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Today I offer you an insightful look at China's real estate market - a "burgeoning bubble" that deserves a close eye as the possibility for breaking increases. Remember the chaos in Japan after their own housing dreamscape got violently yanked back to earth? As investors, we have to recognize...
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.........But First, A Word From Our Sponsor.......... The Ultra Resource Index CD: 6 foreign currencies, 1 unique opportunity With our latest multi-currency Index CD, we've united the currencies of 6 nations rich in resources, finances, innovation and cash. The idea being that when global growth...
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The Statistical Recovery, Part Two A Recovery Statisticians Can Love A Few Thoughts on the Housing Market Some Thoughts from Maine Tulsa, Birthdays, Weddings, and Paul McCartney A few weeks ago I first used the term "statistical recovery" to describe the nature of today's economic environment...
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.........But First, A Word From Our Sponsor.......... The Ultra Resource Index CD: 6 foreign currencies, 1 unique opportunity With our latest multi-currency Index CD, we've united the currencies of 6 nations rich in resources, finances, innovation and cash. The idea being that when global growth...
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.........But First, A Word From Our Sponsor.......... Now in Print: What You Need to Know About America's Economic Crisis On election night, Amazon.com's top-selling book wasn't about Obama or even McCain. Instead, it was a book about the four American deficits that threaten to steal your...
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Before we get into this week's Outside the Box, let me give you a few pieces of data that came across my desk this morning, which will help set the stage for the OTB offering. Fitch (the ratings agency), in a downgrade of yet another 543 mortgage-backed securities of 2005-07 vintage, gives us the...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
06-15-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Housing, Japan, GDP, Recession, Household Wealth, Global Economy, Germany, Europe, Employment, Will Hutton, Paul Krugman, Fitch
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This Way Be Dragons A Housing Update More Prime Foreclosures In Our Future Are We Paying Too Much for Health Care? Naples, London, and Home for June In fantasy novels the intrepid heroes come across a sign saying "This Way Be Dragons." Of course, they venture on, facing calamity and death,...
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IN THIS ISSUE: Is the US Economy Turning Around? The Housing Blues Getting Bluer Adjustable Rate Mortgage "Resets" To Soar Commercial Real Estate - The Next Shoe To Drop? Conclusions - This Can't Be Good For Stocks Introduction It's time that we had a talk about the "conventional...
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Late last week a letter from Jim Welsh crossed my desk. I started reading and found myself being pulled through his very thoughtful letter. I have not met Jim, but think this letter is worthy of an Outside the Box. Jim Welsh of Welsh Money Management has been publishing his monthly investment letter...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
05-04-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Housing, GDP, Consumer Spending, Consumer Debt, Economy, Employment, Diffusion Index, Jim Welsh, Citigroup, Industrial Production, Credit Cards
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IN THIS ISSUE: The Latest Economic Reports -- Mostly Negative Latest Wall Street Journal Survey of Economists Fed's Latest "Beige Book" Outlook is Bleak Conclusions -- What To Believe? Introduction We have clients calling us every day to ask if we believe the economy and the stock markets...
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Is That Recovery We See? Those Wild and Crazy Analysts The Shadow Inventory of Homes Commercial Real Estate Starts a Long, Slow Slide P/E Ratios Go Negative! The Effect of Earnings Surprises Corporate Earnings and Recovery in Recessions The Implosion in Social Security Copenhagen, London, Newport Beach...
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Why Bother With Bonds? So Then, Bonds for the Long Run? P/E Ratios at 200? Really? Mark-to-Market Slip Slides Away Housing Sales Improve? Not Hardly La Jolla, Copenhagen, London, etc. Investors, we are told, demand a risk premium for investing in stocks rather than bonds. Without that extra return, why...
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Solving the Housing Crisis Housing Could Drop Another 20% in Pricing Buy A Home, Get a Green Card A Real Stimulus Package Las Vegas, La Jolla, and the OC This last Tuesday the Wall Street Journal published an op-ed by my friend Gary Shilling and Richard LeFrak. They offer a simple solution for the housing...
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Forecast 2009: Deflation, Deleveraging, and the Stimulus Effect Muddle Through on Hold Lies, Damned Lies, and Government Unemployment Numbers Central Bankers of the World, Unite! Predictions 2009 La Jolla, Bermuda, and Europe Where are we headed in 2009? We will explore that in detail over the next few...
Posted to
Thoughts From The Frontline
by
John Mauldin
on
01-10-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: The Fed, Oil, Employment, Housing, Consumer Spending, Economic Forecast, Economic Outlook, Deflation, Bailout, Consumer Confidence, Deleveraging, Richard Russell, 2009, Forecast
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Yesterday I sent you an Outside the Box from Paul McCulley who supports the government and Fed activity (in general) in the current economic crisis. Today we look at an opposing view from Bennet Sedacca of Atlantic Advisors. He asks some very interesting questions like: Shouldn't the consumer, after...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
01-07-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Mortgage, Housing, The Fed, Subprime, Interest Rates, Portfolio Diversification, Consumer Debt, Financial Reform, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Bank Failures, Corporate Debt, Bennet Sedacca, Bailout, Bear Market, FOMC, Economic Crisis, T-Bills