The Elements of Deflation The Failure of Economics The Super Trend Puzzle Final Demand and Income Unemployment Was NOT a Green Shoot Washington, DC, San Diego, and Johannesburg As every school child knows, water is formed by the two elements of hydrogen and oxygen in a very simple formula we all know...
There is a reason I call this column Outside the Box. I try to get material that forces us to think outside our normal comfort zones and challenges our common assumptions. I have made the comment more than once that is it unusual for two major bubbles to burst and for the conversation to be all about...
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John Mauldin's Outside the Box
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John Mauldin
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07-13-2009
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Filed under: Deflation, Japan, Dr. Lacy Hunt, Van Hoisington, GDP, Bonds, Economic Forecast, Velocity, Fiscal Policy, Economic Data, Debt, NBER
Can I Have Some More of that Data, Please? The Fault, Dear Brutus, is Not in Our Stars Faith-Based Economics Is Unemployment a Lagging or a Leading Indicator? An Unsustainable Trend in Debt Some Thoughts on the Health Care Problem Why does government data need to be revised so often? Is it conspiracy...
This week we will look at two shorter essays for this edition of Outside the Box. The first is some thoughtful words by Tom Au on whether or not we have put in a true bottom for the market. I particularly want you to read his thoughts on what earnings will look like going forward, and whether we can...
THE REAL ECONOMY VS. THE PAPER ECONOMY The Real Economy . Oil at a record, rice too. Gold hitting $1000 an ounce, silver way up. Corn prices boosted by ethanol demand. Food riots in Haiti, Guatemala, Argentina and more. 24 countries dropping food import tariffs because they are seeing food shortages...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
04-16-2008
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Filed under: China, Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, China View, Gold, Alan Greenspan, Commodities, Soft Commodities, GDP, US Economy, Dow Transports, Economic Data, Global Investing, Macroeconomics, Bubbles, Commodity Bull Market, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Jim Rogers, The Big Picture, Global Trend
PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Seventeenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; Sept 18, 1990 Mon day, March 3 rd , 2008: Three people yesterday told me they were sick of winter. They weren’t angry, just tired of fighting...
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Principles of the Stock Market
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Richard Schwartz
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03-03-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Clean Energy, ETFs, Shorting, Technical View, Green Energy, Value View, Commodities, Investing Strategies, Hedging, Alternative Energy, Soft Commodities, GDP, Inflation, US Dollar, US Economy, Charting, Personal Remarks, Keys to the Market, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Seven Principles, Global Investing, Plunge Protection Team, The Fed, Update On The Stock Market, Stock Market Weekly, Weekly Letter
INFLATION VIEW/FED’S INFLATION VIEW . Out of Touch! Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke told lawmakers February 14 th that “inflation expectations appear to have remained reasonably well anchored.” He says that each time he speaks and I’m totally sick of hearing it because I can’t agree. He must be...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
02-22-2008
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Filed under: China, Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Stagflation, The Age of Turbulence, GDP, Inflation, US Economy, Keys to the Market, Economic Data, The Fed
Global Inflation a Problem . We’ve got a growing problem with US and global inflation, no matter what our Federal Reserve Bank says. Although our Fed ignores them, or says they will go down soon, food and energy costs are rising and global, right? Thus higher inflation is a global issue. ASIA . Many...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
02-21-2008
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Filed under: China, Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, China View, Stagflation, Gold, Soft Commodities, GDP, Inflation, US Dollar, US Economy, Keys to the Market, Economic Data, Global Investing
Recessions Differ from Mid-Cycle Slowdowns in that that are Self-Reinforcing . A self-reinforcing downturn, which normally leads to a recession has begun, reports Lakshman Achuthan, managing director of Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI). Basically the self-reinforcing step by step downturn process...
THE ECONOMY Monday, February 18th, 2008: Maybe I’m taking the wrong approach, updating you each Monday on the health and path of the economy. And talking about the ongoing debate about recession or not lying ahead. Maybe the best approach is to look at a couple of the classic indicators of recession...