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THE BIG PICTURE Today’s Big Picture view revolves around the probable coming re-regulation of the financial markets. History shows regulation of markets is similar to a grandfather’s clock pendulum swinging back and forth although not as regular. A brief look back to the start of the 20 th...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
10-06-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Alan Greenspan, The Age of Turbulence, Investing Strategies, Inflation, US Economy, Socialism, Politics, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, Macroeconomics, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Tops, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, Global Trend, Deflation, Investment Themes, Globalization, Financial Crisis, The Principle of Understanding Value, 1974, 1973, Bretton Woods, Economic Common Sense, Manufacturing, Consumer Spending, Service Economy, Industrial Economy, History, Global View, Global Economy, Stock Market, Democracy, Capitalism, Hyperinflation, Credit Crunch, Credit Crisis, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Financial Media, Economics, Investor Psychology, 1932, 1929, Financial Discipline, Job Growth, America, Culture, Government, Lifestyle, Living Standards, Big Picture View, Business, Theme, Regulation, Re-regulation
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THE BIG PICTURE Written Monday, September 29th, 2008: 6:30 a.m.. What happened in Congress last Friday – House Republicans refusing to go along with the government’s rescue plan – was caused by political/economic ideology combined with Americans not wanting to bail out Wall Street....
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
09-29-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Seasonal View, US Economy, Socialism, Politics, Global Investing, The Fed, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Jim Rogers, The Principle of History, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, Recession, Stock Market Lessons, Globalization, Financial Crisis, Economic Common Sense, Spin, History, Stock Market, US Presidential Election, Capitalism, Ben Bernanke, Congress, Big Picture, Henry Paulson, Credit Crisis, Sell in May & Go Away, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, America, Culture, Government, Business, US Housing Crisis, Real Economy
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THE FIRST INFLATION SURGE IN 25 YEARS IS OVER. So, what now? First, let me give credit when credit is due. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and the Fed finally got one right. They’ve been promising us moderating inflation for a year or more and now with -30% lower crude oil prices and a big...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
09-12-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Gold, Alan Greenspan, The Age of Turbulence, Commodities, Investing Strategies, 50% Rule, US Economy, Charting, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, The Fed, US Treasuries, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Oil, Jim Rogers, Market Corrections, The Principle of History, The Big Picture, Global Trend, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Deflation, Investment Themes, Agricultural Commodities, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, Globalization, Trend Reversals, 1974, 1973, History, Gold View, Intermediate Corrections, Bull Market Corrections, Global View, Global Economy, Stock Market, US Presidential Election, Gasoline, Commodity Inflation, Big Picture, Energy, Chart Patterns, Charts, Natural Gas, Boone Pickens, Natural Resources, Change, Big Picture View, US Housing Crisis, Food, US Government, Robert Prechter
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A Recap of: THE WORLD IN 2020 : POWER, CULTURE AND PROSPERITY By Hamish McRae (1994) Before my memory fades, let me recap a bit of the fact and opinion filled book I read on my vacation. Essentially Mr. McRae, an acclaimed commentator with a 25-year career writing for two British national newspapers...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-09-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Value View, US Economy, Politics, Global Investing, Macroeconomics, Historical Perspectve, The Principle of History, The Big Picture, Global Trend, Economic Common Sense, Consumer Spending, Service Economy, Industrial Economy, Global View, Global Economy, US Presidential Election, Capitalism, Congress, Big Picture, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bullish on America, Bureaucracy, De-Industrialization, America, Culture, Trade, 2020, Natural Resources, Government, Hamish McRae, Change, Lifestyle, Living Standards, Service Sector, Telecommuting, Demographics
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Richard Schwartz 's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Seventeenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz, New York 12561 - U.S. A. · (845) 255-6894...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-30-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Shorting, Technical View, Gold, (GLD), Investing Strategies, US Economy, Personal Remarks, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, Update On The Stock Market, Weekly Letter, Bubbles, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Extended Bear Markets, Jim Rogers, George Soros, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, The Big Picture, Global Trend, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Recession, Trends, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Globalization, Trend Reversals, 1974, 1973, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, History, Gold View, Bear Market Rallies, Global View, Global Economy, Stock Market, US Presidential Election, Capitalism, Big Picture, Energy, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Mr. Market, Investor Psychology, Crude Oil, 1932, 1929, Bullish on America, Inverse Funds, Energy Sevice
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WHERE YOU SHOULD STAND TODAY. The Ideal Portfolio (another Schwartz View ). Yep, let me offer up one man’s view of what the ideal portfolio should be today and why: · Very minimal exposure to the stock market! This major, modern day margin call on institutional investors is causing havoc...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-27-2008
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Filed under: China, Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, ETFs, Trading, Green Energy, China View, Gold, (GLD), Commodities, Investing Strategies, Hedging, Green Investing, (HOKU), (PLUG), (CHCHF), Alternative Energy, Soft Commodities, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, Update On The Stock Market, US Treasuries, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Oil, Extended Bear Markets, Jim Rogers, Papa Bears, Fixed Income, Investment Themes, Agricultural Commodities, Foreign Currencies, The Principle of Proper Money Management, The Principle of Understanding Value, Energy Conservation, Solar, Battery Technology, Economic Common Sense, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, OPEC, Gold View, GLD, SPDR Gold Trust, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Commodity Inflation, Big Picture, Energy, CPST, FSLR, BCON, WGOV, Energy Savings, COMV, Alternative Clean Green, ITRI, Bear Markets, Mr. Market, 1932, 1929, ProFunds, Inverse Funds, Fidelity Selects, Energy Sevice, Rydex
