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This week I came across two items that I think are worthy of being in Outside the Box, so I am going to give you both. The first is an essay by good friend Paul McCulley, Managing Director of PIMCO, called "Saving Capitalist Banking from Itself." The second is a recent speech by Paul Volker...
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John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
02-23-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: The Fed, Paul McCulley, Banks, Government, Pimco, Bank Failures, Bailout, Economic Crisis, Minsky, Economic Policy, Paul Volker
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IN THIS ISSUE: Public Support For Trillion Dollar Stimulus Plunges Senate Passes $838 Billion "Stimulus" Package Republicans' Propose Alternative Stimulus Package Problems With Obama's Trillion Dollar "Stimulus" Final Stimulus Bill Will Be Higher Than $838 Billion Frustrated...
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Forecasts & Trends
by
Gary D. Halbert
on
02-10-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Gary D. Halbert, Credit Crisis, U.S. Economy, Barack Obama, Politics, Bailout, Government, Timothy Geithner, Stimulus, Income Tax, Government Spending
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IN THIS ISSUE: Obama Pushes His Stimulus Plan Dick Morris -- Tax Exempt Tyranny? More On Obama's Plan From Peter Ferrara It Depends Upon Your Definition Of "Tax Cut" Introduction I had originally planned to write about the Bernie Madoff scandal this week. In fact, I had already written...
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Forecasts & Trends
by
Gary D. Halbert
on
01-13-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Gary D. Halbert, Tax Reform, Recession, Barack Obama, Politics, Taxes, Economy, Socialism, Government, Peter Ferrara, Dick Morris, Welfare, Redistribution of Wealth
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I get a lot of newsletters from money managers around the country, which I try and read as they are written by people who are “in the trenches,” actually making decisions on behalf of their clients. It broadens my perspective. Frankly, most are not all that well written and unimaginative, but who ever...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
01-12-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Credit Crisis, Politics, Consumer Debt, Government, Consumer Confidence, Bailout, Barack Obama, Baby Boomers, Economic Crisis, Investor Psychology, Retirement, Draughn Partners, Cliff Draughn
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IN THIS ISSUE: Editor's Notes On BCA & The Other Gary Halbert Obama & The New Age Of Big Government The Economy -- Have We Seen The Worst Of It? Are The Bailouts Necessary & Will They Work? The Latest Disappointing Economic Reports Stock Markets -- Might We Have Seen The Bottom? Introduction...
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Forecasts & Trends
by
Gary D. Halbert
on
01-06-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Gary D. Halbert, GDP, Economic Forecast, Barack Obama, Politics, Bailout, Economy, Scotia Partners, Halbert Wealth Management, Financial Crisis, Deflation, Government, Bank Credit Analyst
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There is an ongoing debate on the current nature of the economic environment and what should the response be by government. Today's Outside the Box by Paul McCulley takes up one view, arguing that we need a federal response and stimulus package to protect the overall economy and save capitalism from...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
01-06-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: The Fed, Deflation, Politics, Ben Bernadke, Paul McCulley, Government, Pimco, Bailout, TARP, Economic Crisis, Welfare, Socialism, Minsky
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Richard Schwartz 's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Eighteenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz, New York 12561 - U.S. A. · (845) 255-6894...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
01-06-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, US Economy, Charting, Personal Remarks, Bullish Signs, Keys to the Market, Day to Day Action, Higher Higher & Higher Lows, Update On The Stock Market, Daily Update, IBD 100 'New Names', Portfolio Strategy, Perspective, Market Corrections, Government Intervention, The Principle of Relative Strength, Rallies, Investment Themes, Trading Rules, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Financial Crisis, Trader Vic, Investor's Business Daily, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Barack Obama, Congress, Peter Schiff, Financial Media, Stock Market Media, Chart Patterns, Financial Discipline, Trade, Government, Business, Longs, Profit, Industry Ranking, IBD 100, National Bureau of Economic Research, DMI, RSI, NBER, Alexander Elder
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Richard Schwartz 's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Eighteenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz, New York 12561 - U.S. A. · (845) 255-6894...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
12-22-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Investing Strategies, Hedging, Hedge, Inflation, US Economy, Charting, Personal Remarks, Bullish Signs, Keys to the Market, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, Update On The Stock Market, Weekly Letter, Macroeconomics, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Extended Bear Markets, Crashes, Market Corrections, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, Global Trend, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Deflation, Emerging Markets, Recession, Rallies, Investment Themes, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Globalization, Financial Crisis, 1974, 1973, Economic Common Sense, Recessions, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, History, Flight to Safety, Bear Market Rallies, Global View, Global Economy, Barack Obama, Democracy, Capitalism, Ben Bernanke, Hyperinflation, Big Picture, S&P 500, Credit Crunch, Energy, Credit Crisis, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Financial Media, Stock Market Media, Bear Markets, Economics, Mr. Market, Investor Psychology, Chart Patterns, 1932, 1929, Depression, Charts, BlackRock, Financial Discipline, Bullish on America, Job Growth, Foreign Oil Dependency, America, Government, Change, Lifestyle, Big Picture View, CNBC, Longs, US Government, Bob Doll, Real Economy
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What is fair value for stocks? Are they now cheap? You can certainly make that argument by comparing valuations based on past performance. But repeat after me, "Past performance is not indicative of future returns." The investment climate of today is almost certainly going to be quite different...
