-
Killing the Goose What Were We Thinking? Let's Play Turn It Around Detroit, the Red Sox and the Yankees, and Traveling Too Much Peggy Noonan, maybe the most gifted essayist of our time, wrote a few weeks ago about the vague concern that many of us have that the monster looming up ahead of us has...
-
Elements of Deflation, Part 2 The Velocity Factor Y=MV Sir, I Have Not Yet Begun to Print There Are No Good Choices Washington DC, San Diego, and New Orleans, etc. Just as water is formed by the basic elements hydrogen and oxygen, deflation has its own fundamental components. Last week we started exploring...
-
The Elements of Deflation The Failure of Economics The Super Trend Puzzle Final Demand and Income Unemployment Was NOT a Green Shoot Washington, DC, San Diego, and Johannesburg As every school child knows, water is formed by the two elements of hydrogen and oxygen in a very simple formula we all know...
-
This week I am really delighted to be able to give you a condensed version of Gary Shilling's latest INSIGHT newsletter for your Outside the Box. Each month I really look forward to getting Gary's latest thoughts on the economy and investing. Last year in his forecast issue he suggested 13 investment...
-
There is a reason I call this column Outside the Box. I try to get material that forces us to think outside our normal comfort zones and challenges our common assumptions. I have made the comment more than once that is it unusual for two major bubbles to burst and for the conversation to be all about...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
07-13-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Deflation, Japan, Dr. Lacy Hunt, Van Hoisington, GDP, Bonds, Economic Forecast, Velocity, Fiscal Policy, Economic Data, Debt, NBER
-
There are those who sweat over every decision, worrying about how it will affect their lives and investments. Then there is the school of thought that we should focus on the big decisions. I am of the latter school. 85% of investment returns are a result of asset class allocations and only 15% come from...
-
There is a reason I call this column Outside the Box. I try to get material that forces us to think outside our normal comfort zones and challenges our common assumptions. And this week's letter does just that. I have made the comment more than once that is it unusual for two major bubbles to burst...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
04-20-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Inflation, Deflation, Japan, Dr. Lacy Hunt, Van Hoisington, GDP, Bonds, Economic Theory, Hoisington Management, Government Debt, M2
-
.........But First, A Word From Our Sponsor.......... Down on the dollar? Foreign currencies at EverBank could be your answer. If you're intrigued by the possibility of lower portfolio risk and gains against a weak U.S. dollar, look to us for: -- Familiar products: WorldCurrency CDs and Money Market...
Posted to
Daily Pfennig
by
Chuck Butler
on
03-27-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Deflation, China, Euro, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Japan, Norway, GDP, Deficit, Debt, G20
-
What happens when inflation once again returns. As this week's Outside the Box writer, James Montier, writes, we may want to start thinking now about inflation insurance and he mentions a few ways to do so. But this letter is a must read for his bringing to light a speech by Fed chairman Ben Bernanke...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
03-24-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Inflation, Deflation, Japan, GDP, James Montier, Gold, Insurance, Great Depression, Inflation Swaps, Societe Generale, Sovereign CDS, Dividend Swaps, TIPS, Ben Bernanke
-
This week I am really delighted to be able to give you a condensed version of Gary Shilling's latest INSIGHT newsletter for your Outside the Box. Each month I really look forward to getting Gary's latest thoughts on the economy and investing. Last year in his forecast issue he suggested 13 investment...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
03-16-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Credit Crisis, China, Housing Crisis, Deflation, GDP, Consumer Spending, Consumer Price Index, Household Wealth, Gary Shilling, Consumer Debt, Consumer Saving, Financial Regulation, Automotive Sector, Deleveraging, Employment, Baby Boomers, Retirement, Eastern Europe, Exports, Protectionism, Savings
-
The Endgame Employment Numbers Are Worse Than Posted Aye, Captain, I'm Giving Her All I've Got! Problem #1: Deflation Problem #2: Pushing on a String The Muddle Through Middle Conversations With John Deflation? Stimulus? Deleveraging? Recession? A soft depression? A return to a bull market? With...
Posted to
Thoughts From The Frontline
by
John Mauldin
on
01-17-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Employment, GDP, Debt, Economic Forecast, Muddle Through, Economic Crisis, Deflation, TARP, Obama, Pushing on a String, Stimulus
-
IN THIS ISSUE: Editor's Notes On BCA & The Other Gary Halbert Obama & The New Age Of Big Government The Economy -- Have We Seen The Worst Of It? Are The Bailouts Necessary & Will They Work? The Latest Disappointing Economic Reports Stock Markets -- Might We Have Seen The Bottom? Introduction...
Posted to
Forecasts & Trends
by
Gary D. Halbert
on
01-06-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Gary D. Halbert, GDP, Economic Forecast, Barack Obama, Politics, Bailout, Economy, Scotia Partners, Halbert Wealth Management, Financial Crisis, Deflation, Government, Bank Credit Analyst
-
IN THIS ISSUE: Latest Grim Numbers On The US Economy The Latest On The Government Bailouts Fed Announces The Mother Of All Bailouts Troubling Aspects Of The Fed's Latest Bailout Fighting A "Debt-Deflation" At Any Cost Introduction The economy, the financial crisis and government bailouts...
Posted to
Forecasts & Trends
by
Gary D. Halbert
on
12-09-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Gary D. Halbert, The Fed, GDP, Subprime, Recession, Consumer Confidence, Ben Bernanke, Deficit, Depression, Stratfor, Bailout, Economy, Henry Paulson, Deflation