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UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Witten Friday, June 20th, 2008: 6:30 a.m. Looked to me like yesterday’s stock market rally was a knee-jerk reaction to China announcing it was going to raise oil prices by 17%. Crude dove on the news while stocks jumped. But if one thinks it through, is China raising...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-20-2008
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Filed under: China, Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, China View, Investing Strategies, Head & Shoulders, The Coming China Wars, Keys to the Market, Dow Transports, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Global Investing, Update On The Stock Market, Daily Update, Macroeconomics, Portfolio Strategy, Oil, Fan Principle, Mama Bears, Papa Bears, Government Intervention, Global Trend, Recession, Trends, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Globalization, 1974, 1973, Global Warming, Energy Conservation, Manufacturing, Consumer Spending, Recessions, Bear Market Rally, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Global View, Global Economy, Developing Countries, Stock Market, Capitalism, Gasoline, Big Picture, Trendlines, Energy, Energy Savings, Energy Controls, Bear Markets, Chart Patterns, Crude Oil, Broadening Top, To Be Rich is Glorious, 1932, Subsidies, 1929, Depression
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GLOBAL VIEW . Yep, when I started reading the Bloomberg newswire this morning, I found: (1) that European “retail sales declined -2.9% in April, more than three times as much as economists forecast,” (2) that March’s retail spending was revised downward from -1.6% to -2.3%, (3) that...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-04-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Inflation, US Economy, Economic Data, Global Investing, Macroeconomics, The Big Picture, Global Trend, Emerging Markets, Recession, Global View, Asia, Global Economy, Europe, Wall Street View, Fronteir Countries, Developing Countries
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THE BIG PICTURE & THE ECONOMY Today’s Big Picture view comes down to whether the US economy is going into a severe, long lasting recession or not. My belief remains that we are, that’s where today’s slow-motion economic slowdown is leading us, but the jury remains out & lots...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-12-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Commodities, Soft Commodities, US Economy, Keys to the Market, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, Stock Market Weekly, Macroeconomics, Commodity Bull Market, Economy Weekly, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Oil, Extended Bear Markets, Market Corrections, The Principle of History, The Big Picture, Global Trend, Recession
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SCHWARTZ BUY RECOMMENDATION this morning. Yes, with China (domestically) down -50% off its peak and the related Chinese region indices down slightly less but now showing some signs of a bottom and turn around, I’d suggest that its time to put some sidelined money back to work in ASIA (during this beginning...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
04-23-2008
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Filed under: China, Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Technical View, China View, Commodities, Investing Strategies, Market Bottoms, Brazil, Global Investing, Higher Higher & Higher Lows, Global Trend, The Principle of Technical Analysis
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THE REAL ECONOMY VS. THE PAPER ECONOMY The Real Economy . Oil at a record, rice too. Gold hitting $1000 an ounce, silver way up. Corn prices boosted by ethanol demand. Food riots in Haiti, Guatemala, Argentina and more. 24 countries dropping food import tariffs because they are seeing food shortages...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
04-16-2008
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Filed under: China, Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, China View, Gold, Alan Greenspan, Commodities, Soft Commodities, GDP, US Economy, Dow Transports, Economic Data, Global Investing, Macroeconomics, Bubbles, Commodity Bull Market, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Jim Rogers, The Big Picture, Global Trend
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GLOBAL VIEW . Especially Important View Today! I’m looking around at as many global stock markets as possible this morning. To refresh myself as to exactly where they stand and what that bodes for the future. Broad brush thinking-wise, I want to confirm a global uptrend has now started if at all possible...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
04-08-2008
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Filed under: China, Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Investing Strategies, Keys to the Market, The Principle of Primary Trend, Seven Principles, Brazil, Global Investing, Latin America, Macroeconomics, Schwartz Rules, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, The Big Picture, Global Trend, The Principle of Relative Strength
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CHINA again and again. I write about China so much that I get bored with it. But China is the new global power and thus very important. Plus commodity advocate and long term perspective guru, who I haven’t seen call much wrong, Jim Rogers believes so strongly in China that he sold his NYC townhouse and...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
03-31-2008
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Filed under: China, Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, China View, The Coming China Wars, The Principle of Primary Trend, Seven Principles, Global Investing, Commodity Bull Market, Historical Perspectve, Jim Rogers
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GLOBAL VIEW . Tuesday, March 4th, 2008: Nothing good to talk about from overseas and other foreign markets. ASIA , EUROPE and emerging markets are all down whilst big dog domestic China fell another -2.3%. A report showed European growth slowing as exports & business investment declined while consumer...
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PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Seventeenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; Sept 18, 1990 Mon day, March 3 rd , 2008: Three people yesterday told me they were sick of winter. They weren’t angry, just tired of fighting...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
03-03-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Clean Energy, ETFs, Shorting, Technical View, Green Energy, Value View, Commodities, Investing Strategies, Hedging, Alternative Energy, Soft Commodities, GDP, Inflation, US Dollar, US Economy, Charting, Personal Remarks, Keys to the Market, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Seven Principles, Global Investing, Plunge Protection Team, The Fed, Update On The Stock Market, Stock Market Weekly, Weekly Letter