expect in the coming year. This week's Outside the Box will follow up on the subject with an excellent piece written by Van Hoisington and Dr. Lacy Hunt. In their fourth quarter...
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John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
01-08-2007
Filed under:
Filed under: Mortgage, Housing, Inflation, Dr. Lacy Hunt, Van Hoisington, GDP, John Mauldin, Bonds, Quarterly Reveiw, Consumer Spending, Economic Forecast