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The Present Contains All Possible Futures The Ugly Unemployment Numbers Argentinian Disease The Austrian Solution The Eastern European Solution Japanese Disease The Glide Path Option Philadelphia, Orlando, and Phoenix The present contains all possible futures. But not all futures are good ones. Some...
Posted to
Thoughts From The Frontline
by
John Mauldin
on
11-06-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Japan, Employment, GDP, Debt, Economic Theory, Deficit, Eastern Europe, Taxes, Government Debt, Argentina, Austria
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Muddle Through, R.I.P? Savings Equal Investments Japanese Disease Who Will Buy the Debt? The New Muddle Through Economy On the Road Again I first wrote about the Muddle Through Economy in 2002, and the term has more or less become a theme we have returned to from time to time. In 2007 I wrote that we...
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Killing the Goose What Were We Thinking? Let's Play Turn It Around Detroit, the Red Sox and the Yankees, and Traveling Too Much Peggy Noonan, maybe the most gifted essayist of our time, wrote a few weeks ago about the vague concern that many of us have that the monster looming up ahead of us has...
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IN THIS ISSUE: The Economy - More Signs of Recovery Is the Recession & Credit Crisis Over? Obama Adds $2 Trillion to Debt Forecast Economic Assumptions Still Too Optimistic What in the World Are They Thinking? Do They Want Control Even If It Ruins The Economy? Introduction In my June 16 E-Letter...
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This week I am really delighted to be able to give you a condensed version of Gary Shilling's latest INSIGHT newsletter for your Outside the Box. Each month I really look forward to getting Gary's latest thoughts on the economy and investing. Last year in his forecast issue he suggested 13 investment...
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The Great Reflation Experiment The Debt Super Cycle Some Background on US Inflation Implications for Investors A Beach, New York, and Maine The question we have been focused on for some time now is whether we end up with inflation, or deflation, and what that endgame looks like. It is one of the most...
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IN THIS ISSUE: The Latest Assessment of the US Economy The Real Unemployment Rate is 16.5%, Not 9.5% Nine Reasons the Economy is Not Getting Better Where I Disagree With Mr. Zuckerman Conclusions -- "The New Normal" Introduction Over the last few weeks, most polls have shifted to indicate that...
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.........But First, A Word From Our Sponsor.......... Down on the dollar? Foreign currencies at EverBank could be your answer. If you're intrigued by the possibility of lower portfolio risk and gains against a weak U.S. dollar, look to us for: -- Familiar products: WorldCurrency CDs and Money Market...
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There is a reason I call this column Outside the Box. I try to get material that forces us to think outside our normal comfort zones and challenges our common assumptions. I have made the comment more than once that is it unusual for two major bubbles to burst and for the conversation to be all about...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
07-13-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Deflation, Japan, Dr. Lacy Hunt, Van Hoisington, GDP, Bonds, Economic Forecast, Velocity, Fiscal Policy, Economic Data, Debt, NBER
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This Is Outrageous The Land of the Setting Sun Buddy, Can You Spare $5 Trillion? New York and Maine There is no doubt that the US is in financial trouble. Those talking of a strong recovery are just not dealing with reality. But the US is in better shape than a lot of countries. This week, we begin by...
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The New, New Normal A Different Perspective on Health Care Staying Rich in the New Normal Eastern Europe, Maine and Tulsa We are coming to a critical inflection point, perhaps the most critical point that we have had in 70 years for the US and to a great extent the global economy. The choices we make...
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Things That Go Bump in the Night A Trillion Dollars as Far as the Eye Can See The Global Recession Gets Worse Where Will the Money Come From? The Paradox of Deficits Naples, London, and Eastern Europe From ghoulies and ghosties And long-leggedy beasties And things that go bump in the night, Good Lord...
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Nearly everyone I talk with has the sense that we are at some critical point in our economic and national paths, not just in the US but in the world. One path will lead us back to relative growth and another set of choices leads us down a path which will put a very real drag on economic growth and recovery...
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Can I Have Some More of that Data, Please? The Fault, Dear Brutus, is Not in Our Stars Faith-Based Economics Is Unemployment a Lagging or a Leading Indicator? An Unsustainable Trend in Debt Some Thoughts on the Health Care Problem Why does government data need to be revised so often? Is it conspiracy...