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Today I offer you an insightful look at China's real estate market - a "burgeoning bubble" that deserves a close eye as the possibility for breaking increases. Remember the chaos in Japan after their own housing dreamscape got violently yanked back to earth? As investors, we have to recognize...
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This week I'd like to address the topic of currency. Flip through any business journal and speculation runs deep, though the ups and downs are far from predictable. A year ago everyone who thought they had half a brain and a pile of money comparable to Uncle Scrooge was threatening to transform all...
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This week saw a 2-day summit between the United States and Russia that looks to be the first in a trend of subtle push and pull that will shape economic agendas for both states. Just as at the height of the Cold War, these two superpowers are jockeying for global attention and prospective untapped markets...
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This week's Outside the box looks at some very interesting research done by two economic historians, Barry Eichengreen of the University of California at Berkeley and Kevin O'Rourke of Trinity College, Dublin They give us comparisons between the Great Depression and today's downturn. They...
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Before we get into this week's Outside the Box, let me give you a few pieces of data that came across my desk this morning, which will help set the stage for the OTB offering. Fitch (the ratings agency), in a downgrade of yet another 543 mortgage-backed securities of 2005-07 vintage, gives us the...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
06-15-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Housing, Japan, GDP, Recession, Household Wealth, Global Economy, Germany, Europe, Employment, Will Hutton, Paul Krugman, Fitch
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Dear Friends: One of the first things you learn about analyzing a company is how to dissect a balance sheet. What assets and liabilities can be deployed by a company to create equity over time? I've enclosed a fascinating variant on this process. Take a look at how STRATFOR has analyzed the "geographic...
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Dear Friends: Who's afraid of the Russian bear? As Russia makes a grab for power and influence, the rest of the world watches to see how the United States and her still-new president will react. As an investor, it's important that you're aware of global politics, as the ramifications reach...
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Dear Friends: When I read the headline, "China: Exports Drop," plastic toys, cheap sneakers and milk scandals come to mind. But the impact of China's financial health is more far-reaching than simply affecting the Wal-Mart consumer; China matters on a global investing stage. So that's...
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This week's writer of the Outside the Box is no stranger to long time readers. Michael Lewitt writes the HCM Market Letter and is one of my favorite writers and truly deep thinkers. He has recently decided to turn his letter into a subscription based model and is meeting with some success, as he...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
03-09-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Credit Crisis, Michael Lewitt, GDP, Global Economy, Government, Depression, Barack Obama, Economic Crisis, Economic Policy, General Motors, HCM Market Letter, DJIA, Bank Nationalization, Eastern Europe
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ANTI -Stimulus Protest Demonstrations; Say What? That’s a big global fear surrounding this global economic slump. History shows economic debacles like this breed unrest, anger, frustration among those losing their jobs, etc. and thus protest demonstrations. If one watches www.worldfocus.com or...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
03-05-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Inflation, US Economy, Socialism, Economic Data, The Fed, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Extended Bear Markets, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, Economic Common Sense, Consumer Spending, History, Global Economy, Barack Obama, Capitalism, Hyperinflation, Congress, Economics, Depression, Bullish on America, Government, Change, Lifestyle, Living Standards, Big Picture View, US Government, The Forgotten Man, Arthur Schlesinger, The Cycles of America History, Stimulation
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This week we look at the European bank markets through the eyes of my London partner Niels Jensen, head of Absolute Return Partners. I continue to believe that this is a brewing crisis which could have far more significant implications for the global economy than the Asian Crisis of 1998. In this week's...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
03-02-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Credit Crisis, GDP, Global Economy, Niels Jensen, Absolute Return Partners, Germany, Europe, European Banks, European Union, Austria, Public Debt
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This week I bring you two different articles as an offering for Outside the Box. As a way to introduce the first, let me give you the quote from Merrill Lynch economist David Rosenberg about the rising threat of global trade protectionism: "The Financial Times weighs in on the rising threat of global...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
01-26-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: China, Housing Crisis, Subprime, Global Economy, David Kotok, Financial Reform, Financial Crisis, Nouriel Roubini, Barack Obama, TARP, Tim Geithner, Elisa Parisi-Capone, Economic Policy, RGE Monitor
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Much of the world is focused on the next 100 days—what Obama is going to do. That's important. But today in a special Outside the Box from my good friend George Freidman of Stratfor We will look out a bit further George is just about to release his latest book, The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for...
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Have you done your Christmas shopping yet? Research shows that more of us are putting it off in expectations of better prices. In other words deflationary expectations! The prices I have seen while out shopping the past few weeks are simply amazing. I have to admit to have made a few purchases for some...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
12-22-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Housing, Deflation, Japan, Consumer Spending, Consumer Price Index, Global Economy, Gold, Depression, Merrill Lynch, Germany, Barack Obama, David Rosenberg, Commercial Real Estate, Employment
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Richard Schwartz 's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Eighteenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz, New York 12561 - U.S. A. · (845) 255-6894...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
12-22-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Investing Strategies, Hedging, Hedge, Inflation, US Economy, Charting, Personal Remarks, Bullish Signs, Keys to the Market, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, Update On The Stock Market, Weekly Letter, Macroeconomics, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Extended Bear Markets, Crashes, Market Corrections, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, Global Trend, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Deflation, Emerging Markets, Recession, Rallies, Investment Themes, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Globalization, Financial Crisis, 1974, 1973, Economic Common Sense, Recessions, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, History, Flight to Safety, Bear Market Rallies, Global View, Global Economy, Barack Obama, Democracy, Capitalism, Ben Bernanke, Hyperinflation, Big Picture, S&P 500, Credit Crunch, Energy, Credit Crisis, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Financial Media, Stock Market Media, Bear Markets, Economics, Mr. Market, Investor Psychology, Chart Patterns, 1932, 1929, Depression, Charts, BlackRock, Financial Discipline, Bullish on America, Job Growth, Foreign Oil Dependency, America, Government, Change, Lifestyle, Big Picture View, CNBC, Longs, US Government, Bob Doll, Real Economy