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THE BIG PICTURE Today’s Big Picture view revolves around the probable coming re-regulation of the financial markets. History shows regulation of markets is similar to a grandfather’s clock pendulum swinging back and forth although not as regular. A brief look back to the start of the 20 th...
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Principles of the Stock Market
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Richard Schwartz
on
10-06-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Alan Greenspan, The Age of Turbulence, Investing Strategies, Inflation, US Economy, Socialism, Politics, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, Macroeconomics, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Tops, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, Global Trend, Deflation, Investment Themes, Globalization, Financial Crisis, The Principle of Understanding Value, 1974, 1973, Bretton Woods, Economic Common Sense, Manufacturing, Consumer Spending, Service Economy, Industrial Economy, History, Global View, Global Economy, Stock Market, Democracy, Capitalism, Hyperinflation, Credit Crunch, Credit Crisis, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Financial Media, Economics, Investor Psychology, 1932, 1929, Financial Discipline, Job Growth, America, Culture, Government, Lifestyle, Living Standards, Big Picture View, Business, Theme, Regulation, Re-regulation
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THE BIG PICTURE Written Monday, September 29th, 2008: 6:30 a.m.. What happened in Congress last Friday – House Republicans refusing to go along with the government’s rescue plan – was caused by political/economic ideology combined with Americans not wanting to bail out Wall Street....
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Principles of the Stock Market
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Richard Schwartz
on
09-29-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Seasonal View, US Economy, Socialism, Politics, Global Investing, The Fed, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Jim Rogers, The Principle of History, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, Recession, Stock Market Lessons, Globalization, Financial Crisis, Economic Common Sense, Spin, History, Stock Market, US Presidential Election, Capitalism, Ben Bernanke, Congress, Big Picture, Henry Paulson, Credit Crisis, Sell in May & Go Away, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, America, Culture, Government, Business, US Housing Crisis, Real Economy
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THE FIRST INFLATION SURGE IN 25 YEARS IS OVER. So, what now? First, let me give credit when credit is due. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and the Fed finally got one right. They’ve been promising us moderating inflation for a year or more and now with -30% lower crude oil prices and a big...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
09-12-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Gold, Alan Greenspan, The Age of Turbulence, Commodities, Investing Strategies, 50% Rule, US Economy, Charting, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, The Fed, US Treasuries, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Oil, Jim Rogers, Market Corrections, The Principle of History, The Big Picture, Global Trend, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Deflation, Investment Themes, Agricultural Commodities, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, Globalization, Trend Reversals, 1974, 1973, History, Gold View, Intermediate Corrections, Bull Market Corrections, Global View, Global Economy, Stock Market, US Presidential Election, Gasoline, Commodity Inflation, Big Picture, Energy, Chart Patterns, Charts, Natural Gas, Boone Pickens, Natural Resources, Change, Big Picture View, US Housing Crisis, Food, US Government, Robert Prechter
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China is all the rage for the next few weeks as the Olympics are going on. Many are calling this China's time to showcase itself to the world. I have a lot of friends and analysts who are big China bulls, believing that the next few years will see continued high growth in China, although less than...