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Richard Schwartz's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Eighteenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz, New York 12561 - U.S. A. · (845) 255-6894...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
12-01-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Technical View, Investing Strategies, Charting, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Stock Market Weekly, Macroeconomics, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Extended Bear Markets, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Recession, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Trend Reversals, Recessions, Reflex Rally, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Global Economy, Stock Market, Capitalism, Big Picture, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Economics, Mr. Market, Chart Patterns, Charts, Financial Discipline, Government, Change, Big Picture View, Business, US Government, Regulation
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REVIEWING THE 1930s . The Principle of Knowing History . Let me get down on paper a bit about President Hoover (1928 to 1932) and President Roosevelt and the 1930s after nearly finishing up THE FORGOTTEN MAN (2007) by Amity Shlaes. Again, let me recommend you get yourself a copy as today’s happenings...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
11-20-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Investing Strategies, Socialism, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, Recession, Recessions, History, Stock Market, Capitalism, Big Picture, Economic Trends, Bear Markets, Economics, 1932, 1929, Depression, Government, The Forgotten Man, Amity Shlaes
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THE BIG PICTURE Today’s Big Picture view revolves around the probable coming re-regulation of the financial markets. History shows regulation of markets is similar to a grandfather’s clock pendulum swinging back and forth although not as regular. A brief look back to the start of the 20 th...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
10-06-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Alan Greenspan, The Age of Turbulence, Investing Strategies, Inflation, US Economy, Socialism, Politics, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, Macroeconomics, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Tops, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, Global Trend, Deflation, Investment Themes, Globalization, Financial Crisis, The Principle of Understanding Value, 1974, 1973, Bretton Woods, Economic Common Sense, Manufacturing, Consumer Spending, Service Economy, Industrial Economy, History, Global View, Global Economy, Stock Market, Democracy, Capitalism, Hyperinflation, Credit Crunch, Credit Crisis, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Financial Media, Economics, Investor Psychology, 1932, 1929, Financial Discipline, Job Growth, America, Culture, Government, Lifestyle, Living Standards, Big Picture View, Business, Theme, Regulation, Re-regulation
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September 26, 2008 Dear Readers, What a world I have returned to from my cloistered retreat at the beautiful Vivenda Miranda , scenically situated on a cliff outside of the quaint port town of Lagos, Portugal. Everything has changed. Everything is changing. The storm we have so long tried to help you...
Posted to
The Room
by
David Galland
on
09-30-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Economy, Presidential Race, Credit Crisis, Politics, Government, Gold, Ben Bernanke, Recession, The Fed, David Galland, McCain, Economic Forecast, Bailout, Henry Paulson, AIG, Ron Paul, Sara Palin, Donald Grove
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THE BIG PICTURE Written Monday, September 29th, 2008: 6:30 a.m.. What happened in Congress last Friday – House Republicans refusing to go along with the government’s rescue plan – was caused by political/economic ideology combined with Americans not wanting to bail out Wall Street....
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
09-29-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Seasonal View, US Economy, Socialism, Politics, Global Investing, The Fed, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Jim Rogers, The Principle of History, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, Recession, Stock Market Lessons, Globalization, Financial Crisis, Economic Common Sense, Spin, History, Stock Market, US Presidential Election, Capitalism, Ben Bernanke, Congress, Big Picture, Henry Paulson, Credit Crisis, Sell in May & Go Away, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, America, Culture, Government, Business, US Housing Crisis, Real Economy
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A Recap of: THE WORLD IN 2020 : POWER, CULTURE AND PROSPERITY By Hamish McRae (1994) Before my memory fades, let me recap a bit of the fact and opinion filled book I read on my vacation. Essentially Mr. McRae, an acclaimed commentator with a 25-year career writing for two British national newspapers...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-09-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Value View, US Economy, Politics, Global Investing, Macroeconomics, Historical Perspectve, The Principle of History, The Big Picture, Global Trend, Economic Common Sense, Consumer Spending, Service Economy, Industrial Economy, Global View, Global Economy, US Presidential Election, Capitalism, Congress, Big Picture, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bullish on America, Bureaucracy, De-Industrialization, America, Culture, Trade, 2020, Natural Resources, Government, Hamish McRae, Change, Lifestyle, Living Standards, Service Sector, Telecommuting, Demographics