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Richard Schwartz 's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Seventeenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz, New York 12561 - U.S. A. · (845) 255-6894...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-30-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Shorting, Technical View, Gold, (GLD), Investing Strategies, US Economy, Personal Remarks, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, Update On The Stock Market, Weekly Letter, Bubbles, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Extended Bear Markets, Jim Rogers, George Soros, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, The Big Picture, Global Trend, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Recession, Trends, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Globalization, Trend Reversals, 1974, 1973, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, History, Gold View, Bear Market Rallies, Global View, Global Economy, Stock Market, US Presidential Election, Capitalism, Big Picture, Energy, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Mr. Market, Investor Psychology, Crude Oil, 1932, 1929, Bullish on America, Inverse Funds, Energy Sevice
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UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Witten Friday, June 20th, 2008: 6:30 a.m. Looked to me like yesterday’s stock market rally was a knee-jerk reaction to China announcing it was going to raise oil prices by 17%. Crude dove on the news while stocks jumped. But if one thinks it through, is China raising...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-20-2008
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Filed under: China, Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, China View, Investing Strategies, Head & Shoulders, The Coming China Wars, Keys to the Market, Dow Transports, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Global Investing, Update On The Stock Market, Daily Update, Macroeconomics, Portfolio Strategy, Oil, Fan Principle, Mama Bears, Papa Bears, Government Intervention, Global Trend, Recession, Trends, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Globalization, 1974, 1973, Global Warming, Energy Conservation, Manufacturing, Consumer Spending, Recessions, Bear Market Rally, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Global View, Global Economy, Developing Countries, Stock Market, Capitalism, Gasoline, Big Picture, Trendlines, Energy, Energy Savings, Energy Controls, Bear Markets, Chart Patterns, Crude Oil, Broadening Top, To Be Rich is Glorious, 1932, Subsidies, 1929, Depression
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THE BIG PICTURE Last Monday I presented the bull’s three pronged case , that: (1) the credit crisis is past it’s worst stages, (2) that we can skirt a recession or just experience a mild one and (3) that we have good value in stocks today. I offered the bull’s view up for balance, to...
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Principles of the Stock Market
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Richard Schwartz
on
05-28-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Stagflation, Inflation, Jobs Report, US Economy, Economic Data, Weekly Letter, Macroeconomics, Economy Weekly, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Government Intervention, Deflation, Recession, Globalization, Bretton Woods, Economic Common Sense, Money Supply, Manufacturing, Consumer Spending, Recessions, Service Economy, Industrial Economy, Spin
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OIL NOW AT $130! What will be the resolution of today’s high oil prices? The best, first approach in analyzing anything is to look back at any historical parallels we can find. The two oil crises of the 1970’s pop immediately to mind. Thus I just printed out a few online histories, including...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-21-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Stagflation, Commodities, Green Investing, Alternative Energy, Soft Commodities, Dow Transports, Commodity Bull Market, Historical Perspectve, Oil, The Principle of History, Deflation, Recession, Rising Wedge, Agricultural Commodities, AG, Globalization
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T HE BIG PICTURE : Written Monday, May 19th, 2008 Let’s make the three-pronged bullish Big Picture case this morning. About time, right? 1. The bullish argument starts with the assumption that the “worse financial crisis since the Great Depression” is behind us. Many Wall Street CEOs...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-20-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Value View, Inflation, US Economy, Bullish Signs, Weekly Letter, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Recession, Globalization, Financial Crisis, The Principle of Understanding Value
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Introduction Humans, by nature, tend to let things worry them a bit more than they ought to. Whether it's a job situation, relationship issue or investment decision, we all tend to blow the small things out of proportion and lose sight of the bigger picture at hand. In this week's Outside the...
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Introduction Today's Outside the Box is a very interesting piece written by Louis-Vincent Gave and the team at GaveKal entitled "Part 2: So What Should We Worry About?" His article is a follow up to an earlier one that he wrote on why he, and the rest of the GaveKal team, had been bullish...
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Introduction This week's Outside the Box is comprised of 2 smaller articles that I believe will, collectively, provide you with some interesting information to digest. The 1st article will be a follow up piece to last week's Outside the Box where I featured a commentary by Morgan Stanley's...
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Introduction Over the past couple of years, I've written quite a bit about how the global economy has taken shape and why it is important to understand it when building one's investment portfolio. There have been many market pundits saying that the global economy is out of balance with each individual...
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Introduction This week's special edition Outside the Box is what I would call one of the more "philosophical" pieces by Stratfor President George Friedman...let me explain. In his article "Geopolitics and the U.S. Spoiling Attack," George looks through the lens of history at the...
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Introduction I got home late last night from two weeks with the kids in Europe, and jet lag is kicking in. Since I should not be allowed to make any investment observations in this state, I am going to do something for which I constantly get requests and that I have wanted to do for quite some time....